Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/19/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jun 18, 2024
Game Time: 12:20 pm ET, Wednesday, June 19, 2024
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA 
Where to Watch:  BSSO


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +110, Braves -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +110, Braves -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +110, Braves -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Season Record

Detroit Tigers:  34-38 (4th place, AL Central)
Atlanta Braves:  39-31 (2nd place, NL East)

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Recent Form
Detroit Tigers:  3-7 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10



Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis


The Tigers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-38 record overall and have a road record of 18-19. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Tigers lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .673 OPS. Casey Mize is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Tarik Skubal is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 8-2 with a 2.20 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 6 hits through 6.1 IP against the Houston Astros.

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-31 record overall and have a home record of 22-13. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Tigers on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Braves won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .716 OPS. Rookie pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Reynaldo López is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-2 with a 1.69 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 8 strikeouts on 2 hits through 6 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.


Tigers vs Braves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Tigers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 34-38 record overall and their 18-19 road record which has them in 4th place of the AL Central. Meanwhile, the Braves have looked good with their 39-31 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL East, but they haven't looked good over the last few weeks as they are playing well below the usual standard of the Braves. They have looked better in their home games this year with their 22-13 home record though, and now they are starting to look better with that series win over the Rays on the weekend. They took the series opener of this series too and now they have some momentum to propel them forward as they try to put themselves in a position to still fight for the NL East. They have a more favorable pitching matchup here with Lopez on the mound too. Lopez is 4-2 with a 1.69 ERA this season and has barely been giving up runs in his starts. He is coming off another start in which he gave up no runs in and the team has won 3 games in a row with him starting too. The Tigers also have a solid starter on the mound with Skubal since he is 8-2 with a 2.20 ERA, but he has been starting to slip up lately. He gave up 4 earned runs in his last start against the Astros and the Braves still have a really good lineup that is starting to get hot again. These are the teams that the Braves will look at like they need to win these games to get themselves back in the division race so expect the Braves to bring their best effort as they try to get back on a run. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game. 

Tigers Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 19, 2024 (12:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 3 Tigers 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Detroit Tigers: 34-38 (-5.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 18-24 (-6.8 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 26-30 (-4.9 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. TARIK SKUBAL is 10-4 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 and 5-2 UNDER in June games.

Atlanta Braves: 246-156 (+9.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 96-58 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 131-70 (+10.4 units) on the moneyline in home games. 13-5 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5. 5-0 UNDER against AL Central opponents. 19-6 UNDER in an inter-league game.

Key Injuries


Detroit Tigers:  J. Flaherty (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Baez (SS) Out indefinitely - Spine. A. Faedo (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. K. Carpenter (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Gipson-Long (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Atlanta Braves:  H. Waldrep (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. M. Harris II (LF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) out for season - Lower Body. J. Herget (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Smith-Shawver (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. A. Minter (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. T. Matzek (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“I'm thankful to have so many people come out to support me. I'm happy to get back on track after struggling for a few. ... I got ahead in the counts a little better.” - Reese Olson after their loss against the Braves in their game on Monday.


“It set a tone, big time. We swung the bats really well, better than we did for a couple of weeks.” - Ozzie Albies on their series against the Rays after his team’s win against the Tigers in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Detroit Tigers
Matt Vierling (R) RF
Andy Ibáñez (R) 1B
Mark Canha (R) DH
Riley Greene (L) CF
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Justyn-Henry Malloy (R) LF
Colt Keith (L) 2B
Jake Rogers (R) C
Ryan Kreidler (R) SS

Atlanta Braves
Jarred Kelenic (L) CF
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Adam Duvall (R) RF
Sean Murphy (R) C
Forrest Wall (L) LF
Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Statistical Leaders


Detroit Tigers
Batting Average:  Kerry Carpenter (.283)
Hits:  Riley Greene (67)
Home Runs:  Riley Greene (14)
RBI:  Riley Greene (37)
Stolen Bases:  Javier Báez (6)
Wins:  Tarik Skubal (8)
Saves:  Jason Foley (12)
ERA:  Tarik Skubal (2.20)

Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.321)
Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (84)
Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (20)
RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (62)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)
Wins:  Chris Sale (9)
Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (18)
ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Managers:
Detroit Tigers: A.J. Hinch (4th season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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