Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/31/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jan 30, 2024
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, January 31, 2024
Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 
Where to Watch:  BSOK


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +3.5, Thunder -3.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +3.5, Thunder -3.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +3.5, Thunder -3.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Season Record

Denver Nuggets:  33-15 (2nd place, Northwest Division)
Oklahoma City Thunder:  32-15 (3rd place, Northwestern Division)

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Recent Form
Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10
Oklahoma City Thunder:  6-4 last 10


Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview and Analysis


The Nuggets are entering this game with a 33-15 record overall and they are 14-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Philadelphia 76ers and the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game. Jamal Murray led the team in points in that game with 35 while Nikola Jokić was next on the team with 25 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 48.4% from the field, 22.2% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.9 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 20-26-2 this season and their O/U record is 18-30.



The Thunder are entering this game with a 32-15 record overall and they are 17-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Detroit Pistons and the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 37 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 20 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 44.3% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 77.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.9 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 30-16-1 this season and their O/U record is 26-21.


Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 32-15 record overall which has them right near the top of the West right now, fighting for the number 1 seed. They have also looked great in their home games all year with their 17-6 home record. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 33-15 record overall which also has them right near the top of the West right now, fighting for the number 1 seed. They have also looked good in their road games this season but they haven't been great with their 14-11 road record. They also have some momentum on their side right now with 2 wins in a row and against some good teams in the East as they beat the 76ers and the Bucks, but both wins also came on their home court. The Thunder haven't looked great in their games lately with 2 losses in a row and 1 of those was even against the Pistons who are one of the worst teams in the NBA this year, but they have still looked great on their home court all year and will be looking to bounce back with a much needed win. They just lost a close game to the Timberwolves at home in their last one too and they have shown already this season that they can go toe-to-toe with the Nuggets. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, January 31, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 118 Nuggets 110.
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NBA Betting Trends


Denver Nuggets: 8-16 ATS in road games. 14-27 ATS vs. division opponents. 7-12 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins. 29-19 UNDER in all games. 6-0 UNDER vs. division opponents. 7-3 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive home games.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 30-16 ATS in all games. 16-7 ATS in home games. 28-13 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. 10-5 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 26-18 UNDER vs. division opponents. 14-7 UNDER off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite.

Key Injuries


Denver Nuggets:  J. Strawther (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee. V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  T. Mann (PG) Ques Wed - Undisclosed.


Notable Quotes


“I mean, that’s why I play — to play these kinds of games, to play under the pressure, to play tight games. I like to play under those circumstances.” - Nikola Jokic after their win against the Bucks in their game on Monday.


“It’s why we play the game. You play to play the best teams in the league. You wake up for games like that. You really get to test yourself and see where you are. It was a dogfight tonight.” - Shai Gilgeous-Alexander after their loss against the Timberwolves in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray
SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic

Oklahoma City Thunder
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG Josh Giddey
SF Luguentz Dort
PF Jalen Williams
C Chet Holmgren

Statistical Leaders


Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (26.3)
APG: N. Jokic (9)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.1)

Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (31.3)
APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)
Reb/G: C. Holmgren (7.5)

Coaches:
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (4th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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