by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Nov 11, 2023
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Lions -3, Chargers +3; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Lions -3, Chargers +3; Over/Under: 48.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Lions -3, Chargers +3; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Season Record
Detroit Lions: 6-2 (1st place, NFC North)
Los Angeles Chargers: 4-4 (2nd place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Detroit Lions: won their last game at home against the Las Vegas Raiders 26-14.
Los Angeles Chargers: won their last game on the road against the New York Jets 27-6.
Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Chargers Preview and Analysis
The Lions are entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 26-14. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 26/37 passes for 272 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team in rushing yards with 152 and 1 TD. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receivers with 108 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Alex Anzalone led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Alex Anzalone and Alim McNeill each led the defense in sacks with 2. Kerby Joseph came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Chargers are entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New York Jets 27-6. Justin Herbert was the starting QB and he completed 16/30 passes for 136 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Austin Ekeler led the team in rushing yards with 47 and 2 TDs. Keenan Allen led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Derwin James Jr. led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Joey Bosa led the defense in sacks with 2.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Lions vs Chargers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Lions listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lions have looked really good this season with their 6-2 record overall and they are coming off their bye for this game so they have had plenty of rest. Meanwhile, the Chargers are 4-4 overall and have looked a lot better after finding their way back to .500, but even in their win against the Jets last week their offense really struggled. Their defense and special teams was a big reason for that win against the Jets as their offense wasn't that efficient and struggled against a good defense. The Lions also have a good defense and even though the Chargers are at home here, they won't have much of a home advantage here. As good as the Chargers have been in their games lately, the Lions have been better and more consistent all season while also coming off a bye week so they are the more prepared team with the Chargers coming off Monday night football too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lions to cover the spread in this game.
Lions Chargers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 12, 2023 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Lions 27 Chargers 21.
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NFL Betting Trends
Detroit Lions: 14-30 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 5-9 ATS after allowing 100 or less passing yards in their last game. 20-12 OVER against AFC West division opponents. 17-9 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread.
Los Angeles Chargers: 10-5 ATS as an underdog. 13-7 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 10-2 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. 6-1 OVER after a win by 10 or more points. 7-2 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread.
Key Injuries
Detroit Lions: J. Houston (LB) Late Nov - Ankle. L. Onwuzurike (DL) Doub Sun - Hip. H. Vaitai (G) Out Sun - Back. D. Skipper (OT) Ques Sun - Ribs. F. Ragnow (C) Prob Sun - Toe. J. Jackson (G) Prob Sun - Ankle. K. Dorsey (CB) Prob Sun - Knee. D. Montgomery (RB) Prob Sun - Ribs. D. Peoples-Jones (WR) Ques Sun - Ribs. S. Daly (LS) Out indefinitely - Knee. E. Moseley (CB) I-R - Knee. Z. Knight (RB) I-R - Shoulder. J. Cabinda (FB) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Nelson (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. C. Gardner-Johnson (DB) I-R - Pectoral. N. Sudfeld (QB) I-R - Knee. S. Zylstra (TE) I-R - Knee. H. Hooker (QB) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Los Angeles Chargers: J. Bosa (LB) Prob Sun - Illness. J. Herbert (QB) Prob Sun - Finger. J. Palmer (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Williams (WR) I-R - Knee. R. Layne (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Woods (S) Out indefinitely - Illness. C. Linsley (C) Out indefinitely - Illness.
Notable Quotes
“We wanted to get Gibbs going. You could tell he was feeling it.” - Dan Campbell after his team’s win against the Raiders in their last game.
“We did the things that good defenses do. I thought we were physical, we did a really good job against the run game and we rushed the passer. We limited the explosions in the deep part of the field and we were really good in the red zone. So it was a team win.” - Brandon Staley after his team’s win against the Jets in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Detroit Lions
WR Reynolds, Josh
WR Williams, Jameson
WR St. Brown, Amon-Ra
TE LaPorta, Sam
QB Goff, Jared
RB Montgomery, David
Los Angeles Chargers
WR Johnston, Quentin
WR Guyton, Jalen
WR ALLEN, KEENAN
TE Everett, Gerald
QB Herbert, Justin
RB Ekeler, Austin
Statistical Leaders
Detroit Lions
Passing: J. Goff (2174)
Rushing: J. Gibbs (399)
Receiving: A. St. Brown (665)
Touchdowns: D. Montgomery (6)
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing: J. Herbert (2026)
Rushing: J. Kelley (323)
Receiving: K. Allen (720)
Touchdowns: K. Allen (4)
Coaches:
Detroit Lions: Dan Campbell (3rd season)
Los Angeles Chargers: Brandon Staley (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
