Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/25/2025

Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 25, 2025

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3, Timberwolves +3; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3, Timberwolves +3; Over/Under:  229.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3.5, Timberwolves +3.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  28-16 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  23-21 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  8-2 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 28-16 record overall this season and they are 14-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Miami Heat, the Orlando Magic, the Philadelphia 76ers, and the Sacramento Kings. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 35 while Christian Braun was next on the team with 21 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 17 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 22. They were 48.5% from the field, 35.1% from 3-point range, and 67.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.6 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 23-20-1 this season and their O/U record is 28-16.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 23-21 record overall this season and they are 10-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Mavericks. Jaden McDaniels led the team in points in that game with 27 while Anthony Edwards was next on the team with 21 points. Mike Conley Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jaden McDaniels led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 45.7% from the field, 37.9% from 3-point range, and 88.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.2 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 17-26-1 this season and their O/U record is 22-22.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 28-16 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the NBA. They have been a good road team too with their 14-8 road record and this was a team that was really struggling to start the season, floating right around .500 for a while, but now they have been getting really hot over the last month as they have been climbing up the standings in the West. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 23-21 record overall, but that record has them right in the middle of the West and fighting for playoff contention. They haven't looked great on their home court either with their 10-10 home record. They haven't looked bad lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games and coming off a win over the Mavericks in their last one, but they only won that game by 1 point against a Mavs team that was missing their best player. They also lost 2 games in a row right before that tight win and they have been such an up and down team all season. The Nuggets are 8-2 in their last 10 games and have a ton of momentum on their side right now with 4 wins in a row now. The Nuggets were a really up and down team to start the season just like the Timberwolves, but they have figured things out starting to surge up the standings while the Timberwolves are still stuck in neutral, and the Nuggets can take advantage of that here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, January 25, 2025 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 127 Timberwolves 117.

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Denver Nuggets: 9-19 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 19-28 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 18-26 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 30-20 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 31-23 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 16-7 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less. 21-15 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 40-28 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 34-22 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230. 

Denver Nuggets:  V. Čančar (PF) Out - Knee. D. Holmes (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  D. DiVincenzo (SG) Out - Toe. T. Shannon (SG) Out - Ankle.

“He can do so many things for you. Then, when he’s shooting the 3-point shot like he has been, now it’s like ‘Well, how are you going to guard this guy?’” - Michael Malone on Aaron Gordon this season.

"When I looked a couple games ago, we were something like 16-2 when (Conley) was a plus in the plus column. And that kind of says it all." - Chris Finch on Mike Conley this season.

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: N. Jokić (30.2)

APG: N. Jokić (10.1)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (13.4)

PPG: A. Edwards (26.2)

APG: J. Randle (4.5)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.2)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)