Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/23/2023

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Sunday, April 23, 2023

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  TNT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3.5, Timberwolves +3.5; Over/Under:  225 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3.5, Timberwolves +3.5; Over/Under:  225 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3.5, Timberwolves +3.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  53-29 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  42-40 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  5-5 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  4-6 last 10

The Nuggets finished the regular season with a 53-29 record overall and they were 19-22 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Sacramento Kings and the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last 3 games. In game 3, Michael Porter Jr. led the team in points in that game with 25 while Nikola Jokić was next on the team with 20 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 57.1% from the field, 40.6% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.5 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 47-37-1 this season and their O/U record is 40-44-1.

The Timberwolves finished the regular season with a 42-40 record overall and they were 22-19 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with all 3 losses coming against the Denver Nuggets in their last 3 games. In game 3, Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 36 while Karl-Anthony Towns was next on the team with 27 points. Kyle Anderson led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 45.6% from the field, 37% from 3-point range, and 82.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.8 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 42-45 this season and their O/U record is 41-46.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7-game series between the 1st seeded Nuggets and the 8th seeded Timberwolves for the 1st round of the playoffs in the NBA Western Conference. The Nuggets are entering this game with a 3-0 series lead and they now have a chance to end the series here in Minnesota and complete the sweep. The Nuggets haven't been great in their road games this season with their 19-22 road record but they showed why they are the number 1 seed in the West in game 3 when they beat the Timberwolves soundly in Minnesota. The Timberwolves are going to be desperate in this game as they are staring down elimination but even if they do pull off a win here, it is still a very tall mountain to climb in this 3-0 hole and they have to be feeling demotivated as they needed to win game 3. They have been playing from behind for most of this series and they are not going to be able to hang on here any longer. Once they fall behind again in this game, the Nuggets will clamp down on them to ensure they win the game and end the series in Minnesota giving themselves plenty of time to rest for the next series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game.

Nuggets Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, April 23, 2023 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 117 Timberwolves 108.

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Denver Nuggets: 11-22 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins. 1-7 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. 35-18 UNDER after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. 12-7 UNDER off a road win.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 11-6 ATS as a home underdog. 28-19 ATS vs. division opponents. 11-6 UNDER as a home underdog. 26-17 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220.

Denver Nuggets:  C. Gillespie (PG) Early May - Leg.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  J. McDaniels (SF) Out indefinitely - Hand. N. Reid (C) Out indefinitely - Wrist.

“Proud of the group. They handled their business like they’re supposed to, like mature teams do.” - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the Timberwolves in their game on Friday, game 3 of this series.

“Our decision-making on offense just kind of let us down.” - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the Nuggets in their game on Friday, game 3 of this series. 

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Taurean Prince

PF Karl-Anthony Towns

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: N. Jokic (24.5)

APG: N. Jokic (9.8)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (11.8)

PPG: A. Edwards (24.6)

APG: M. Conley (6.7)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (11.6)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (8th season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (3rd season)