Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/12/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Monday, February 12, 2024

Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  BSWI

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -1, Bucks +1; Over/Under:  234 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -1, Bucks +1; Over/Under:  234 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -1.5, Bucks +1.5; Over/Under:  233.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  36-17 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

Milwaukee Bucks:  34-19 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10

Milwaukee Bucks:  4-6 last 10

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 36-17 record overall and they are 15-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Sacramento Kings in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 23 while Aaron Gordon was next on the team with 14 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 46.3% from the field, 34.5% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 22-29-2 this season and their O/U record is 20-33.

The Bucks are entering this game with a 34-19 record overall and they are 22-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Charlotte Hornets in their last game. Damian Lillard led the team in points in that game with 26 while Malik Beasley was next on the team with 21 points. Damian Lillard led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 43.6% from the field, 34.6% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 119.3 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 20-32-1 this season and their O/U record is 29-24.

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked really good in their games this season with their 34-19 record overall which has them near the top of the East right now with one of the best records in the NBA. They haven't looked great in their games lately but they did get a much needed win against the Hornets in their last game and they have looked a lot better on their home court this season with their 22-6 home record. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have also looked really good in their games this season with their 36-17 record overall which has them near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA too. The Nuggets have also been a good road team this season but they haven't been a great road team with their 15-13 road record. They have won a lot of road games this season but they have also taken most of their losses this year on the road and as bad as the Bucks have looked lately, they are still one of the best teams in the NBA right now with a really strong home advantage too. The Nuggets will be looking to bounce back from their road loss the other night but the Bucks will also be looking to get on a roll here after a much needed win in their last game. The Nuggets just haven't been the same team in their road games this year and the Bucks will be able to edge them out on their home court. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, February 12, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 129 Nuggets 123.

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Denver Nuggets: 11-3 ATS after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher. 12-6 ATS after allowing 135 points or more. 9-4 OVER after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 29-20 OVER after allowing 130 points or more.

Milwaukee Bucks: 20-33 ATS in all games. 0-6 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 3-6 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more. 18-9 OVER in home games. 9-5 OVER after playing 2 consecutive home games. 

Denver Nuggets:  K. Caldwell-Pope (SG) Ques Mon - Hamstring. M. Porter Jr. (PF) Ques Mon - Knee. V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Milwaukee Bucks:  K. Middleton (SF) Out Mon - Ankle.

“We didn’t take away anything, but you’re not going to beat a good team on the road with what we have. When they convert at that kind of rate, you’re not giving yourself a chance to win.” - Michael Malone after his team’s loss against the Kings in their game on Friday.

“I thought we set a tone defensively. We were flying around tonight. Our energy was high. I didn't see our guards get picked tonight. We've just got to keep working on it.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s win against the Hornets in their game on Friday.

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG Damian Lillard

SG Malik Beasley

SF Jae Crowder 

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PPG: N. Jokic (26.2)

APG: N. Jokic (9)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.2)

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.7)

APG: D. Lillard (6.8)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.2)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (1st season)