Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/29/2021

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Monday, November 29, 2021

Venue:  FTX Arena, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets NL, Heat NL; Over/Under:  NL points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets NL, Heat NL; Over/Under:  NL points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +7.5, Heat -7.5; Over/Under:  NL points

 

Denver Nuggets:  9-10 (4th place, Northwest Division)

Miami Heat:  13-7 (1st place, Southeast)

 

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Denver Nuggets:  4-6 last 10

Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10

 

 

 

The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 9-10 record overall and they are 2-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. Their last win was against the Portland Trail Blazers and they have gone on a 6 game losing streak since then with losses coming against the Dallas Mavericks, the Philadelphia 76ers, the Chicago Bulls, the Phoenix Suns, the Trail Blazers, and the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game. Aaron Gordon led the team in points in that game with 18 while Will Barton was next on the team with 17 points. Monte Morris led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Barton and Gordon both led the team in rebounds with 9 each. They were 43.5% from the field, 36.2% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 102.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 103.5 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 7-12 this season and their O/U record is 8-11.

 

 

The Heat are coming into this game with a 13-7 record overall and they are 6-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Minnesota Timberwolves while their 2 wins in that span came against the Detroit Pistons and the Chicago Bulls in their last game. Gabe Vincent led the team in points in that game off the bench with 20 while Kyle Lowry was next on the team with 19 points. Lowry along with Bam Adebayo both led the team in assists in that game with 6 each while Adebayo led the team in rebounds himself with 7. They were 43% from the field, 35% from 3-point range, and 86.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 108.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 102.5 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 13-7 this season and their O/U record is 12-8.

 

 

The Nuggets are coming into this game as a 7.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to the bookmakers. The Nuggets have been losing a lot of games recently and they have not found an answer without Nikola Jokic but they are still fighting to keep their games close and they are going to break their streak eventually. The Heat are a bit banged up for this game as well but they have not been winning their recent games by a lot. The Nuggets are going to adjust to not having Jokic in and will find a way to win a game soon. The best bet to place in this game is on the Nuggets to cover the spread here as they will play much harder to keep it close with their best player out of the lineup.

 

Nuggets Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, November 29, 2021 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Heat 106 Nuggets 103.

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Denver Nuggets: 1034-1017 ATS in all games. 380-375 ATS as a road underdog. 90-74 ATS against Southeast division opponents. 351-346 ATS after a non-conference game.

Miami Heat: 1052-1130 O/U in all games. 92-119 O/U as a home underdog. 536-544 O/U in home games. 145-179 O/U in November games. 331-373 O/U in the first half of the season.

 

 

Denver Nuggets:  N. Hyland (PG) Ques Mon - Ankle injury. N. Jokic (C) Ques Mon - Wrist injury. P. Dozier (SG) out for season - Knee injury. M. Porter Jr. (PF) Out indefinitely - Back injury. V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Hip injury. J. Murray (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee injury.

Miami Heat:  M. Garrett (PG) Ques Mon - Wrist injury. T. Herro (SG) Ques Mon - Conditioning. V. Oladipo (SG) Early Dec - Quadricep injury. M. Morris (PF) Out indefinitely - Neck injury.

 

 

 

"The only way we're going to end this losing streak is if we find a way to play some defense. I think our guys are playing hard and I understand we're undermanned but the reality is the last six games we're the 30th ranked defense. That is a far cry from the defense that we started the year off playing.” - Michael Malone after his team’s loss against the Bucks on Friday night.

 

 

"That's usually the deal when you play against really good teams. You're going to need a lot of contributions. You're going to have basically your entire rotation putting their fingerprints on a game to impact the win and that's what you saw tonight. Tyler was out so different guys had to step up." - Erik Spoelstra on his team’s win against the Bulls on Saturday night.

 

 

 

PG    Monte Morris

SG    Will Barton

SF     Aaron Gordon

PF    Jeff Green

C     JaMychal Green

 

PG     Kyle Lowry

SG     Duncan Robinson

SF     Jimmy Butler

PF     P.J. Tucker

C     Bam Adebayo

 

 

PPG: N. Jokic (26.4)

APG: N. Jokic (6.4)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (13.6)

 

PPG: J. Butler (23.6)

APG: K. Lowry (7.4)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10)

 

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (7th season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (14th season)