Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/21/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 21, 2021
Venue:  FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  Fox

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Lions +10, Browns -10; Over/Under:  44.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Lions +10, Browns -10; Over/Under:  44.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Lions NL, Browns NL; Over/Under:  44.5 points
 

Season Record

Detroit Lions:  0-8-1 (4th place, NFC North)
Cleveland Browns:  5-5 (4th place, AFC North)
 
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Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Detroit Lions:  tied on the road on Nov. 14 against the Pittsburgh Steelers 16-16.
Cleveland Browns:  lost on the road on Nov. 14 against the New England Patriots 45-7.
 
 
 

Detroit Lions Analysis

The Lions are coming into this game with a 0-8-1 record overall and they are 0-4-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. The Lions have not won a game all season but they are coming into this one off of a tie in their last game which snapped the 8 game losing streak that they were on. Jared Goff was not good in their last game as he completed 14/25 passes for 114 yards. D'Andre Swift had a nice day as he led the team in rushing with 130 yards on 33 carries while Godwin Igwebuike and Jemar Jefferson each ran in 1 TD on the ground in that one. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receivers with 61 yards on 4 receptions in what was a quiet day for the receiving corps. Tracy Walker III led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles. No one on the defense recorded a sack in that game but Julian Okwara did come away with 1 interception for them in that one. They have scored 150 points in their 9 games this season averaging 16.7 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 260 points against them allowing 28.9 PPG. Their offense is averaging 319.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 379.8 YPG.
 
 

Cleveland Browns Analysis

The Browns are coming into this game with a 5-5 record overall and they are 3-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and they are coming into this one off of a road loss in their last game. QB Baker Mayfield did not play well in that game as he completed 11/21 passes for 73 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception. He got injured late in that game so backup quarterback Case Keenum came in to take over and he completed 8/12 passes for 81 yards. D'Ernest Johnson had a nice day as he led the team in rushing with 99 yards on 19 carries. He also led the receivers with 58 yards on 7 receptions while Austin Hooper caught the lone touchdown pass for them in that one. Anthony Walker Jr. led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Malik McDowell and Myles Garrett recorded the only sacks in that game with 1 each while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 231 points in their 10 games this season averaging 23.1 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 241 points against them allowing 24.1 PPG. Their offense is averaging 363.8 YPG while the Browns’ defense is allowing 323.9 YPG.
 
 

 

Lions vs Browns Prediction

The Browns are coming into this matchup as a 10-point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Browns got smashed in their last game but the Patriots have been getting better each week and they are starting to look like a real force in the AFC this season. Mayfield is injured and might play in this game but even if he does not, Keenum is more than capable of leading the offense with his many years in the NFL and his familiarity with Stefanski's offense. The Lions have been so bad this season and they only tied their game last week because of Mason Rudolf being at quarterback for the Steelers. The Browns will be looking for a big bounce back after that bad game and they are going to get it here. The best bet to place in this game is on the Browns to cover the spread.
 
Lions Browns Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 21, 2021 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Browns 35 Lions 17.
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NFL Betting Trends

 
Detroit Lions: 78-86 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 217-249 ATS in all games. 150-157 ATS as an underdog. 90-99 ATS as a road underdog. 103-129 ATS in road games. 48-60 ATS off a non-conference game.
Cleveland Browns: 196-226 O/U in all games. 43-52 O/U as a home favorite. 90-119 O/U in home games. 155-176 O/U in games played on a grass field. 40-62 O/U in non-conference games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Detroit Lions:  J. Jefferson (RB) day-to-day - Ankle injury. T. Boyle (QB) day-to-day - Thumb injury. K. Strong (DT) day-to-day - Concussion.
Cleveland Browns:  B. Mayfield (QB) day-to-day - Knee injury. N. Chubb (RB) Out indefinitely - Illness. K. Hunt (RB) Out indefinitely - Calf injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I don't know how to feel about that, necessarily. It's like I told the guys, I was upset we didn't win, but I was also proud of them because of the fact that we put ourselves in position to win the game in overtime." - Dan Campbell after their tie with the Steelers in their last game.
 
 
"They outplayed us, outcoached us. Mac Jones in particular, but their offense played really well. We could not get them off on third down." - Kevin Stefanski on his team’s loss against the Patriots in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Detroit Lions
WR Kalif Raymond
WR St. Brown, Amon-Ra 
TE Hockenson, TJ 
QB Goff, Jared 
RB Swift, D'Andre 
FB Cabinda, Jason  
 
Cleveland Browns
WR Landry, Jarvis 
WR Donovan Peoples-Jones
TE Hooper, Austin 
QB KEENUM, CASE  
RB Chubb, Nick 
FB Janovich, Andy
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Detroit Lions
Passing: J. Goff (2109)
Rushing: D. Swift (419)
Receiving: T. Hockenson (448)
Touchdowns: D. Swift (3)
 
Cleveland Browns
Passing: B. Mayfield (1990)
Rushing: N. Chubb (721)
Receiving: David Njoku (352)
Touchdowns: N. Chubb (6)
 
Coaches:
Detroit Lions: Dan Campbell (1st season)
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (2nd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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