Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/13/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, April 13, 2024

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Red Wings +150, Maple Leafs -180; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Red Wings +150, Maple Leafs -180; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Red Wings +150, Maple Leafs -180; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Detroit Red Wings:  38-32-9 (5th place, Atlantic Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  46-24-9 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Detroit Red Wings:  3-4-3 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  6-4-0 last 10

The Red Wings are entering this game with 85 points, a 38-32-9 record overall, and they are 16-19-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Pittsburgh Penguins in their last game, losing that one on the road 6-5 in overtime. Lucas Raymond led the team in goals scored with 3 as he recorded the hattrick while Dylan Larkin and Jeff Petry each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Alex DeBrincat led the team in assists with 3 while Alex DeBrincat led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Alex Lyon was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 6 goals on 27 shots with 21 saves and a .778 save percentage. Their offense has scored 263 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 262 goals against them allowing 3.3 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 101 points, a 46-24-9 record overall, and they are 22-15-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the New Jersey Devils in their last game, losing that one at home 6-5. Auston Matthews and John Tavares each led the team in goals scored with 2 while David Kämpf scored 1 goal for them in that game. Max Domi and Mitchell Marner each led the team in assists with 2 while John Tavares led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 6 goals on 20 shots with 14 saves and a .700 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 293 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 247 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Maple Leafs listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Leafs have looked really good in their games this season with their 46-24-9 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot. They have looked good on home ice this year with their 22-15-3 home record too. Meanwhile, the Red Wings have looked good in their games this season with their 38-32-9 record overall, but that record only has them in 5th place of their division in the East and fighting for the last Wild Card spot. They haven't been a good road team this season either with their 16-19-4 road record. The Red Wings only avenue to the playoffs this season is through the Wild Card and right now they are 1 point out of the spot. They need to win this game a lot more than the Leafs do, but lately the Red Wings have looked terrible. They are only 3-4-3 in their last 10 games and have no momentum on their side with 2 losses in a row now. The Leafs may not need this game as much, but they still need to win this game to absolutely clinch their 3rd spot in the division and avoid the Wild Card. They have also been the much hotter team coming into this one with their 6-4-0 record in their last 10 games. The Leafs will be looking to bounce back in this game while also delivering what might be the final blow to these Red Wings playoff chances. The best way to place a bet here is on the Leafs to win this game and on the puckline. 

Red Wings Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, April 13, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Maple Leafs 4 Red Wings 1.

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Detroit Red Wings: 22-16 (+7.9 units) on the moneyline after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals. 27-22 (+13.8 units) on the moneyline after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. 42-33 OVER after 2 or more consecutive losses. 22-13 OVER when playing their 4th game in 7 days.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 20-21 (-11.3 units) on the moneyline after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game. 20-21 (-11 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored. 47-19 OVER after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games. 30-12 OVER after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals.

Detroit Red Wings:  A. Copp (C) Ques Sat - Head. M. Rasmussen (C) Ques Sat - Upper Body. V. Husso (G) Mid April - Lower Body.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  T. Liljegren (D) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. C. Jarnkrok (C) Out indefinitely - Hand. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.

“Hard to get one point. Again, they got two and that’s a team we need to catch. The positive is the no quit. They played pretty well and we’re right there.” - Dylan Larkin after their loss against the Penguins in their game on Thursday.

“Loose game, strange game. Not one that you love, but we’ll move on.” - Sheldon Keefe after his team’s loss against the Devils in their game on Thursday.

LW DeBrincat, Alex

C Larkin, Dylan

RW Raymond, Lucas

LD Chiarot, Ben

RD Seider, Moritz

G Lyon, Alex

LW Bertuzzi, Tyler

C Matthews, Auston

RW Domi, Max

LD Rielly, Morgan

RD Lyubushkin, Ilya

G Samsonov, Ilya

Points: L. Raymond (68)

Goals: D. Larkin (32)

Assists: S. Gostisbehere (40)

GAA: A. Lyon (3.03)

Points: A. Matthews (106)

Goals: A. Matthews (68)

Assists: W. Nylander (56)

GAA: M. Jones (2.70)

Coaches:

Detroit Red Wings: Derek Lalonde (2nd season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)