Duke Blue Devils vs Louisville Cardinals Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/29/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, Jan 28, 2022
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 29, 2022
Venue:  KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, KY
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Duke NL, Louisville NL; Over/Under:  NL points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Duke NL, Louisville NL; Over/Under:  NL points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Duke -7.5, Louisville +7.5; Over/Under:  140.5 points
 

Season Record

Duke Blue Devils:  16-3 (2nd place, ACC)
Louisville Cardinals:  11-9 (8th place, ACC)
 
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Duke Blue Devils vs Louisville Cardinals Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Duke Blue Devils:  4-1 last 5
Louisville Cardinals:  1-4 last 5
 
 
 

Duke Blue Devils Analysis

Duke is coming into this game with a 16-3 record overall and they are 1-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 9th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 6-2 in their conference games this season. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Florida State Seminoles while their 4 wins in that span came against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, the NC State Wolfpack, the Syracuse Orange, and the Clemson Tigers in their last game. Paolo Banchero led the team in points in that game with 19 while Wendell Moore was next on the team with 13 points. Jeremy Roach led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Mark Williams led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 48.1% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.8 PPG against them. Duke has an ATS record of 10-7-2 this season and their O/U record is 9-10.
 
 

Louisville Cardinals Analysis

Louisville is coming into this game with a 11-9 record overall and they are 7-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 11th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 5-5 in their conference games this season. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Boston College Eagles while their 5 losses in that span came against the Florida State Seminoles, the NC State Wolfpack, the Pittsburgh Panthers, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and the Virginia Cavaliers in their last game. Jarrod West led the team in points in that game off the bench with 14 while Matt Cross was next on the team with 11 points. West also led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Cross and Malik Williams both led the team in rebounds with 6 each. They were 37.5% from the field, 32.1% from 3-point range, and 33.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 68.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.6 PPG against them. Louisville has an ATS record of 6-13-1 this season and their O/U record is 8-12.
 

 

Duke vs Louisville Prediction

Duke is coming into this game as a 7.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Duke has been struggling to win games by a lot of points recently and they have been grinding out their wins. Louisville has lost 2 straight games though and they have not been playing well losing 3 of their last 4 games by a lot of points. Duke should be able to respond much better in this game and get back on track after going through a little rough patch. The best bet to place in this game is on Duke to cover the spread here.
 
Duke Louisville Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, January 29, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Duke 86 Louisville 70.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Duke Blue Devils Louisville Cardinals prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.
 

NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Duke Blue Devils: 47-26 O/U in all games. 26-17 O/U when the total is 140 to 149.5. 41-24 O/U as a favorite. 14-9 O/U in road games. 32-16 O/U against conference opponents. 33-13 O/U after a conference game. 29-14 O/U when playing only their 2nd game in a week.
Louisville Cardinals: 6-13 ATS in all games. 1-6 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 3-11 ATS as an underdog. 1-6 ATS in January games. 16-24 ATS after a conference game. 4-15 ATS after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds. 2-8 ATS after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers.
 

Key Injuries

 
Duke Blue Devils:  T. Keels (G) Ques Sat - Calf injury.
Louisville Cardinals:  M. James (G) out for season - Achilles injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“Just being on the court. Being more aggressive, looking for my shots but also looking to find my teammates. Teams have been doing a good job plugging the lane and doubling, so I’ve got to be more aware now.” - Paolo Banchero on what he did to help his team win against Clemson.
 
 
"It's a hard place. You've gotta win games." - Chris Mack on being relieved of his duties as head coach.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Duke Blue Devils
P. Banchero 
T. Keels 
W. Moore 
J. Roach 
M. Williams
 
Louisville Cardinals
D. Davis 
N. Locke 
J. West 
M. Williams 
J. Withers
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Duke Blue Devils
PPG: P. Banchero (17.9)
APG: W. Moore Jr. (4.6)
RPG: P. Banchero (7.9)
 
Louisville Cardinals
PPG: N. Locke (10.2)
APG: J. West (3.2)
Reb/G: M. Williams (8.5)
 
Coaches:
Duke Blue Devils: Mike Krzyzewski (42nd season)
Louisville Cardinals: Mike Pegues (Interim)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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