Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/27/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, February 27, 2025

Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3, Bucks +3; Over/Under:  241.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3, Bucks +3; Over/Under:  241.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3.5, Bucks +3.5; Over/Under:  241.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  38-20 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

Milwaukee Bucks:  32-25 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  9-1 last 10

Milwaukee Bucks:  6-4 last 10

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 38-20 record overall this season and they are 18-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Indiana Pacers. Aaron Gordon led the team in points in that game with 25 while Michael Porter Jr. was next on the team with 19 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 19 while Michael Porter Jr. led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 56.4% from the field, 38.1% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 30-27-1 this season and their O/U record is 35-23.

The Bucks are entering this game with a 32-25 record overall this season and they are 19-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Houston Rockets. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 27 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 22 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 40% from the field, 32.4% from 3-point range, and 73.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.4 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 26-31-1 this season and their O/U record is 28-30.

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked good in their games this season with their 32-25 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They have also looked a lot better on their home court this year with their 19-9 home record. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 38-20 record overall which has them right near the top of the West and in a playoff spot. They have been a good road team too with their 18-11 road record. The Nuggets have been really hot lately as they are 9-1 in their last 10 games and coming off a nice road win over the Pacers in their last one, but they also won that game over the Pacers right after getting crushed by the Lakers on their home court the game before. That was a very nice bounce back win for the Nuggets, but the Bucks are going to pose a much tougher challenge here now that they have been healthy. The Bucks are 6-4 in their last 10 games and are coming off a loss in their last one, but that loss snapped a 4 game win streak for them so they are going to bring their best effort to bounce back here. They also lost that game on the road to the Rockets and it was a really tight game that they only lost by 3 points. The Bucks have looked a lot better lately now that they have been healthy and they are going to put up a good fight at home for one of the best teams in the West. The Nuggets have been rolling lately, but a lot of their wins lately have also come against teams with losing records and the Bucks have the talent to keep this game tight if they don't pull off the outright upset. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, February 27, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 121 Nuggets 120.

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Denver Nuggets: 20-29 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 20-29 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 15-21 1H ATS when playing with 2 days rest. 31-21 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 41-26 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less.

Milwaukee Bucks: 14-6 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3. 7-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less. 24-8 1H ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 19-8 UNDER against Northwest division opponents. 32-21 UNDER as an underdog.

Denver Nuggets:  V. Cancar (PF) Day To Day - Knee. D. Holmes II (PF) Out For Season - Achilles. P. Watson (SF) Out - Knee.

Milwaukee Bucks:  P. Connaughton (SG) Day To Day - Calf.

"The guy is just an amazing, complete basketball player. And I think the most remarkable thing is not just 19 assists, but the satisfaction and joy that Nikola gets from making his teammates better." - Michael Malone on Nikola Jokic after his team’s win against the Pacers in their game on Monday.

“They play to [Ime's] attitude. Physical, tough. First time in a while you can say they have a solid culture in Houston.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s loss against the Rockets in their game on Tuesday.

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG Damian Lillard

SG Taurean Prince

SF Kyle Kuzma

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PPG: N. Jokić (29.2)

APG: N. Jokić (10.4)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (12.6)

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (31)

APG: D. Lillard (7.4)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (12)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (2nd season)