Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/15/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Monday, November 15, 2021
Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Where to Watch:  NBA TV

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +4.5, Mavericks -4.5; Over/Under:  209.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +4, Mavericks -4; Over/Under:  209 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +4.5, Mavericks -4.5; Over/Under:  208.5 points
 

Season Record

Denver Nuggets:  8-4 (1st place, Northwest Division)
Dallas Mavericks:  8-4 (1st place, Southwest Division)
 
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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Denver Nuggets:  6-4 last 10
Dallas Mavericks:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

Denver Nuggets Analysis

The Nuggets are coming into this game with an 8-4 record overall and they are 2-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. Their last loss came against the Memphis Grizzlies and they have gone on a 4 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Houston Rockets, the Miami Heat, the Indiana Pacers, and the Atlanta Hawks in their last game. They have a game against the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday night that still has to be played with that result pending. Aaron Gordon led the team in points in their last game against the Hawks with 23 while Nikola Jokic was right behind him with 22 points. Jokic led the team in assists in that game with 10 and also in rebounds with 19. Their shooting was not the greatest as they were 44.4% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line. Their offense is averaging 102.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 98.3 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 6-6 this season and their O/U record is 2-10.
 
 

Dallas Mavericks Analysis

The Mavericks are coming into this game with an 8-4 record overall and they are 5-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss came against the Chicago Bulls while their 4 wins in that span came against the San Antonio Spurs, the Boston Celtics, the New Orleans Pelicans, and the Spurs again in their last game. Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porziņģis both went off in that game as they both led the team in points with 32 each. Doncic also led the team in assists in that game with 15 and he led the team in rebounds as well with 12. Their shooting was alright in that game as they were 46% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 68.4% from the free throw line. Their offense is averaging 104.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.1 PPG against them. The Mavs have an ATS record of 4-8 this season and their O/U record is 3-7-2.
 
 

 

Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction

The Mavericks are coming into this game as a 4.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavs got off to a slow start but they have been playing much better in their recent games and that is thanks to Porzingis being back in the lineup. He adds that defensive element that the team was lacking in their games and the Mavs have a very good home record so far with 5 wins in their 6 games there. The best bet to place in this game is on the Mavs to cover the spread here as they will be able to defend Jokic and shut him down in this game.
 
Nuggets Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, November 15, 2021 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 121 Nuggets 112.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Denver Nuggets: 319-308 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 1033-1011 ATS in all games. 540-532 ATS as an underdog. 380-372 ATS as a road underdog. 162-157 ATS in November games.

Dallas Mavericks: 390-408 ATS as a home favorite. 160-176 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 512-526 ATS in home games. 137-167 ATS in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5. 157-161 ATS in November games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Denver Nuggets:  M. Porter Jr. (PF) Out indefinitely - Back injury. V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Hip injury. J. Murray (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee injury.

Dallas Mavericks:  M. Kleber (PF) Late Nov - Oblique injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"That definitely was a key point. Bones has extreme confidence. He shoots into a big basket. He's not afraid and I think that's what the veteran players love about him. He's talented. He's young. He's a work in progress but he competes." - Michael Malone on Bones Hyland after their win against the Hawks on Friday night.
 
 
"Playing with Luka is extremely easy. He takes so much pressure off everybody else. Makes everybody else better and get more open looks." - Kristaps Porzingis after their win against the Spurs on Friday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Denver Nuggets
PG    Monte Morris
SG    Will Barton
SF     P.J. Dozier
PF    Aaron Gordon
C     Nikola Jokic
 
Dallas Mavericks
PG     Luka Doncic
SG     Tim Hardaway Jr.
SF     Dorian Finney-Smith
PF     Kristaps Porzingis
C     Dwight Powell
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (25.1)
APG: N. Jokic (6.1)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (14.1)
 
Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (25.1)
APG: L. Doncic (7.7)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.3)
 
Coaches:
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (7th season)
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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