Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/25/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Sunday, February 25, 2024

Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -1.5, Warriors +1.5; Over/Under:  233.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -1.5, Warriors +1.5; Over/Under:  233.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -1.5, Warriors +1.5; Over/Under:  233.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  38-19 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Golden State Warriors:  29-26 (5th place, Pacific Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  6-4 last 10

Golden State Warriors:  8-2 last 10

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 38-19 record overall and they are 16-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Washington Wizards and the Portland Trail Blazers in their last game. Michael Porter Jr. led the team in points in that game with 34 while Nikola Jokić was next on the team with 29 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 14 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 58.8% from the field, 39.4% from 3-point range, and 63.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.8 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 24-31-2 this season and their O/U record is 22-35.

The Warriors are entering this game with a 29-26 record overall and they are 16-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Utah Jazz, the Los Angeles Lakers, and the Charlotte Hornets in their last game. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 15 while Andrew Wiggins was next on the team with 14 points. Jonathan Kuminga and Brandin Podziemski each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Draymond Green led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 42.7% from the field, 31% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.4 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 30-24-1 this season and their O/U record is 30-25.

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 29-26 record overall which has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now, but they have also looked a lot better in their games lately as they have been getting hot now. They haven't been great on their home court this season but they still have a winning record there with their 16-14 home record. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have looked great in their games this season with their 38-19 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They haven't looked their best in their road games this year though as they are only 16-14 in their road games. They do have some momentum with 2 wins in a row now, but they also beat up on some of the worst teams in the NBA in those 2 games. The Warriors have been the hotter team coming into this one with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games and they also have more momentum on their side right now with 3 wins in a row. The Warriors have been really hot over the last 2 weeks and they have the potential to pull off an upset win on their home court with the Nuggets being a significantly different team on the road this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, February 25, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 119 Nuggets 116.

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Denver Nuggets: 3-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 4-8 ATS against Pacific division opponents. 0-6 ATS after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more. 31-15 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 220. 11-6 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 7-1 UNDER off a road win against a division rival.

Golden State Warriors: 12-3 ATS as a home underdog. 10-5 ATS off a home win. 19-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 18-10 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread. 6-3 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins. 

Denver Nuggets:  H. Tyson (SF) Ques Sun - Finger. J. Murray (SG) Ques Sun - Shin. V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Golden State Warriors:  C. Paul (PG) Early March - Hand.

“In this league, you have to win the games you’re supposed to win on paper. And I think overall, we’ve done an outstanding job of beating the teams that are below .500. ... We have to start our playoff push now. Not that we’re going to go 25-0 the rest of the way, but we have to have that mindset.” - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the Trail Blazers in their game on Friday.

“I don’t really understand why people get so mad at somebody scoring at the end of the game. It’s like this dumb, unofficial, unwritten rule. If you all were winning by 13 points would you get mad if he laid a ball up? I doubt it. So it's kind of like a sore loser type thing.” - Draymond Green after their win against the Hornets in their game on Friday.

PG Reggie Jackson

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG Stephen Curry

SG Brandin Podziemski

SF Andrew Wiggins

PF Jonathan Kuminga

C Draymond Green

PPG: N. Jokic (26)

APG: N. Jokic (9.1)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.2)

PPG: S. Curry (27.8)

APG: C. Paul (7.2)

Reb/G: D. Green (6.9)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (10th season)