by Rod Pearson
Monday, Oct 28, 2024
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 2, 2024
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Duke +20, Miami-FL -20; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Duke +20, Miami-FL -20; Over/Under: 54.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Duke +20.5, Miami-FL -20.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Season Record
Duke Blue Devils: 6-2 (2-2) (7th place, ACC)
Miami Hurricanes: 8-0 (4-0) (1st place, ACC)
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Recent Form
Duke Blue Devils: lost their last game at home against the SMU Mustangs 28-27 in overtime.
Miami Hurricanes: won their last game at home against the Florida State Seminoles 36-14.
Duke Blue Devils vs Miami Hurricanes Preview and Analysis
Duke is entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against SMU 28-27 in OT. Maalik Murphy was the starting QB and he completed 27/48 passes for 295 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Star Thomas led the team in rushing yards with 65 and 1 TD. Eli Pancol led the receivers with 138 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 1 TD. Alex Howard led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Chandler Rivers, Tre Freeman, and Cameron Bergeron each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Miami-Florida is entering this game with an 8-0 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Florida State 36-14. Cameron Ward was the starting QB and he completed 22/35 passes for 208 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Damien Martinez led the team in rushing yards with 148 and 2 TDs. Isaiah Horton led the receivers with 65 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Wesley Bissainthe led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Akheem Mesidor, Rueben Bain Jr., and Simeon Barrow Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Duke vs Miami Prediction
The current betting odds have Duke listed as a 20 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Duke has looked good in their games this season with their 6-2 record overall. They have a 2-2 conference record which puts them in the middle of the ACC, but they have looked good in their games against conference opponents. Both of their losses in the ACC were in closer games and they are coming off one of those losses in their last one, losing by 1 point in OT against a good SMU team. Meanwhile, Miami has looked great in their games this season with their 8-0 record overall and their 4-0 conference record which has them at the top of the ACC and ranked as one of the best teams in the nation too. They looked a lot better in their last game, blowing out Florida State by 22 points, but Florida State is also just a shell of the team they were last season when they went undefeated. Miami has been struggling a lot more against conference opponents this season with their other 3 conference wins all being within 1 score. They are at home for this game, but Duke has been really good with their new head coach this season and they are going to bring their best effort for a ranked team that is also undefeated. Miami will likely win this game, but they have only beaten 1 ACC opponent by more than 1 score this year so Duke will keep this a closer game even if they lose. The best way to place a bet here is on Duke to cover the spread in this game.
Duke Miami Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 2, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Miami 27 Duke 20.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Duke Blue Devils Miami Hurricanes prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
NCAAF Betting Trends
Duke Blue Devils: 21-11 ATS in all lined games. 10-4 ATS as an underdog. 12-6 ATS against conference opponents. 12-4 ATS after playing a game at home. 9-5 OVER in road lined games. 4-1 OVER after a loss by 6 or less points.
Miami Hurricanes: 13-20 ATS in all lined games. 6-12 ATS in home lined games. 6-14 ATS against conference opponents. 2-7 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 20-12 OVER in all lined games. 6-3 OVER off a win against a conference rival. 11-4 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.
Key Injuries
Duke Blue Devils: N. Dalmolin (TE) Out - Undisclosed. J. Moore (RB) Questionable - Leg. J. Moore (WR) Out - Knee. J. Hasley (TE) Out - Lower Body.
Miami Hurricanes: D. Brown (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Rodriguez (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Mack (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. I. Thomas (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“If you’ve got a chance to win the game in the first inning, you do it. And we had missed three straight kicks.” - Manny Diaz after his team’s loss against SMU in their last game.
“It's critically important to go out there and beat this program and be undefeated in the state of Florida. I think it sends a strong message. All recruits, in-state, out of state, can now clearly see the trajectory of this program versus the trajectory of the other programs.” - Mario Cristobal after his team’s win against FSU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Duke Blue Devils
WR Pancol, Eli
WR Moore, Jordan
WR Hagans, Sahmir
TE Dalmolin, Nicky
QB Murphy, Maalik
RB Moore, Jaquez
Miami Hurricanes
WR Brown, Samuel
WR George, Jacolby
WR Restrepo, Xavier
TE Arroyo, Elijah
QB Ward, Cam
RB Martinez, Damien
Statistical Leaders
Duke Blue Devils
Passing: M. Murphy (1796)
Rushing: S. Thomas (681)
Receiving: J. Moore (481)
Touchdowns: S. Thomas (6)
Miami Hurricanes
Passing: C. Ward (2746)
Rushing: D. Martinez (529)
Receiving: X. Restrepo (710)
Touchdowns: D. Martinez (8)
Coaches:
Duke Blue Devils: Manny Diaz (1st season)
Miami Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
