Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/13/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Tuesday, May 13, 2025

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +10, Thunder -10; Over/Under:  221 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +10.5, Thunder -10.5; Over/Under:  220.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +9.5, Thunder -9.5; Over/Under:  220.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  50-32 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  68-14 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  5-5 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10

The Nuggets are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 24-17 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 27 while Christian Braun and Jamal Murray each were next on the team with 17 points. Aaron Gordon led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Aaron Gordon led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 31.3% from the field, 24.4% from 3-point range, and 72.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.9 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 44-47-2 this season and their O/U record is 54-39.

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 68-14 record overall this season and they were 35-6 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Denver Nuggets. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 25 while Cason Wallace and Aaron Wiggins each were next on the team with 11 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Isaiah Hartenstein led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 35.6% from the field, 24.4% from 3-point range, and 76.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 56-31-4 this season and their O/U record is 48-41-2.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 10 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Thunder and the 4th seeded Nuggets from the Western Conference for the 2nd round of the NBA playoffs. This series is all tied up 2-2 after the Thunder won game 4 on the road. The Thunder made it a 2-2 series with a 92-87 win over the Nuggets in the 4th game of this series and even though this series is tied at 2, the Thunder have looked like the better team so far. The Thunder should have won both home games to start the series as they had a big lead by double digits in the game they lost, but they choked it away late and the Nuggets were able to take advantage of that with a very late comeback win. The Thunder bounced back in the 2nd game with a win at home by over 40 points though. Then the Thunder went on the road and dropped game 3, but that was another game that they were leading in and the Nuggets even needed OT just to get the win. Now the Thunder are coming off a road win which tied the series up and they are going to have some momentum now going back home with a chance to take a series lead. The Thunder have already shown that they can crush the Nuggets at home in this series as they did it in game 2 and even had a big lead in game 1. This series is now a 3 game sprint to the finish line and the Thunder are going to bring their best effort to put the Nuggets on the brink of elimination here, reminding everyone of why they were the best team in the NBA during the regular season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, May 13, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 131 Nuggets 110.

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Denver Nuggets: 7-14 ATS on the road versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 11-24 1H ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 6-3 UNDER off a home loss against a division rival. 24-18 UNDER in all playoff games. 

Oklahoma City Thunder: 39-23 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. 34-19 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 10-5 ATS after scoring 100 points or less. 12-5 UNDER off a road win against a division rival. 13-7 UNDER in all playoff games.

Denver Nuggets:  H. Tyson (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. D. Holmes II (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  N. Topic (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

“I really thought the difference in the game was their bench kind of lit a fuse for them. They made 3s ... pretty incredible in a game where the two teams shoot 21 of 86 from 3." - Dave Adelman after his team’s loss against the OKC Thunder in game 4 of this series on Sunday.

“Quick turnaround with an early game today, we made an intentional effort to use our depth today and get everybody going.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Nuggets in game 4 of this series on Sunday. 

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PPG: N. Jokić (29.6)

APG: N. Jokić (10.2)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (12.7)

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.7)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (10.7)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: David Adelman (Interim)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)