Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/30/2026

Game Time: TBD, Thursday, April 30, 2026

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  TBD

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -6.5, Timberwolves +6.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -6.5, Timberwolves +6.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -6.5, Timberwolves +6.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  54-28 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  49-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  8-2 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  5-5 last 10

The Nuggets are entering the playoffs with a 54-28 record overall this season and they were 26-15 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 27 while Jamal Murray was next on the team with 24 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 16 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 56.6% from the field, 37.9% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.9 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 46-41 this season and their O/U record is 52-33.

The Timberwolves are entering the playoffs with a 49-33 record overall this season and they were 26-15 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Denver Nuggets. Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 27 while Ayo Dosunmu was next on the team with 18 points. Julius Randle and Kyle Anderson each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Julius Randle led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 50.6% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 82.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.6 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 39-48 this season and their O/U record is 38-49.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked great in their games this season with their 54-28 record overall which had them right near the top of the West. They have been a great road team too with their 26-15 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 49-33 record overall which had them in the top half of the West. They have looked good on their home court too with their 26-15 home record this season. This is game 6 of a 7-game series between the 3 seeded Nuggets and the 6 seeded Timberwolves in the West for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Timberwolves have a 3-2 series lead after the Nuggets won game 5 by a score of 125-113. The Nuggets were down 3-1 in this series before winning the last game and they were getting slapped around by the Timberwolves in every game, but they have caught a big break in this series now. The Nuggets looked like a team that was well on their way to getting eliminated, but injuries to Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo in game 4 have really flipped this series on it's head. The Timberwolves have looked like a completely different team without Edwards playing this season and it hasn't been good. He won't be back for this series either and now the Nuggets have taken the momentum back with a crushing home win by double digits in game 5. The Nuggets have still looked great in their road games this season and they have all of the momentum in this series now with those injuries being very deflating for the Timberwolves. The Timberwolves don't have the talent to close out a playoff series against a team like the Nuggets while missing 2 of their starters, so look for the Nuggets to bring their best effort to even it up and send this series home for game 7 with a chance to move on. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, April 30, 2026 (start time TBD) is Nuggets 124 Timberwolves 114.

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Denver Nuggets: 27-20 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 20-11 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 9-4 ATS when playing with 2 days rest. 9-3 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 6-13 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 2-6 ATS at home off a road loss. 27-39 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more. 8-5 OVER as an underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Denver Nuggets:  A. Gordon (PF) Day To Day - Calf. P. Watson (SF) Out - Hamstring.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  A. Edwards (SG) Out - Knee. D. DiVincenzo (SG) Out For Season - Leg.

“It’s just a good win and then you move on. Tomorrow we’ll sit down and talk with the guys, get them right, give us a chance to go through things on Wednesday and try to win on Thursday.” - David Adelman after his team’s win against the Timberwolves in the 5th game of this series on Monday. 

“They’re a championship team. They have championship DNA. They’re going to come out and have a sense of pride on their home court. They did that tonight. So, credit to them. We get to go back to Minnesota and have a chance to close it out.” - Julius Randle after their loss against the Nuggets in game 5 of this series on Monday. 

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Cameron Johnson

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG Mike Conley

SG Ayo Dosunmu

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: Nikola Jokic (27.7)

APG: Nikola Jokic (10.7)

Reb/G: Nikola Jokic (12.9)

PPG: Anthony Edwards (28.8)

APG: Julius Randle (5)

Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.5)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: David Adelman (2nd season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)