by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 29, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 3, 2023
Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Lions -4, Saints +4; Over/Under: 46 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Lions -4, Saints +4; Over/Under: 46 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Lions -4, Saints +4; Over/Under: 46 points
Season Record
Detroit Lions: 8-3 (1st place, NFC North)
New Orleans Saints: 5-6 (2nd place, NFC South)
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Recent Form
Detroit Lions: lost their last game at home against the Green Bay Packers 29-22.
New Orleans Saints: lost their last game on the road against the Atlanta Falcons 24-15.
Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints Preview and Analysis
The Lions are entering this game with an 8-3 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Green Bay Packers 29-22. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 29/44 passes for 332 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. David Montgomery led the team in rushing yards with 71 and 1 TD. David Montgomery led the receivers with 95 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Jerry Jacobs led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Saints are entering this game with a 5-6 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 3-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 24-15. Derek Carr was the starting QB and he completed 24/38 passes for 304 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Alvin Kamara led the team in rushing yards with 69. Chris Olave led the receivers with 114 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Pete Werner led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Tyrann Mathieu came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that game.
Lions vs Saints Prediction
The current betting odds have the Saints listed as a 4 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Saints haven't looked great this season with their 5-6 record overall but that record still has them tied for 1st place in the NFC South. They are only 2-2 in their home games this season and they are coming off of a bad divisional loss in their last game, but they will be looking to bounce back with their defense playing better lately. Meanwhile, the Lions have looked great this season with their 8-3 record overall and they are also 4-1 in their road games, but they haven't looked as good in their games lately. They just lost their last game at home on Thanksgiving Thursday against the Packers and also won a very close game against the Bears the week before which they were really close to losing. They have had a big problem with turning the ball over in their last 2 games too. The Saints defense looked a lot better in their last game and they will be looking to bounce back at home, especially with the way the Lions have been turning the ball over lately. The Saints defense is going to make key plays in this game to keep them in it and they will keep this game within a field goal if they don't pull off the upset.
Lions Saints Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 3, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Lions 23 Saints 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Detroit Lions: 30-15 ATS in all games. 10-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 15-5 ATS after playing a game at home. 11-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 25-17 UNDER off a home loss against a division rival.
New Orleans Saints: 18-26 ATS in all games. 5-14 ATS in home games. 1-7 ATS after a 2 game road trip. 8-3 UNDER in all games. 8-4 UNDER off a division game. 20-7 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders.
Key Injuries
Detroit Lions: J. Jackson (G) Ques Sun - Ankle. I. Buggs (DL) Ques Sun - Illness. J. Houston (LB) Early Dec - Ankle. H. Vaitai (G) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Daly (LS) Out indefinitely - Knee. E. Moseley (CB) I-R - Knee. Z. Knight (RB) I-R - Shoulder. J. Cabinda (FB) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Nelson (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. C. Gardner-Johnson (DB) I-R - Pectoral. N. Sudfeld (QB) I-R - Knee. S. Zylstra (TE) I-R - Knee. H. Hooker (QB) Out indefinitely - Knee.
New Orleans Saints: C. Olave (WR) Ques Sun - Concussion. R. Shaheed (WR) Ques Sun - Thigh. K. Miller (RB) Ques Sun - Ankle. I. Foskey (DE) Ques Sun - Quadricep. J. Graham (TE) Ques Sun - Illness. M. Lattimore (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. M. Thomas (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. P. Turner (DE) Out indefinitely - Toe. E. Benjamin (RB) I-R - Achilles. A. Dowell (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Turner (G) I-R - Quadricep.
Notable Quotes
“I didn’t have my guys ready to go, bottom line.” - Dan Campbell after his team’s loss against the Packers in their last game.
“They did a good job of blocking us up front. We will look at schematically what we can do to be better there. That was a big factor, them winning the line of scrimmage.” - Dennis Allen after his team’s loss against the Falcons in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Detroit Lions
WR Reynolds, Josh
WR Williams, Jameson
WR St. Brown, Amon-Ra
TE LaPorta, Sam
QB Goff, Jared
RB Montgomery, David
New Orleans Saints
WR Perry, A.T.
WR Olave, Chris
WR Shaheed, Rashid
TE Johnson, Juwan
QB Carr, Derek
RB Kamara, Alvin
Statistical Leaders
Detroit Lions
Passing: J. Goff (3075)
Rushing: D. Montgomery (648)
Receiving: A. St. Brown (993)
Touchdowns: D. Montgomery (9)
New Orleans Saints
Passing: D. Carr (2535)
Rushing: A. Kamara (457)
Receiving: C. Olave (771)
Touchdowns: T. Hill (4)
Coaches:
Detroit Lions: Dan Campbell (3rd season)
New Orleans Saints: Dennis Allen (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
