Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/23/2022

by Rod Pearson

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, November 23, 2022
Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 
Where to Watch:  BSOK

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -2.5, Thunder +2.5; Over/Under:  229 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -2.5, Thunder +2.5; Over/Under:  229 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -2.5, Thunder +2.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points
 

Season Record

Denver Nuggets:  10-6 (2nd place, Northwest Division)
Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-10 (5th place, Northwest Division)
 
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Recent Form
Denver Nuggets:  6-4 last 10
Oklahoma City Thunder:  3-7 last 10

 

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview and Analysis

 
The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 10-6 record overall and they are 6-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They still have a game to be played first on Tuesday night against the Detroit Pistons as this is the 2nd leg of a back-to-back for them on Wednesday. They are entering this game off of a win against the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. Nah'Shon Hyland led the team in points in that game with 29 while Michael Porter Jr. was next on the team with 14 points. Bruce Brown Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 8 while DeAndre Jordan led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 47.4% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 78.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.9 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 7-9 this season and their O/U record is 8-8.
 
 
 
The Thunder are coming into this game with a 7-10 record overall and they are 4-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Memphis Grizzlies and the New York Knicks in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 30 while Luguentz Dort was next on the team with 24 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey each led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Josh Giddey led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 48.9% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 78.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.5 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 10-7 this season and their O/U record is 12-5.

 

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets just pulled off a huge revenge win against the Mavericks in their last game just beating them by 1 point, but they are still going to be missing their star player Nikola Jokic here and they just barely won in Dallas the other night. The Nuggets have been getting by without him and Jamal Murray but those are their 2 best players and it will be very tough for them to win without them. The Thunder were the best team in the NBA last season when it came to covering the spread and they are off to another good start this season but they are also a lot better than they were last year and have been improving with every game they play. They have a lot of young talent on their team that has been finding their way and they also play very well when they are at home. The Nuggets are banged up here and the Thunder will be able to get a win over them while they are in a weakened position. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 
 
Nuggets Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, November 23, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 132 Nuggets 121.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Denver Nuggets: 15-23 ATS vs. division opponents. 22-31 ATS in the first half of the season. 24-14 OVER vs. division opponents.
Oklahoma City Thunder: 23-13 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite. 12-5 OVER in all games. 9-2 OVER after one or more consecutive overs.
 

Key Injuries

 
Denver Nuggets:  A. Gordon (PF) Prob Tues - Illness. B. Hyland (PG) Ques Tues - Hip. J. Green (SF) Out Tues - Knee. N. Jokic (C) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Murray (SG) Out indefinitely - Illness. I. Smith (PG) Out indefinitely - Calf. C. Gillespie (PG) Out indefinitely - Leg.
Oklahoma City Thunder:  A. Pokusevski (PF) Ques Wed - Ankle. C. Holmgren (C) out for season - Foot.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
“We call him half-court Vlatko. That’s why I put him in. The guy is uncanny with his ability to make those shots. For him to do it in a game setting like tonight, I really felt like it changed the game.” - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the Mavericks in their game on Sunday.
 
 
“I mean we gave ourselves a chance. We climbed back in it multiple times. Made some runs, but we were a couple of execution things away. Credit (the Grizzlies). They were better.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Grizzlies in their game on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray 
SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C DeAndre Jordan
 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 
SG Josh Giddey
SF Jalen Williams
PF Luguentz Dort 
C Aleksej Pokusevski
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (20.8)
APG: N. Jokic (8.9)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (9.5)
 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1)
APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6)
Reb/G: J. Giddey (7.2)
 
Coaches:
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (8th season)
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (3rd season)
 


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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