Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/19/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Mar 18, 2024
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 19, 2024
Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  NBA TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -4, Timberwolves +4; Over/Under:  213.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -4, Timberwolves +4; Over/Under:  213.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -4, Timberwolves +4; Over/Under:  213.5 points

Season Record

Denver Nuggets:  47-21 (2nd place, Northwest Division)
Minnesota Timberwolves:  46-21 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Matt Fargo is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on a 19-8 NBA RUN for +$10,100 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Denver Nuggets:  8-2 last 10
Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10


Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview and Analysis


The Nuggets are entering this game with a 47-21 record overall and they are 20-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. Jamal Murray led the team in points in that game with 23 while Michael Porter Jr. was next on the team with 20 points. Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray each led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 44% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 86.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.2 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 31-35-2 this season and their O/U record is 26-42.



The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 46-21 record overall and they are 23-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Los Angeles Clippers and the Utah Jazz in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with another game against the Jazz still to be played on Monday night. In their 1st game against the Jazz, Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 31 while Mike Conley Jr. was next on the team with 25 points. Kyle Anderson led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Naz Reid led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 47.3% from the field, 46.3% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.6 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 33-32-2 this season and their O/U record is 33-33-1.


Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 4 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked great in their games this season with their 46-21 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA right now. They have also looked great on their home court with their 23-8 home record too. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have also looked great in their games with their 47-21 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA too. The Nuggets are in a tight race for the number 1 seed in the West right now but they just lost their last one in Dallas and they haven't looked as good in their road games this year with their 20-15 road record. The Nuggets have been really hot lately with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games, but they lost a lot of that momentum with their loss to the Mavericks in their last one and haven't been at their best in road games this year. The Timberwolves are only 6-4 in their last 10 games but they have been really good on their home court all season and are starting to build some momentum once again with 2 wins in a row now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 19, 2024 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 124 Nuggets 117.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Denver Nuggets Minnesota Timberwolves prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

NBA Betting Trends


Denver Nuggets: 17-29 ATS vs. division opponents. 4-10 ATS off a road loss. 12-20 ATS after playing a road game. 17-9 UNDER as a road favorite. 8-3 UNDER vs. division opponents. 22-12 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 

Minnesota Timberwolves: 12-7 ATS as an underdog. 13-5 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 8-4 ATS vs. division opponents. 8-4 ATS after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more. 23-15 UNDER as a home underdog. 9-4 UNDER vs. division opponents.

Key Injuries


Denver Nuggets:  V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  M. Morris (PG) Ques Mon - Hamstring. K. Anderson (SF) Ques Mon - Shoulder. R. Gobert (C) Ques Mon - Ribs. K. Towns (C) Mid April - Knee. J. Clark (SG) Out indefinitely - Achilles.


Notable Quotes


“I saw Kyrie Irving make a running, left-handed hook from the elbow. We’ve been on both sides of it.” - Michael Malone after his team’s loss against the Mavericks in their game on Sunday.


“Ant is aggressive and we have a ton of spacing out there particularly without Rudy (Gobert) being on the floor. So it opens up all kinds of things … but what’s been pleasing these last two games is his efficiency.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Jazz in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Denver Nuggets
PG Jamal Murray
SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
SF Michael Porter Jr.
PF Aaron Gordon
C Nikola Jokic

Minnesota Timberwolves
PG Mike Conley
SG Anthony Edwards
SF Jaden McDaniels
PF Kyle Anderson
C Rudy Gobert

Statistical Leaders


Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (25.9)
APG: N. Jokic (9.1)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.2)

Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: A. Edwards (26.5)
APG: M. Conley (6)
Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.9)

Coaches:
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2024 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.