Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/06/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Apr 05, 2023
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, April 6, 2023
Venue:  Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ
Where to Watch:  TNT


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +4.5, Suns -4.5; Over/Under:  223 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +4.5, Suns -4.5; Over/Under:  223 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +4.5, Suns -4.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Season Record

Denver Nuggets:  52-27 (1st place, Northwest Division)
Phoenix Suns:  44-35 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Denver Nuggets:  6-4 last 10
Phoenix Suns:  7-3 last 10


Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Preview and Analysis


The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 52-27 record overall and they are 19-20 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Houston Rockets in their last game. Michael Porter Jr. led the team in points in that game with 23 while Nikola Jokić was next on the team with 14 points. Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokić, and Jamal Murray each led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 47.1% from the field, 30.6% from 3-point range, and 55.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.5 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 42-36-1 this season and their O/U record is 36-42-1.



The Suns are coming into this game with a 44-35 record overall and they are 27-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak with wins coming against the Philadelphia 76ers, the Utah Jazz, the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Denver Nuggets, the Oklahoma City Thunder, and the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. Devin Booker led the team in points in that game with 27 while Chris Paul was next on the team with 22 points. Josh Okogie, Devin Booker, Chris Paul, Torrey Craig, Landry Shamet, and Terrence Ross each led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Deandre Ayton led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 48.3% from the field, 30.3% from 3-point range, and 73.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.3 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 41-36-2 this season and their O/U record is 39-38-2.


Nuggets vs Suns Prediction

The current betting odds have the Suns listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Suns have been great this season with their 44-35 record overall but they have also been great in their home games with a 27-12 home record. They are really starting to get hot now going into the playoffs too as they have won 6 games in a row and their team is also really healthy. The Nuggets have also been great this season with their 52-27 record overall making them the best team in the West and one of the best in the entire NBA, but they haven't been good in their road games. They are only 19-20 in their road games this season and they have been terrible in their games lately as they just lost to the Rockets in their last game. They have been banged up and missing some players too and with how bad they have been in their last few games, the Nuggets will not stand a chance here against a healthy Suns team at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Suns to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Suns Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, April 6, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Suns 127 Nuggets 112.
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NBA Betting Trends


Denver Nuggets: 10-2 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more. 10-5 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 13-4 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent.
Phoenix Suns: 24-33 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more. 20-12 UNDER as a home favorite. 24-18 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins.

Key Injuries


Denver Nuggets:  Z. Nnaji (PF) Ques Thurs - Knee. J. Murray (SG) Ques Thurs - Thumb. C. Gillespie (PG) Mid April - Leg.
Phoenix Suns:  None.


Notable Quotes


“If that’s how we’re going to play, we’ll be out in the first round. When we don’t do our jobs, there’s accountability. And I speak the truth. I just called our team, ‘soft,’ and I dared someone to challenge me. No one did, because we as a group were soft tonight. I’m not saying we are soft, but tonight, we were.” - Michael Malone after his team’s loss against the Rockets in their game on Tuesday.


“I never thought I'd have to tell a Hall of Fame player to shoot the ball. Kevin and Book are going nuts because they all want him to shoot.” - Monty Williams after his team’s win against the Spurs in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray
SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic

Phoenix Suns
PG Chris Paul
SG Devin Booker
SF Josh Okogie
PF Kevin Durant
C Deandre Ayton

Statistical Leaders


Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (24.8)
APG: N. Jokic (9.8)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (11.9)

Phoenix Suns
PPG: K. Durant (29.1)
APG: C. Paul (9)
Reb/G: D. Ayton (10)

Coaches:
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (8th season)
Phoenix Suns: Monty Williams (4th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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