Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/21/2026

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  TNT, HBO MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Red Wings +110, Maple Leafs -130; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Red Wings +105, Maple Leafs -125; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Red Wings +100, Maple Leafs -120; Over/Under:  6 goals

Detroit Red Wings:  30-16-4 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  24-17-8 (6th place, Atlantic Division)

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Detroit Red Wings:  7-2-1 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  6-2-2 last 10

The Red Wings are entering this game with 64 points, a 30-16-4 record overall, and they are 12-8-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Ottawa Senators in their last game, winning that one at home 4-3 in overtime. Alex DeBrincat, Axel Sandin-Pellikka, James van Riemsdyk, and Lucas Raymond each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Andrew Copp led the team in assists with 2 while Alex DeBrincat led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. John Gibson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 22 shots with 19 saves and a .864 save percentage. Their offense has scored 157 goals this season averaging 3.1 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 153 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 56 points, a 24-17-8 record overall, and they are 16-6-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Minnesota Wild in their last game, losing that one at home 6-3. Auston Matthews, John Tavares, and Nicholas Robertson each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Auston Matthews, Easton Cowan, Matthew Knies, Max Domi, and Nicolas Roy each led the team in assists with 1 while John Tavares led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Joseph Woll was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 29 shots with 24 saves and a .826 sv percentage before getting pulled and being replaced by Dennis Hildeby who stopped all 8 shots he faced. Their offense has scored 165 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 164 goals against them allowing 3.3 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Red Wings listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Wings have looked really good in their games this season with their 30-16-4 record overall which has them right near the top of their division in the East. They have been a decent road team too with their 12-8-3 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Maple Leafs haven't looked great in their games this season with their 24-17-8 record overall which has them in the bottom half of their division in the East. They have looked great on home ice though with their 16-6-5 home record this season. The Maple Leafs had a terrible start to the season and are still trying to climb their way out of a big hole. They have looked a lot better lately as they are 6-2-2 in their last 10 games, but they are off a 6-3 loss to the Wild in their last one and they have been cooling off after going on a really hot streak the last 2 weeks. The Red Wings have also been red hot though, going 7-2-1 in their last 10 games, and they have been the more consistent team this year right from the start of the season. The Red Wings have taken a lot of steps toward improving this season, and they are coming into this one with some momentum from 2 wins in a row now. As good as the Maple Leafs have looked lately, they have been a really up and down team all year while the Red Wings have been steady all season and have even been the hotter team lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Wings to win this game. 

Red Wings Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, January 21, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Red Wings 4 Maple Leafs 2.

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Detroit Red Wings: 110-104 (+12.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 47-40 (+16.8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 59-49 (+13.7 units) on the moneyline off a win in their previous game. 21-13 OVER against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 94-61 (-6 units) on the moneyline as a favorite. 23-27 (-13.3 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite. 60-56 (-12.4 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 25-12 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Detroit Red Wings:  None.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  A. Stolarz (G) Out - Upper Body. W. Nylander (RW) Out - Groin. D. Mermis (D) Out - Lower Body. C. Tanev (D) Out - Groin. D. Joshua (C) Out - Upper-Body.

“We obviously weren’t happy with our start. Getting that power-play goal quickly was big for us. We settled down and started playing after that.” - Todd McLellan after his team’s win against the Senators in their game on Sunday.

“We didn’t play well enough. That’s it. Mistakes. We made too many mistakes. Line change goal, two power-play goals against. We just weren’t detailed enough in certain areas and it cost us the hockey game.” - Craig Berube after his team’s loss against the Wild in their game on Monday.

LW Marco Kasper

C Dylan Larkin

RW Lucas Raymond

LD Simon Edvinsson

RD Moritz Seider

G John Gibson

LW Bobby McMann

C Auston Matthews

RW Max Domi

LD Morgan Rielly

RD Brandon Carlo

G Joseph Woll

Points: Lucas Raymond (53)

Goals: Alex DeBrincat (26)

Assists: Lucas Raymond (38)

GAA: John Gibson (2.74)

Points: William Nylander (48)

Goals: Auston Matthews (25)

Assists: William Nylander (31)

GAA: Joseph Woll (2.90)

Coaches:

Detroit Red Wings: Todd McLellan (2nd season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Craig Berube (2nd season)