Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/22/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Mar 21, 2023
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 22, 2023
Venue:  Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
Where to Watch:  NBCS-DC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -6.5, Wizards +6.5; Over/Under:  227 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -6.5, Wizards +6.5; Over/Under:  227 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -6.5, Wizards +6.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Season Record

Denver Nuggets:  48-24 (1st place, Northwest Division)
Washington Wizards:  32-39 (3rd place, Southeast Division)

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Recent Form
Denver Nuggets:  5-5 last 10
Washington Wizards:  3-7 last 10


Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards Preview and Analysis


The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 48-24 record overall and they are 18-18 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Brooklyn Nets in their last game. Michael Porter Jr. led the team in points in that game with 28 while Jamal Murray was next on the team with 25 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 52.5% from the field, 52.2% from 3-point range, and 92.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.9 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 38-33-1 this season and their O/U record is 36-36.



The Wizards are coming into this game with a 32-39 record overall and they are 16-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They still have a game against the Orlando Magic on Tuesday that needs to be played first as this is the 2nd leg of a back-to-back for them on Wednesday. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Sacramento Kings in their last game. Kyle Kuzma led the team in points in that game with 33 while Bradley Beal was next on the team with 20 points. Deni Avdija led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Deni Avdija led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 45.1% from the field, 36.1% from 3-point range, and 85.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.5 PPG against them. The Wizards have an ATS record of 32-36-3 this season and their O/U record is 33-36-2.


Nuggets vs Wizards Prediction

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have been having a great year with their 48-24 record overall making them the best team in the West right now and one of the best teams in the entire NBA. They are only 18-18 in their road games this season but they have some momentum from their win over the Nets the other night and they also have the advantage of being rested for this game. The Wizards haven't been that great this year with their losing 32-39 record overall and they haven't even been that good at home with their losing 16-18 home record. They have no momentum on their side either with 2 losses in a row now and they are also at a disadvantage being on a back-to-back here. The Nuggets have the best record in the West and they are still fighting to keep their number 1 seed right now so they need to keep winning games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Wizards Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 22, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 118 Wizards 108.
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NBA Betting Trends


Denver Nuggets: 20-15 ATS after playing a road game. 19-10 OVER against Southeast division opponents. 9-5 OVER after 3 or more consecutive unders.
Washington Wizards: 17-23 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. 13-4 OVER as a home underdog. 22-7 OVER against Northwest division opponents.

Key Injuries


Denver Nuggets:  C. Gillespie (PG) Late March - Leg.
Washington Wizards:  K. Kuzma (PF) Out Tues - Ankle. K. Porzingis (PF) Prob Tues - Illness.


Notable Quotes


“Obviously we were 1-5 in our last six, not playing up to our abilities, so just to get the win is the thing I’m most proud of.” - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the Nets in their game on Sunday.


“Another guy with size, athleticism. He’s got the versatility to defend multiple positions.” - Wes Unseld Jr. on Xavier Cooks after his team’s loss against the Kings in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray
SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic

Washington Wizards
PG Monte Morris
SG Bradley Beal
SF Corey Kispert
PF Kristaps Porzingis
C Daniel Gafford

Statistical Leaders


Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (24.7)
APG: N. Jokic (9.9)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (11.9)

Washington Wizards
PPG: B. Beal (23.3)
APG: B. Beal (5.4)
Reb/G: K. Porzingis (8.5)

Coaches:
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (8th season)
Washington Wizards: Wes Unseld Jr. (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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