Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/30/2023

Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Saturday, December 30, 2023

Venue:  AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN, ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Lions +6, Cowboys -6; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Lions +6, Cowboys -6; Over/Under:  53.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Lions +6, Cowboys -6; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Detroit Lions:  11-4 (1st place, NFC North)

Dallas Cowboys:  10-5 (2nd place, NFC East)

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Detroit Lions:  won their last game on the road against the Minnesota Vikings 30-24.

Dallas Cowboys:  lost their last game on the road against the Miami Dolphins 22-20.

The Lions are entering this game with an 11-4 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 6-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 30-24. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 30/40 passes for 257 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team in rushing yards with 80 and 2 TDs. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receivers with 106 receiving yards on 12 receptions and 1 TD. Kerby Joseph led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Ifeatu Melifonwu led the defense in sacks with 2. Kerby Joseph came away with 2 interceptions for them while Brian Branch and Ifeatu Melifonwu each came away with 1 interception in that game.

 

 

 

The Cowboys are entering this game with a 10-5 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 3-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Miami Dolphins 22-20. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 20/32 passes for 253 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Tony Pollard led the team in rushing yards with 38. CeeDee Lamb led the receivers with 118 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Donovan Wilson led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Micah Parsons and Dorance Armstrong each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Lions listed as a 6 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lions have looked great in their games this season with their 11-4 record overall and they just clinched the NFC North with their win in Minnesota last week. They have looked great in their road games too with their 6-2 road record and they have looked like a real playoff threat all season. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have also looked really good in their games this season with their 10-5 record overall and they have looked even better in their home games with their 7-0 home record. The Cowboys did lose last week in Miami in a really close game and they will be looking to bounce back at home here now that they are a game behind the Eagles in the NFC East. The Cowboys have looked like a different team at home all season but they have also been beating up on a lot of bad teams in those games. The Lions are one of the best teams in the NFC right now and even if the Cowboys find a way to win this game, they aren't winning this game by a touchdown since the Lions have a really strong offense that will be able to match this Cowboys offense in scoring. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lions to cover the spread in this game. 

Lions Cowboys Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Saturday, December 30, 2023 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Cowboys 33 Lions 30.

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Detroit Lions: 14-22 ATS after allowing 50 or less rushing yards last game. 2-6 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 10-5 OVER in all games. 20-5 OVER off a road win against a division rival. 12-4 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

Dallas Cowboys: 33-19 ATS in all games. 27-11 ATS as a favorite. 17-8 ATS in home games. 13-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 15-8 OVER as a home favorite. 6-3 OVER against conference opponents.

Detroit Lions:  J. Jacobs (CB) Prob Sat - Hamstring. D. Barnes (LB) Prob Sat - Shoulder. P. Sewell (OT) Prob Sat - Shoulder. F. Ragnow (C) Prob Sat - Back. T. Decker (OT) Ques Sat - Groin. C. Gardner-Johnson (DB) Ques Sat - Pectoral. J. Cabinda (FB) Ques Sat - Knee. B. Wright (TE) Ques Sat - Hip. J. Paschal (DL) Ques Sat - Hand. J. Houston (LB) Early Jan - Ankle. A. McNeill (DL) Out indefinitely - Knee. H. Vaitai (G) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Daly (LS) Out indefinitely - Knee. E. Moseley (CB) I-R - Knee. Z. Knight (RB) I-R - Shoulder. M. Nelson (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. N. Sudfeld (QB) I-R - Knee. S. Zylstra (TE) I-R - Knee.

Dallas Cowboys:  H. Luepke (RB) Ques Sat - Thigh. M. Hooker (S) Ques Sat - Ankle. R. Dowdle (RB) Ques Sat - Ankle. M. Waletzko (OT) Ques Sat - Shoulder. V. Fehoko Jr. (DE) Ques Sat - Knee. J. Hankins (DT) Ques Sat - Foot. T. Smith (OT) Ques Sat - Back. S. McKeon (TE) Out indefinitely - Ankle. L. Vander Esch (LB) I-R - Neck. C. Goodwin (CB) I-R - Pectoral. T. Diggs (CB) I-R - Knee. J. Stephens Jr. (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Durden (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Overshown (LB) I-R - Knee. J. Ball (OT) I-R - Hip.

“I’m proud of all the Lions fans out there who’ve been dying for this for years. That was for you, too.” - Dan Campbell on winning the NFC North after his team’s win against the Vikings in their last game. 

“We’re not taking any moral victories from this. We will take some confidence. We’re committed to one another and holding each other accountable in our goal.” - Dak Prescott after their loss against the Dolphins in their last game. 

WR Reynolds, Josh

WR Williams, Jameson 

WR St. Brown, Amon-Ra 

TE LaPorta, Sam 

QB Goff, Jared 

RB Gibbs, Jahmyr 

WR Gallup, Michael 

WR Cooks, Brandin 

WR Lamb, CeeDee 

TE Ferguson, Jake 

QB Prescott, Dak 

RB Pollard, Tony

FB Luepke, Hunter

Passing: J. Goff (3984)

Rushing: D. Montgomery (910)

Receiving: A. St. Brown (1281)

Touchdowns: D. Montgomery (11)

Passing: D. Prescott (3892)

Rushing: T. Pollard (886)

Receiving: C. Lamb (1424)

Touchdowns: C. Lamb (11)

Coaches:

Detroit Lions: Dan Campbell (3rd season)

Dallas Cowboys: Mike McCarthy (4th season)