Duke Blue Devils vs Miami-FL Hurricanes Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/21/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 21, 2024

Venue:  Watsco Center, Coral Gables, FL

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Duke -5, Miami-FL +5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Duke -5, Miami-FL +5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Duke -5, Miami-FL +5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Duke Blue Devils:  19-5 (10-3) (2nd place, ACC)

Miami-FL Hurricanes:  15-10 (6-8) (11th place, ACC)

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Duke Blue Devils:  4-1  last 5

Miami-FL Hurricanes:  1-4  last 5

Duke is entering this game with a 20-5 record overall, an 11-3 record in conference games, and they are 5-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Florida State Seminoles in their last game. Jared McCain led the team in points per game in that game with 35 while Jeremy Roach was next on the team with 17. Jeremy Roach led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Kyle Filipowski led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 46.4% from the field, 62.5% from 3-point range, and 70% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 80.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.6 PPG against them. Duke has an ATS record of 14-10-1 this season and their O/U record is 11-14.

Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 15-11 record overall, a 6-9 conference record, and they are 11-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Boston College Eagles in their last game. Norchad Omier and Matthew Cleveland each led the team in points in that game with 20 while Bensley Joseph was next on the team with 13. Bensley Joseph led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Norchad Omier and Bensley Joseph each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 52.9% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 58.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72.5 PPG against them. Miami-Florida has an ATS record of 13-11-2 this season and their O/U record is 12-14.

The current betting odds have Duke listed as a 5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Duke has looked really good in their games this season with their 20-5 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have looked really good in the ACC this year with their 11-3 conference record and they have also been a good road team too with their 5-3 road record. Meanwhile, Miami-FL hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 15-11 record overall and their 6-9 conference record which has them in the bottom half of the ACC. They have looked great on their home court this year with their 11-3 home record, but they have struggled a lot more in their conference games against stronger ACC teams and that is exactly what they are getting here with Duke. Miami-FL hasn't looked great in their games lately either as they just lost to Boston College in their last game and they are also 1-4 in their last 5 games while Duke has been rolling with their 4-1 record in their last 5 games. Duke just won convincingly on the road in their last game against Florida State and this game will be no different for them against a struggling Miami-FL team with the way Duke has been rolling lately. The best way to place a bet here is on Duke to cover the spread in this game. 

Duke Miami-FL Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, February 21, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Duke 87 Miami-FL 74.

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Duke Blue Devils: 7-12 ATS after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games. 2-4 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins. 10-3 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 9-5 UNDER against conference opponents. 7-3 UNDER off a win against a conference rival.

Miami-FL Hurricanes: 23-13 ATS as an underdog. 9-5 ATS in all home games. 8-3 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival. 27-14 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 10-5 UNDER against conference opponents. 11-1 UNDER after allowing 85 points or more. 20-11 UNDER after a combined score of 155 points or more.

Duke Blue Devils:  T. Proctor (G) Ques Wed - Concussion. C. Reeves (C) out for season - Ankle. J. Schutt (G) out for season - Redshirt.

Miami-FL Hurricanes:  N. Pack (G) Ques Wed - Lower Body.

“A special performance. That was up there with any of them. JJ should watch out. It was just his grit, his will, his determination to win was special.” - Jon Scheyer after his team’s win against FSU in their last game on Saturday.

“We played very well for 35 minutes and then made some critical defensive mistakes, missed some easy shots and missed some free throws, which is something we’re normally really good at. You have to give Boston College some credit. Quinten Post is very, very good and a hard match-up when he’s not only good in and around the basket but also hitting threes. We have to get back home and get ready for Wednesday.” - Jim Larranaga after his team’s loss against Boston College in their last game on Saturday.

K. Filipowski 

J. McCain 

M. Mitchell 

T. Proctor 

J. Roach

M. Cleveland 

B. Joseph 

N. Omier 

N. Pack 

W. Poplar

PPG: K. Filipowski (17)

APG: T. Proctor (3.5)

Reb/G: K. Filipowski (8.3)

PPG: N. Omier (17.8)

APG: N. Pack (3.6)

Reb/G: N. Omier (9.8)

Coaches:

Duke Blue Devils: Jon Scheyer (2nd season)

Miami-FL Hurricanes: Jim Larranaga (13th season)