Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/06/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Mar 05, 2024
Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Wednesday, March 6, 2024
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Red Wings +160, Avalanche -192; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Red Wings +165, Avalanche -200; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Red Wings +165, Avalanche -200; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Season Record

Detroit Red Wings:  33-22-6 (4th place, Atlantic Division)
Colorado Avalanche:  38-20-5 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Detroit Red Wings:  6-4-0 last 10
Colorado Avalanche:  6-3-1 last 10



Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche Preview and Analysis


The Red Wings are entering this game with 72 points, a 33-22-6 record overall, and they are 15-12-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Florida Panthers in their last game, losing that one at home 4-0. No one on the team scored a goal or recorded an assist for them in that game. David Perron led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Alex Lyon was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 37 shots with 33 saves and a .892 save percentage. Their offense has scored 216 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 195 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.


The Avalanche are entering this game with 81 points, a 38-20-5 record overall, and they are 24-6-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Chicago Blackhawks in their last game, winning that one at home 5-0. Nathan MacKinnon led the team in goals scored with 2 while Jonathan Drouin, Cale Makar, and Zach Parise each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Nathan MacKinnon led the team in assists with 2 while Nathan MacKinnon led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Justus Annunen was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 37 shots with 37 saves and a 1.000 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 232 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 194 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.


Red Wings vs Avalanche Prediction

The current betting odds have the Avalanche listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Avalanche have looked really good in their games this season with their 38-20-5 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the West and holding down a playoff spot. They have also looked great on home ice this year with their 24-6-0 home record. Meanwhile, the Red Wings have also looked good in their games this season with their 33-22-6 record overall which has them in 4th place of their division in the East and in a Wild Card spot. They haven't looked as good in their road games though with their 15-12-1 road record. They have looked good in their games lately with their 6-4-0 record in their last 10 games, but they lost a lot of momentum with their loss to the Panthers in their last one, getting shut out in that game. They have now lost 2 games in a row and the Avalanche have been the hotter team coming into this one with their 6-3-1 record in their last 10 games. The Avalanche have looked a lot better as a team on their home ice this season and they have more momentum coming into this one off a win and shut out their opponent in that one too. Their offense is scoring goals and their defense has been playing well lately, they will continue to roll in this game as they take advantage of the Red Wings not at their best. The best way to place a bet here is on the Avalanche to win this game and on the puckline.

Red Wings Avalanche Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, March 6, 2024 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Avalanche 4 Red Wings 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


Detroit Red Wings: 21-37 (-8.4 units) on the moneyline off a home loss. 7-14 (-7.2 units) on the moneyline after playing 3 consecutive home games. 16-9 OVER after 1 or more consecutive unders. 28-14 OVER off a loss against a division rival. 7-1 OVER after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored.

Colorado Avalanche: 164-89 (+13.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 23-10 (+8.1 units) on the moneyline after a blowout win by 4 goals or more. 19-7 OVER in non-conference games. 16-7 OVER off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival. 8-3 OVER off a home win where they shut out their opponent.

Key Injuries


Detroit Red Wings:  D. Larkin (C) Late March - Lower Body. V. Husso (G) Out indefinitely - Lower Body.

Colorado Avalanche:  J. Manson (D) Ques Wed - Lower Body. V. Nichushkin (RW) Out indefinitely - Personal. P. Francouz (G) out for season - Groin. G. Landeskog (LW) out for season - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“They just have every aspect covered. They have a good amount of low plays, they have good shooting from the sides and they move the puck really well up top. You’ve got to be prepared for everything, and for the most part we did a good job, but we let a couple creep in.” - Moritz Seider after their loss against the Panthers in their game on Saturday.


“Just feel good this year on home ice, for whatever reason. Obviously, getting a lot of bounces as well." - Nathan MacKinnon after their win against the Blackhawks in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Detroit Red Wings
LW DeBrincat, Alex
C Veleno, Joseph
RW Kane, Patrick
LD Walman, Jake
RD Seider, Moritz
G Lyon, Alex

Colorado Avalanche
LW Lehkonen, Artturi
C MacKinnon, Nathan
RW Rantanen, Mikko
LD Toews, Devon
RD Makar, Cale
G Annunen, Justus

Statistical Leaders


Detroit Red Wings
Points: D. Larkin (54)
Goals: D. Larkin (26)
Assists: L. Raymond (34)
GAA: A. Lyon (2.79)

Colorado Avalanche
Points: N. MacKinnon (105)
Goals: N. MacKinnon (39)
Assists: N. MacKinnon (66)
GAA: J. Annunen (2.33)

Coaches:
Detroit Red Wings: Derek Lalonde (2nd season)
Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (8th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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