Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/21/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, May 20, 2022
Game Time: 6:10 pm ET, Saturday, May 21, 2022
Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  BSGL

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +160, Guardians -190; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +160, Guardians -190; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +160, Guardians -190; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Detroit Tigers:  13-25 (5th place, AL Central)
Cleveland Guardians:  16-19 (3rd place, AL Central)
 
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Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Detroit Tigers:  5-5 last 10
Cleveland Guardians:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Detroit Tigers Analysis

The Tigers are coming into this game with a 13-25 record overall and they are 4-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Tarik Skubal is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while rookie pitcher Alex Faedo is on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 0-1 with a 2.87 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits in 5.2 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays. They scored 5 runs in their last series averaging just under 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 16 runs against them averaging just over 5 runs allowed per game.
 

Cleveland Guardians Analysis

The Guardians are coming into this game with a 16-19 record overall and they are 7-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game losing streak. They just lost their 2-game series against the Cincinnati Reds getting swept 2-0 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Tigers on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Aaron Civale is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Shane Bieber will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 1-2 with a 3.72 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 7 strikeouts on 7 hits in 6 innings played against the Minnesota Twins. They scored 6 runs in their last series averaging 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 9 runs against them averaging 4.5 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction

The Guardians are coming into this game as a big favorite with the current betting odds. They were just swept by the Reds in 2 games in their last series and they will be hungry to bounce back after a few bad losses like that. They are at home for this series and they are going up against a Tigers team that has been playing much better at home this season but still has one of the worst records in the MLB. The Tigers also have a rookie pitcher on the mound here and he has not been awful this season but he has not been lights out either and the more starts he gets, the more teams will start to figure him out. Bieber is starting for the Guardians and he has been very good and consistent this season. The Tigers do not have a good lineup so he should be able to keep their hitters at bay and this is a game that the Guardians should be able to win. The best bet here is on the Guardians to win this game on the runline.
 
Tigers Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 21, 2022 (6:10 pm ET start time) is Guardians 5 Tigers 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Detroit Tigers: 113-145 (+14.7 Units) ML in all games. 88-127 (+12.2 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 25-11 UNDER in all games.
Cleveland Guardians: 65-62 (-7.4 Units) ML in home games. 15-10 (-5.5 Units) ML as a favorite of -175 to -250. 14-9 UNDER as a favorite of -175 to -250.
 

Key Injuries

 
Detroit Tigers:  M. Pineda (SP) Mid June - Finger. V. Reyes (LF) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. A. Meadows (CF) Out indefinitely - Ear.
Cleveland Guardians:  J. Ramirez (3B) Ques Fri - Shin. J. Naylor (RF) Prob Fri - Illness. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Back.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"His left side is bothersome. It got worse during his warmup. He tried to go out there, and you could tell he was off. He'll be out for a bit. Likely IL." - A.J. Hinch after his team’s loss against the Rays on Wednesday.
 
 
"Hit above his pad, just below his knee. For him to react like that, he's a pretty tough kid. He's going to get some X-rays, but he's sore." - Terry Francona after his team’s loss against the Reds on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Detroit Tigers
Robbie Grossman (S) RF
Willi Castro (S) LF
Javier Baez (R) SS
Jeimer Candelario (S) DH
Jonathan Schoop (R) 2B
Harold Castro (L) 3B
Spencer Torkelson (R) 1B
Tucker Barnhart (S) C
Derek Hill (R) CF
 
Cleveland Guardians
Myles Straw (R) CF
Steven Kwan (L) RF
Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
Owen Miller (R) 1B
Amed Rosario (R) SS
Franmil Reyes (R) DH
Andres Gimenez (L) 2B
Richie Palacios (L) LF
Austin Hedges (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Detroit Tigers
Batting Average:  Willi Castro (.322)
Hits:  Miguel Cabrera (34)
Home Runs:  Spencer Torkelson (4)
RBI:  Miguel Cabrera (14)
Stolen Bases:  Akil Baddoo (1)
Wins:  Jacob Barnes (3)
Saves:  Gregory Soto (6)
ERA:  Angel De Jesus (0.00)
 
Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Josh Naylor (.347)
Hits:  Jose Ramirez (37)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (8)
RBI:  Jose Ramirez (34)
Stolen Bases:  Myles Straw (8)
Wins:  Nick Sandlin (3)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (7)
ERA:  Sam Hentges (1.29)
 
Managers:
Detroit Tigers: A. J. Hinch (2nd season)
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (10th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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