Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/14/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Mar 13, 2023
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, March 14, 2023
Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  NBA TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +1, Raptors -1; Over/Under:  225.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +1, Raptors -1; Over/Under:  225.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +1, Raptors -1; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Season Record

Denver Nuggets:  46-22 (1st place, Northwest Division)
Toronto Raptors:  32-36 (5th place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Denver Nuggets:  6-4 last 10
Toronto Raptors:  5-5 last 10


Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Preview and Analysis


The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 46-22 record overall and they are 16-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Chicago Bulls, the San Antonio Spurs, and the Brooklyn Nets in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 35 while Michael Porter Jr. was next on the team with 23 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 20. They were 50% from the field, 38.7% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 36-31-1 this season and their O/U record is 35-33.



The Raptors are coming into this game with a 32-36 record overall and they are 20-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Denver Nuggets, the Los Angeles Clippers, and the Los Angeles Lakers in their last game. Scottie Barnes led the team in points in that game with 32 while OG Anunoby was next on the team with 31 points. Fred VanVleet led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Jakob Poeltl led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 50% from the field, 35.7% from 3-point range, and 76.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.2 PPG against them. The Raptors have an ATS record of 33-35 this season and their O/U record is 38-30.


Nuggets vs Raptors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Raptors listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Raptors haven't been great this season with their losing 32-36 record overall and they find themselves at the bottom of their division right now. They have been a much better home team this season though with their 20-13 home record and they have lost 3 games in a row now, all of those losses being on the road, so they are going to be looking to bounce back with a win on their home court. The Nuggets have been one of the best teams in the NBA this season with their 46-22 record overall and they are leading the West as the best team too. They haven't been as good in their road games though with a 16-16 road record and they have also been in a little slump themselves lately with 3 losses in a row now. The Nuggets have struggled more in road games while the Raptors have been better in their home games but the Raptors also have the determination to win this game as their 3 game losing streak started with a loss in Denver. They will be out for their revenge here on their home court and will take advantage of a slumping Nuggets team that hasn't been at their best lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Raptors to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Raptors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 14, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Raptors 108 Nuggets 99.
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NBA Betting Trends


Denver Nuggets: 12-7 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 28-8 OVER off a home loss. 9-0 OVER after 3 or more consecutive losses.
Toronto Raptors: 12-19 ATS as a home underdog. 9-14 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games. 6-3 OVER when playing with 3 or more days rest.

Key Injuries


Denver Nuggets:  J. Murray (SG) Ques Tues - Knee. C. Gillespie (PG) Late March - Leg. Z. Nnaji (PF) Late March - Shoulder.
Toronto Raptors:  O. Porter Jr. (SF) out for season - Toe.


Notable Quotes


“Tough loss. Our guys fought back, gave ourselves a chance at the end.” - Michael Malone after his team’s loss against the Nets in their game on Sunday.


“Sometimes you can play bad basketball and win every game. You just try to take the positives from the losses, carry them over and win the next game.” - OG Anunoby after their loss against the Lakers in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray
SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic

Toronto Raptors
PG Fred VanVleet
SG O.G. Anunoby
SF Scottie Barnes
PF Pascal Siakam
C Jakob Poeltl

Statistical Leaders


Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (24.7)
APG: N. Jokic (10)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (12)

Toronto Raptors
PPG: P. Siakam (24.4)
APG: F. VanVleet (7)
Reb/G: J. Poeltl (9.1)

Coaches:
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (8th season)
Toronto Raptors: Nick Nurse (5th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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