Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/12/2022

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jul 11, 2022
Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Tuesday, July 12, 2022
Venue:  Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Where to Watch:  BSKC

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +110, Royals -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +110, Royals -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +110, Royals -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Detroit Tigers:  36-49 (4th place, AL Central)
Kansas City Royals:  32-52 (5th place, AL Central)
 
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Recent Form
Detroit Tigers:  7-3 last 10
Kansas City Royals:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Preview and Analysis

 
The Tigers enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They split their last series against the Chicago White Sox 2-2 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 36-49 record overall and have a road record of 13-25. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Royals on Tuesday with the series opener and the 2nd game of that double-header still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 29th in the MLB with a .625 OPS. Rookie pitcher Alex Faedo is their starting pitcher in game 2 on Monday while rookie pitcher Beau Brieske is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-6 with a 4.16 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 2 hits through 6.1 IP against the Chicago White Sox. 
 
The Royals won 2 of their last 3 games and enter this game off of a win. They won their last series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 32-52 record overall and have a home record of 16-26. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Tigers on Tuesday with the 1st and the 2nd game of a double-header still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .684 OPS. Daniel Lynch is on the mound in game 2 on Monday while Kris Bubic will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-6 with a 6.84 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HRs, and 6 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 5.1 IP against the Houston Astros. 

 

Tigers vs Royals Prediction

The current betting odds have the Tigers listed as a slight underdog in this game. The Tigers were on a very hot roll recently as they had won 6 straight games but have now lost their last 2 games, splitting that series with the White Sox. They were scoring a lot of runs in that run as well, they have not been a very good team on the road this season but have been scoring a lot recently and they have a good pitching matchup here. The Tigers are starting rookie Brieske here but he has not been bad in his rookie season here and has had some very good performances. The Royals do not have a great offense so he should not struggle too much in this game and the Royals are not going to be in a great position themselves with their pitching either. They have Bubic starting here and he has been awful all season as he allows a lot of runs in his starts. The Royals also have a double-header against the Tigers on Monday which will use more of their bullpen than normal and Bubic is not the kind of starter that will even give you 5 innings every time. If he has a bad start, the Royals will be forced to go to the bullpen again here and there is just too much liability with the way the Tigers have been hitting recently. The best way to place a bet here is on the Tigers to win this game.
 
Tigers Royals Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 12, 2022 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Tigers 5 Royals 4.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Detroit Tigers: 136-169 (+22.5 Units) ML in all games. 107-147 (+20.8 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 51-29 UNDER in all games.
Kansas City Royals: 32-52 (-14 Units) ML in all games. 12-25 (-12.6 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 19-13 UNDER against division opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Detroit Tigers:  J. Rogers (C) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Garcia (RP) Late July - Shoulder. A. Meadows (CF) Ques Tues - Achilles.
Kansas City Royals:  W. Merrifield (2B) Ques Mon - Toe. S. Perez (C) Late Aug - Thumb. A. Mondesi (SS) out for season - Knee.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I missed a pop-up and it's a terrible play on my part. It's a play I should be able to make and I'll make it the next time it comes to me." - Robbie Grossman after their loss against the White Sox on Sunday.
 
 
"You never know how a team will respond, but to watch this team, the guys just come back and play really hard. I thought they did a real nice job all the way around today and Zack set the tone for us and his stuff was really sharp. He put everything where he wanted to today." - Mike Matheny after his team’s win against the Guardians on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Detroit Tigers
Riley Greene (L) CF
Javier Baez (R) SS
Harold Castro (L) 3B
Miguel Cabrera (R) DH
Jonathan Schoop (R) 2B
Robbie Grossman (S) LF
Spencer Torkelson (R) 1B
Eric Haase (R) C
Victor Reyes (S) RF
 
Kansas City Royals
Whit Merrifield (R) 2B
Andrew Benintendi (L) LF
Bobby Witt Jr. (R) SS
MJ Melendez (L) DH
Hunter Dozier (R) RF
Vinnie Pasquantino (L) 1B
Kyle Isbel (L) CF
Cam Gallagher (R) C
Nicky Lopez (L) 3B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Detroit Tigers
Batting Average:  Victor Reyes (.310)
Hits:  Miguel Cabrera (78)
Home Runs:  Javier Baez (9)
RBI:  Javier Baez (33)
Stolen Bases:  Jonathan Schoop (5)
Wins:  Tarik Skubal (6)
Saves:  Gregory Soto (17)
ERA:  Angel De Jesus (0.00)
 
Kansas City Royals
Batting Average:  Andrew Benintendi (.317)
Hits:  Andrew Benintendi (98)
Home Runs:  Bobby Witt (12)
RBI:  Bobby Witt (42)
Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (14)
Wins:  Collin Snider (4)
Saves:  Scott Barlow (13)
ERA:  Daniel Mengden (2.08)
 
Managers:
Detroit Tigers: A. J. Hinch (2nd season)
Kansas City Royals: Mike Matheny (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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