Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears Previews and Picks 10/03/2021

by James Q

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears Previews and Picks 10/03/2021

Game Time:  1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 3rd, 2021
Venue: Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

FanDuel:  Bears -3; O/U 42 points
BetMGM:  Bears -3; O/U 42.5 points
PointsBet: Bears -3; O/U 42.5 points
Season Record
Bears: 1-2 (3rd place NFC North)
Lions: 0-3 (4th place NFC North)
The Bears are lost.  The Lions are lost.  Both teams seem to be waiting for something to happen before they build a real football team to put on the field.  
The Bears are waiting to fire Matt Nagy who decided to not get potential franchise quarterback Justin Fields ready for this season in favor of Andy Dalton… in sort of a win now and keep his job scenario.  Now Andy Dalton is hurt and Justin Fields is playing poorly.  The entire team looks lost.  Matt Nagy won’t and shouldn’t keep his job after this season.  The shrug at the post game press conferences says it all… there is no fix right now.  
The Lions have always been lost.  For years and years spilling into decades the Lions are a lost cause.  When they have a good year it usually coincides with another NFC North team collapsing and rebuilding.  They are currently watching former franchise quarterback Matthew Stafford light up the league with the Los Angeles Rams.  They got QB Jared Goff and some first round picks in return for Matt… now they just have to wait for Jared Goff’s contract to expire and those picks to be good players before they field a good team… maybe.
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Lions vs Bears Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
The Lions lost to the San Francisco 49ers 41-33 in game 1.  Then they lost game 2 to the Green Bay Packers 35-17.  Then they lost game 3 to the Baltimore Ravens 19-17.  The last loss will be remembered forever not just as an absolute heartbreaker of a loss… but because Baltimore Ravens kicker Justin Tucker set the new NFL record for distance with a 66-yard field goal. Yes they have scored and yes they have put up a fight. Yes, they will be underdogs against this division-rival and everyone else they play until the NFL Draft.
The Bears need this matchup. They need the battle of the NFC North Lightweights.  They need a win desperately to lift the Bears hopes… and not just the Bears players, but the entire city of Chicago.  In Game 1 the Rams beat the Bears 34-14.  In game 2 the Bears pulled out a close win against the Cincinnati Bengals 20-17, but it cost them QB Andy Dalton’s health.  In game 3 the Cleveland Browns walked all over the Bears in Justin Fields’ debut 26-6.  

Offensive Analysis

The Lions are 17th in yards per game 353 and 19th in points scored 22.3.  Former 1st overall pick Jared Goff is moving the ball, but not enough… He has 801 yards passing on 86-123 5 TDs and 2 interceptions.  He has been sacked 6 times behind a swiss cheese offensive line.  The trio of receivers in Detroit have no clear alpha, WR T.J. Hockenson has 18 receptions, but is followed closely by RB D’Andre Swift and WR Kalif Raymond in total receiving yards.  

The Bears are stymied on offense. They are 31st in scoring, a terrible 13.3 points per game.  If it weren’t for the New York Jets, they would be the worst offensive team in the NFL.  They are worse than the Jets in one stat… lowest yards in the league  191.7.  There is a disparity in quarterback play in Chicago.  QB Andy Dalton started the year and played most of the first two games and then got hurt.  Justin Fields made brief appearances in the first two games and started game 3.  Andy Dalton was sacked 4 times… Justin Fields has been sacked 11 times. Either Justin Fields held the ball too long or the line stopped blocking for a rookie.  

Defensive Analysis

The Detroit Lions are 22nd in yards given up per game 384 and 31st in points given up per game 31.7.  The only team giving up more points than the Detroit Lions is the Kansas City Chiefs, yet the Chiefs have played better teams and scored a lot more points on offense. 

The Chicago Bears are 19th in points given up 25.7 and 12th in yards per game given up, 350.7.  The Bears defense isn’t elite, but it also isn’t atrocious.  Linebacker Roquan Smith leads the team in tackles by a wide margin.  LB Robert Quinn is off to a slow start (for him) in the tackle department but does lead the team in sacks 4.
Lions vs Bears Prediction

Our prediction for Sunday, October 3rd is... Lions 21 - Bears 17
This is an upset pick based on whether Matt Nagy can solve the Bears Quarterback woes in a week.  He has yet to demonstrate he can.
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NFL Betting Trends

The Lions are 4-8 ATS on a grass field the last three seasons.
The Bears are 4-10 ATS as a favorite the last three seasons.
The Bears are 4-8 ATS versus division opponents the last three years.
The Bears are 2-5 ATS in October games, the last three years.


Key Injuries

Lions: DE Trey Flowers (knee) Questionable *  DT Kevin Strong Jr (concussion) Questionable
Bears: QB Andy Dalton (Knee) Questionable  *  DE Khalil Mack (foot) Questionable

Players to Watch

Lions: Jared Goff.  Jared desperately needs a win.  The team that dumped him is being crowned homecoming Queen and he is working the night shift at Burger King… he needs a win.
Bears: Justin Fields.  In his debut as a starting quarterback in the NFL Justin had 64 total passing yards and was sacked 11 times.  He’ll take anything positive right now.  The trouble with playing rookie quarterbacks on bad teams is they could get broken.  They could end up with shattered confidence.   

Notable Quotes


“The way I feel right now, I don’t like feeling like this," - Bears quarterback Justin Fields.

“You almost can’t make it up, it was that bad,” - Bears coach Matt Nagy


Starting Lineups

Lions:  QB Jared Goff, RB D’Andre Swift, WR Quintez Cephus, WR Kalif Raymond, WR Amon-Ra St Brown, TE T.J. Hockenson, LT Penei Sewell, LG Jonah Jackson, C Frank Ragnow, RG Vaitai Halapoulivaati, RT Matt Nelson

Bears: QB Andy Dalton, RB David Montgomery, WR Allen Robinson II, WR Darnell Mooney, WR Damiere Byrd, TE Cole Kmet, LT Jason Peters, LG Cody Whitehair, C Sam Mustipher, RG James Daniels, RT Germain Ifedi


Statistical Leaders

Passing: Jared Goff 801 yards
Rushing:  D’Andre Swift 123 yards
Receiving:  T.J. Hockenson  173 yards
Tackles Will Harris 20
Interceptions:  Amani Oruwariye  1

Passing: Andy Dalton 262 yards
Rushing:  David Montgomery  203 yards
Receiving: Darnell Mooney  101 yards
Tackles:  Roquan Smith 29
Interceptions:  1
Lions:  Dan Campbell
Bears: Matt Nagy

Weather Forecast

Scattered Showers. 69* the high.  Humidity 77%.  Wind 14 mph.  

James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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