Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/01/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo


Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Monday, November 1, 2021
Venue:  FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Where to Watch:  BSSE

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +1.5, Grizzlies -1.5; Over/Under:  216 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +1.5, Grizzlies -1.5; Over/Under:  215 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +1.5, Grizzlies -1.5; Over/Under:  215 points
 

Season Record

Denver Nuggets:  4-2 (2nd place, Northwest Division)
Memphis Grizzlies:  3-3 (2nd place, Southwest Division)
 
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Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Denver Nuggets:  4-2 last 10
Memphis Grizzlies:  3-3 last 10
 
 
 

Denver Nuggets Analysis

The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 4-2 record overall and they are 2-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. After losing 2 games straight, the Nuggets have responded well winning their last 2 games to come into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They won their last game against the Minnesota Timberwolves 93-91 in a game that they trailed big in the first quarter but slowly cut the lead down throughout the game and eventually came out on top. Nikola Jokic led the team in points in that game with 26 while Monte Morris was next on the team with 16 points. Once again this Nuggets offense was led by Jokic and he basically carried them to victory like he has in most of their wins this new regular season. He also led the team in assists in that game with 7 and led the team in rebounds as well with 19 being a dominant force under the net in that game. Their offense is averaging 101.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 96.8 PPG against them. The Nuggets opened their last game as a 3 point underdog with that line closing around 2 points while the point total opened around 221.5 and closed around 220 points. The Nuggets not only covered the spread in that game but they won the game straight up on the moneyline as a +105 underdog while the game stayed under the total with 184 total points.
 
 

Memphis Grizzlies Analysis

The Grizzlies are coming into this game with a 3-3 record overall and they are 1-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. The Grizzlies have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this game off of a loss in their last one. They lost their last game to the Miami Heat 129-103 in a game that they trailed from the start down almost 20 points after the first quarter and they just never recovered from that. Ja Morant and De'Anthony Melton both led the team in points in that game with 20 each while Desmond Bane was next on the team with 17 points. Morant led the team in assists as well with 7 while Steven Adams along with Xavier Tillman off the bench both led the team in rebounds with 5 each in that one. Their offense is averaging 112.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117 PPG against them. The Grizzlies opened their last game as a 1.5 point favorite with that line closing around 3.5 points while the point total opened at 217.5 and closed around 216 points. The Grizzlies not only did not cover the spread in that game but they lost it straight up on the moneyline cashing the +145 for the Heat while the game went over the total with 232 total points.
 
 

 

Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction

The Nuggets are coming into this game as a 1.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets just pulled off a tough upset on the road against  the Timberwolves after getting no rest for that game but now they have had some rest for this one with a day off. The Grizzlies were favored to win their last game at home and they ended up getting smashed by the Heat by almost 30 points. The best bet to place in this game is on the Nuggets to cover the spread and on them to win on the moneyline as they are the much better team here.
 
Nuggets Grizzlies Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, November 1, 2021 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 112 Grizzlies 106.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Denver Nuggets: 250-238 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 1030-1008 ATS in all games. 244-212 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 538-532 ATS as an underdog. 380-372 ATS as a road underdog. 
Memphis Grizzlies: 225-230 O/U when the line is +3 to -3. 801-874 O/U in all games. 329-380 O/U as a favorite. 243-282 O/U as a home favorite. 394-441 O/U in home games. 281-300 O/U after a non-conference game.
 

Key Injuries

 
Denver Nuggets:  V. Cancar (SF) Ques Mon - Hip injury. J. Murray (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee injury.
Memphis Grizzlies:  D. Brooks (SG) Early Nov - Hand injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"To win a home game last night, and then to get into the hotel around 4 o'clock, guys don't get to sleep until 5 o'clock in the morning, and to come out and win a really ugly game speaks volumes about our group." - Michael Malone on his team’s win over the T-wolves.
 
 
"We got punched in the mouth. I think we've got to understand that facing veteran teams like that, they're going to come out (fast), and we've got to respond. And we've got to respond quick." - De’Anthony Melton on their loss to the Heat at home.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Denver Nuggets
PG    Monte Morris
SG    Will Barton
SF     Michael Porter Jr.
PF    Aaron Gordon
C     Nikola Jokic
 
Memphis Grizzlies
PG    Ja Morant
SG    De'Anthony Melton
SF    Desmond Bane
PF     Jaren Jackson Jr.
C    Steven Adams
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (24)
APG: N. Jokic (5.5)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (14.8)
 
Memphis Grizzlies
PPG: J. Morant (28.7)
APG: J. Morant (7.7)
Reb/G: S. Adams (9.7)
 
Coaches:
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (7th season)
Memphis Grizzlies: Taylor Jenkins (3rd season)




Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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