Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/03/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, November 3, 2021
Venue:  FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Where to Watch:  BSSE

 

Opening NBA Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +1.5, Grizzlies -1.5; Over/Under:  213 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +1.5, Grizzlies -1.5; Over/Under:  213 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +2, Grizzlies -2; Over/Under:  212.5 points
 

Season Record

Denver Nuggets:  4-3 (2nd place, Northwest Division)
Memphis Grizzlies:  4-3 (2nd place, Southwest Division)
 
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Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Denver Nuggets:  4-3 last 10
Memphis Grizzlies:  4-3 last 10
 
 
 

Denver Nuggets Analysis

The Nuggets are coming into this matchup with a 4-3 record overall and they are 2-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games coming into this one but they are coming off of a loss to the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday night in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on prior to that. They lost that game 106-97 in a game that they kept close for the first half but let it get away from them in the third quarter and could not recover as they went on to lose. Nikola Jokic led the team in points in that game with 23 while Aaron Gordon was next on the team with 15 points. Jokic has been carrying the offense in a lot of their games this season and he got no help from anyone on the team in that game. He also led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Gordon led the team in rebounds with 10. Their offense is averaging 100.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 98.1 PPG against them. The Nuggets opened their last game as a 1.5 point underdog with that line closing around 2 points while the point total opened at 216 and closed around the same number. The Nuggets did not cover the spread in that game losing by 9 points while the game stayed under the total with 203 total points.
 
 

Memphis Grizzlies Analysis

The Grizzlies are coming into this game with a 4-3 record overall and they are 2-1 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. The Grizzlies have won 2 of their last 3 games that they have played and they are coming into this game off of a win in their last game to the Denver Nuggets. They won that game 106-97 in a game that was close in the first half but then they were able to pull away in the second half and hold onto that lead as they went on to win that game. Ja Morant led the team in points with 26 in a strong offensive effort from him in that game. Tyus Jones was next on the team in points off the bench with 17. Morant also led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Kyle Anderson led the team in rebounds off the bench with 9. There was a solid contribution to their offense in that game from both their starters and their bench players. Their offense is averaging 111.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.1 PPG against them. The Grizzlies opened their last game as a 1.5 point favorite with that line closing around 2 points while the point total opened at 216 points and closed around the same number. The Grizzlies covered the spread in that game winning it by 9 points while the game stayed under the total with 203 total points. 
 
 

 

Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction

The Nuggets are coming into this game as a 1.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. These two just played each other the other night and the Grizzlies came out on top in that one. The Nuggets are going to want to get that game back here with another opportunity and they have the talent on their team to win this game. The best bet to place in this game is on the Nuggets to cover the spread and to win the game straight up on the moneyline.
 
Nuggets Grizzlies Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, November 3, 2021 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 104 Grizzlies 97.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Denver Nuggets: 250-239 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 1030-1009 ATS in all games. 244-213 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 538-532 ATS as an underdog. 380-372 ATS as a road underdog. 
Memphis Grizzlies: 225-231 O/U when the line is +3 to -3. 801-875 O/U in all games. 329-380 O/U as a favorite. 243-282 O/U as a home favorite. 394-442 O/U in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Denver Nuggets:  Vlatko Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Hip injury. Jamal Murray (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee injury.
Memphis Grizzlies:  D. Brooks (SG) Mid Nov - Hand injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Of course, that's their defense, too. But we missed a couple of open shots. We didn't rebound enough. We had a couple of turnovers. It is what it is." - Nikola Jokic on their loss to the Grizzlies in their last game.
 
 
"We said all along, if our bench is clicking defensively and offensively, that just creates great balance for our team. That leads to a lot of success for us." - Taylor Jenkins on his team’s win over the Nuggets in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Denver Nuggets
PG    Monte Morris
SG    Will Barton
SF     Michael Porter Jr.
PF    Aaron Gordon
C     Nikola Jokic
 
Memphis Grizzlies
PG    Ja Morant
SG    De'Anthony Melton
SF    Desmond Bane
PF     Jaren Jackson Jr.
C    Steven Adams
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (23.9)
APG: N. Jokic (5.7)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (13.7)
 
Memphis Grizzlies
PPG: J. Morant (28.3)
APG: J. Morant (7.7)
Reb/G: S. Adams (9.3)
 
Coaches:
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (7th season)
Memphis Grizzlies: Taylor Jenkins (3rd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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