Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/28/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, February 28, 2025

Venue:  Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

Where to Watch:  FDSDET

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -1, Pistons +1; Over/Under:  236.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -1, Pistons +1; Over/Under:  236.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -1, Pistons +1; Over/Under:  236.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  38-20 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

Detroit Pistons:  33-26 (4th place, Central Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  9-1 last 10

Detroit Pistons:  8-2 last 10

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 38-20 record overall this season and they are 18-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Indiana Pacers, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Milwaukee Bucks still to be played on Thursday night. In their game against the Pacers, Aaron Gordon led the team in points in that game with 25 while Michael Porter Jr. was next on the team with 19 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 19 while Michael Porter Jr. led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 56.4% from the field, 38.1% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 30-27-1 this season and their O/U record is 35-23.

The Pistons are entering this game with a 33-26 record overall this season and they are 16-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on an 8 game winning streak with wins coming against the Philadelphia 76ers, the Charlotte Hornets, the Chicago Bulls twice in a row, the San Antonio Spurs, the Atlanta Hawks, the Los Angeles Clippers, and the Boston Celtics. Malik Beasley led the team in points in that game with 26 while Cade Cunningham was next on the team with 21 points. Cade Cunningham led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Jalen Duren led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 52.8% from the field, 39.4% from 3-point range, and 58.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113 PPG against them. The Pistons have an ATS record of 33-24-2 this season and their O/U record is 29-29-1.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 38-20 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They have been a good road team too with their 18-11 road record. Meanwhile, the Pistons have looked good in their games this season with their 33-26 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They have looked good on their home court too with their 16-13 home record, but they haven't been a great team there. They have been really hot lately as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games and have a ton of momentum on their side with 8 wins in a row now, even coming off a huge win over the Celtics in their last one, but their streak is bound to come to an end soon since they aren't an elite team in the NBA. The Pistons were one of the worst teams in the NBA last season so the turnaround has been great for them, but they don't have the talent that some of the elite teams in the league have so this streak isn't going to be sustainable for much longer. They are due for a let down after that big win over the defending champions, and now they have to face another strong team that has been one of the best in the West. The Nuggets have also been really hot lately as they are 9-1 in their last 10 games and even though they aren't in a great situation here, playing this game on a back-to-back, they have the talent to handle this situation and still get the win. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Pistons Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, February 28, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 117 Pistons 113.

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Denver Nuggets: 21-11 ATS in February games. 25-18 1H ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3. 31-21 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 21-14 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game.

Detroit Pistons: 3-12 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog. 33-50 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 19-12 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 20-12 UNDER in February games.

Denver Nuggets:  A. Gordon (PF) Day To Day - Calf. J. Murray (PG) Day To Day - Knee. V. Čančar (PF) Out - Knee. D. Holmes (PF) Out For Season - Achilles. P. Watson (SF) Out - Knee.

Detroit Pistons:  D. Schröder (PG) Day To Day - Ankle. S. Fontecchio (SF) Day To Day - Finger. J. Ivey (SG) Out - Leg.

"The guy is just an amazing, complete basketball player. And I think the most remarkable thing is not just 19 assists, but the satisfaction and joy that Nikola gets from making his teammates better." - Michael Malone on Nikola Jokic after his team’s win against the Pacers in their game on Monday.

"I think we were outstanding. The execution of it, the attention to detail. We had multiple plays where everybody was a part of it, everybody was making extra efforts. Hats off to the crew, they did a helluva on that end tonight." - J.B. Bickerstaff after his team’s win against the Celtics in their game on Wednesday.

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG Cade Cunningham

SG Tim Hardaway Jr.

SF Ausar Thompson

PF Tobias Harris

C Jalen Duren

PPG: N. Jokić (29.2)

APG: N. Jokić (10.4)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (12.6)

PPG: C. Cunningham (25.7)

APG: C. Cunningham (9.5)

Reb/G: J. Duren (10.3)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)

Detroit Pistons: J.B. Bickerstaff (1st season)