Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/31/2026

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Mar 30, 2026
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 31, 2026
Venue:  PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Red Wings -110, Penguins -110; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Red Wings -110, Penguins -110; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Red Wings -110, Penguins -110; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Season Record

Detroit Red Wings:  39-26-8 (6th place, Atlantic Division)
Pittsburgh Penguins:  36-21-16 (3rd place, Metropolitan Division)

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Recent Form
Detroit Red Wings:  4-5-1 last 10
Pittsburgh Penguins:  4-4-2 last 10



Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins Preview and Analysis


The Red Wings are entering this game with 86 points, a 39-26-8 record overall, and they are 19-12-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Philadelphia Flyers in their last game, losing that one at home 5-3. Alex DeBrincat, Lucas Raymond, and Mason Appleton each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Moritz Seider and Patrick Kane each led the team in assists with 2 while Alex DeBrincat led the team in shots on net in that game with 8. John Gibson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 21 shots with 17 saves and a .810 save percentage before getting pulled and replaced by Cam Talbot who stopped all 4 shots he faced. Their offense has scored 215 goals this season averaging 2.9 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 218 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.



The Penguins are entering this game with 88 points, a 36-21-16 record overall, and they are 17-12-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Stars in their last game, losing that one at home 6-3, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the New York Islanders still to be played on Monday night. In their game against the Stars, Erik Karlsson, Anthony Mantha, and Noel Acciari each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Erik Karlsson led the team in assists with 2 while Egor Chinakhov led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 24 shots with 20 saves and a .833 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 250 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.


Red Wings vs Penguins Prediction

The current betting odds have the Red Wings listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Wings have looked good in their games this season with their 39-26-8 record overall, but that record has them in the bottom half of their division in the East. They have been a good road team though with their 19-12-5 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Penguins have looked good in their games this season with their 36-21-16 record overall which has them in the top half of their division in the East. They haven't looked great on home ice though with their 17-12-8 home record this season. The Penguins have had some trouble on home ice this season and they haven't looked that great lately either. They are 4-4-2 in their last 10 games and they are off a 6-3 loss to the Stars at home in their last one. They aren't in a great situation here either, playing this game on a back-to-back with a really tough game against the Islanders the night before. That game is really important for their division with the current standings too, so the Penguins aren't going to have their best effort here the very next night. The Red Wings haven't looked any better lately as they are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games and they were in a playoff spot weeks ago, but lately they have been sliding down the standings with more losses. They are still right in the Wild Card race with 86 points though and they are going to be the more rested team here, so look for the Red Wings to bring their best effort here to bounce back from a loss against the Flyers in their last one as this is a game they need to win with so few left in the season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Wings to win this game. 

Red Wings Penguins Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, March 31, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Red Wings 3 Penguins 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Detroit Red Wings: 119-118 (+6.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 41-33 (+13.5 units) on the moneyline revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 112-109 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 power plays/game or less. 47-32 OVER as a favorite.

Pittsburgh Penguins: 108-129 (-22.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 43-47 (-21.1 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -200 or less. 99-121 (-23.7 units) on the moneyline against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 power plays/game or less. 28-18 OVER as a home favorite of -200 or less.

Key Injuries


Detroit Red Wings:  C. Talbot (G) Day To Day - Undisclosed. M. Rasmussen (C) Out - Undisclosed.

Pittsburgh Penguins:  S. Crosby (C) Day To Day - Lower-body. E. Malkin (C) Day To Day - Upper-body. B. Lizotte (C) Out - Upper-Body. F. Hallander (C) Out - Leg.


Notable Quotes


“We’re not getting tricked by the three goals at the end of the night. This was a disappointing response to getting a big win (5-2) last night in Buffalo.” - Todd McLellan after his team’s loss against the Flyers in their game on Saturday. 


“We focus in on what we can control. I don’t think anybody is going to walk out of today feeling good about our game. We’ve got to be better. It’s all of us, myself included.” - Dan Muse after his team’s loss against the Stars in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Detroit Red Wings
LW Emmitt Finnie
C Dylan Larkin
RW Lucas Raymond
LD Simon Edvinsson
RD Moritz Seider
G John Gibson

Pittsburgh Penguins
LW Rickard Rakell
C Sidney Crosby
RW Bryan Rust
LD Parker Wotherspoon
RD Erik Karlsson
G Arturs Silovs

Statistical Leaders


Detroit Red Wings
Points: Alex DeBrincat (78)
Goals: Alex DeBrincat (37)
Assists: Lucas Raymond (47)
GAA: John Gibson (2.58)

Pittsburgh Penguins
Points: Sidney Crosby (64)
Goals: Sidney Crosby (28)
Assists: Erik Karlsson (47)
GAA: Stuart Skinner (2.99)

Coaches:
Detroit Red Wings: Todd McLellan (2nd season)
Pittsburgh Penguins: Dan Muse (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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