by Rod Pearson
Monday, Sep 25, 2023
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Thursday, September 28, 2023
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Where to Watch: Amazon Prime Video
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Lions -1.5, Packers +1.5; Over/Under: 46 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Lions -1.5, Packers +1.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Lions -1.5, Packers +1.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Season Record
Detroit Lions: 2-1 (2nd place, NFC North)
Green Bay Packers: 2-1 (1st place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Detroit Lions: won their last game at home against the Atlanta Falcons 20-6.
Green Bay Packers: won their last game at home against the New Orleans Saints 18-17.
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis
The Lions are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 20-6. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 22/33 passes for 243 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team in rushing yards with 80. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receivers with 102 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Brian Branch led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Aidan Hutchinson led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.
The Packers are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 18-17. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 22/44 passes for 259 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jordan Love led the team in rushing yards with 39 and 1 TD. Romeo Doubs led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Rudy Ford led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Rashan Gary led the defense in sacks with 3. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.
Lions vs Packers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Lions listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lions defense showed up big in their last game with a 20-6 win at home over the Falcons and now they are on the road in a divisional game but they have already shown this year they can win on the road with a win over the Kansas City Chiefs. The Packers have also looked good in their games with a 2-1 record and their 1 loss was only by 1 point on the road. They weren't that great in that loss though despite being close in score and they looked even worse in their last game at home despite beating the Saints by 1 point. The Saints had a 17-0 lead at HT in that game before an injury to Derek Carr derailed their offense and allowed the Packers to come back with poor game management. The Saints likely win that game though if Carr plays until the end and now they have another tough challenge with the Lions. The Lions are still the best team in this division and with the injuries that the Packers have, they won't be able to keep this a close game as the Lions will expose them here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lions to cover the spread in this game.
Lions Packers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Thursday, September 28, 2023 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Lions 24 Packers 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Detroit Lions: 12-30 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 12-21 ATS after allowing 50 or less rushing yards last game. 20-8 OVER after allowing 9 points or less last game. 14-8 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread.
Green Bay Packers: 23-15 ATS in all games. 11-2 ATS as an underdog. 12-6 ATS in home games. 28-14 OVER after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. 31-19 OVER after a win by 3 or less points.
Key Injuries
Detroit Lions: D. Skipper (OT) Ques Thurs - Hamstring. M. Nelson (OT) Ques Thurs - Ankle. K. Joseph (S) Ques Thurs - Hip. H. Vaitai (G) Ques Thurs - Knee. D. Montgomery (RB) Ques Thurs - Thigh. T. Decker (OT) Ques Thurs - Ankle. E. Moseley (CB) Ques Thurs - Knee. J. Houston (LB) Mid Nov - Ankle. C. Gardner-Johnson (DB) I-R - Pectoral. J. Paschal (DL) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Dorsey (CB) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Okwara (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. N. Sudfeld (QB) I-R - Knee. S. Zylstra (TE) I-R - Knee. H. Hooker (QB) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Williams (WR) Elig Week 7 - Suspension.
Green Bay Packers: C. Valentine (CB) Ques Thurs - Bicep. D. Campbell (LB) Ques Thurs - Ankle. J. Alexander (CB) Ques Thurs - Back. Z. Anderson (S) Ques Thurs - Hamstring. D. Bakhtiari (OT) Ques Thurs - Knee. E. Jenkins (G) Ques Thurs - Knee. A. Jones (RB) Ques Thurs - Hamstring. C. Watson (WR) Ques Thurs - Hamstring. A. Johnson Jr. (S) Ques Thurs - Knee. L. Tenuta (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. E. Stokes (CB) Out indefinitely - Foot. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We looked like a hungry, violent defense.” - Dan Campbell after his team’s win against the Falcons in their last game.
“I've never been a part of a win like this. The guys in the locker room, they believe. They believe in one another. And they continued to battle.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s win against the Saints in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Detroit Lions
WR JONES JR., MARVIN
WR Reynolds, Josh
WR St. Brown, Amon-Ra
TE LaPorta, Sam
QB Goff, Jared
RB Montgomery, David
FB Cabinda, Jason
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Musgrave, Luke
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jones, Aaron
FB Deguara, Josiah
Statistical Leaders
Detroit Lions
Passing: J. Goff (819)
Rushing: D. Montgomery (141)
Receiving: A. St. Brown (275)
Touchdowns: D. Montgomery (2)
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (655)
Rushing: A. Dillon (107)
Receiving: J. Reed (148)
Touchdowns: R. Doubs (3)
Coaches:
Detroit Lions: Dan Campbell (3rd season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
