Duke Blue Devils vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/21/2023

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 21, 2023

Venue:  Doak S. Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Duke +13.5, FSU -13.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Duke +13.5, FSU -13.5; Over/Under:  49 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Duke +13.5, FSU -13.5; Over/Under:  49 points

Duke Blue Devils:  5-1 (2-0) (3rd place, ACC)

Florida State Seminoles:  6-0 (4-0) (1st place, ACC)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in CFB as he is 87-46 his last 133 CFB Plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Duke Blue Devils:  won their last game at home against the North Carolina State Wolfpack 24-3.

Florida State Seminoles:  won their last game at home against the Syracuse Orange 41-3.

Duke is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against NC State 24-3. Henry Belin IV was the starting QB and he completed 24/40 passes for 193 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jordan Waters led the team in rushing yards with 123 and 1 TD. Jalon Calhoun led the receivers with 69 receiving yards on 1 reception and 1 TD. Tre Freeman led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Brandon Johnson, RJ Oben, and Aeneas Peebles each led the defense in sacks with 1. Tre Freeman came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Florida State is entering this game with a 6-0 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Syracuse 41-3. Jordan Travis was the starting QB and he completed 23/37 passes for 284 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Lawrance Toafili led the team in rushing yards with 93 and 1 TD. Keon Coleman led the receivers with 140 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Shyheim Brown led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Shyheim Brown led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Greedy Vance came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Duke listed as a 13.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Duke has looked really good this season with their 5-1 record overall and they are also 2-0 in conference play as they are still undefeated in the ACC. They won last week without their starting QB in a dominating performance on defense and now they have a chance to get Riley Leonard back for this game. Duke has a really strong running game and they will be able to run the ball on Florida State while FSU struggles a lot more with this Duke defense. Florida State has also looked great this season with their 6-0 record overall and their 4-0 conference record as they are ranked in the top 5 of the country. They have struggled to blow teams out with good defense though like in their close win against Clemson and even though this is a game they should still win at home, Duke's defense is going to make this a game and keep it much closer in score. The best way to place a bet here is on Duke to cover the spread in this game. 

Duke Florida State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 21, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is FSU 21 Duke 13.

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Duke Blue Devils: 7-18 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. 16-25 ATS after gaining 125 or less passing yards in the last game. 30-18 UNDER as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 12-6 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49.

Florida State Seminoles: 10-1 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games. 10-2 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 20-9 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 10-5 UNDER after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better.

Duke Blue Devils:  R. Leonard (QB) Ques Sat - Ankle. N. Dalmolin (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. E. Pancol (WR) Out indefinitely - Lower Body.

Florida State Seminoles:  J. Wilson (WR) Prob Sat - Undisclosed. D. Hill (WR) Ques Sat - Foot. B. Glenn (QB) Out indefinitely - Thumb. D. Jackson Jr. (DL) out for season - Eligibility.

“It had to be us. I thought the story of our game was defense.” - Mike Elko after his team’s win against NC State in their last game. 

“I want us to be better. I am grateful to be 6-0. I am so proud of this team, doing the things that are necessary to get to this point because you get one shot at it. Ultimately, there have been plenty of moments in games where things haven’t gone exactly as we wanted to and we get a chance to showcase our response. But then you have to learn from it.” - Mike Norvell after his team’s win against Syracuse in their last game. 

WR Hagans, Sahmir  

WR Moore, Jordan

WR Calhoun, Jalon 

TE Dalmolin, Nicky 

QB Leonard, Riley 

RB Coleman, Jaylen

WR Wilson, Johnny 

WR Coleman, Keon 

WR Hill, Destyn  

TE Morlock, Kyle 

TE Bell, Jaheim 

QB Travis, Jordan 

RB Benson, Trey

Passing: R. Leonard (912)

Rushing: J. Waters (426)

Receiving: J. Calhoun (368)

Touchdowns: J. Waters (9)

Passing: J. Travis (1482)

Rushing: T. Benson (463)

Receiving: K. Coleman (418)

Touchdowns: K. Coleman (7)

Coaches:

Duke Blue Devils: Mike Elko (2nd season)

Florida State Seminoles: Mike Norvell (4th season)