Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/17/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Sunday, March 17, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3, Mavericks +3; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3, Mavericks +3; Over/Under:  225.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -2.5, Mavericks +2.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  47-20 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  38-29 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  9-1 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  5-5 last 10

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 47-20 record overall and they are 20-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Boston Celtics, the Utah Jazz, the Toronto Raptors, the Miami Heat, and the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 31 while Jamal Murray was next on the team with 15 points. Jamal Murray led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jamal Murray led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 55.1% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.3 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 31-34-2 this season and their O/U record is 26-41.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 38-29 record overall and they are 18-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game. Kyrie Irving led the team in points in that game with 36 while Tim Hardaway Jr. was next on the team with 23 points. Kyrie Irving led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Daniel Gafford led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 51.2% from the field, 41.4% from 3-point range, and 80.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.7 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 37-30 this season and their O/U record is 33-33-1.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked great in their games this season with their 47-20 record overall which has them at the top of the West right now with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also been a good road team this year with their 20-14 road record. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have also looked good in their games this season with their 38-29 record overall, but that record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now. They haven't looked that great on their home court this season either with their 18-14 home record. The Mavericks are coming off a loss against the Thunder in their last one and they haven't looked that great in their games lately either with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games. The Nuggets have been the much hotter team coming into this one with their 9-1 record in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 5 wins in a row now. They have been looking to take back the number 1 seed in the West for a while and now that they have it again, they aren't going to let it go as they look to stay hot here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game.

Nuggets Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, March 17, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 114 Mavericks 105.

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Denver Nuggets: 4-10 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better. 8-14 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. 35-22 UNDER as a favorite. 10-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 27-18 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins.

Dallas Mavericks: 8-2 ATS revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more. 8-4 ATS off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog. 29-16 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3. 9-5 UNDER revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more.

Denver Nuggets:  V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Dallas Mavericks:  B. Williams (PG) Ques Sun - Wrist. J. Green (SG) Ques Sun - Ankle. L. Doncic (SF) Ques Sun - Hamstring.

“It has a preseason feel to it. I hope for our players that once the jump ball goes up that we understand this is not the preseason, this is a real game. We have to lock in and give it the attention and respect that it deserves.” - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the Spurs in their game on Friday.

"It's a right ankle sprain. We'll see how he feels tomorrow. Definitely hurt it so he couldn't come back. I think the X-ray's been negative." - Jason Kidd on the injury to Josh Green after his team’s loss against the Thunder in their game on Thursday.

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Derrick Jones Jr.

PF P.J. Washington 

C Daniel Gafford

PPG: N. Jokic (26)

APG: N. Jokic (9.1)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.2)

PPG: L. Doncic (34.3)

APG: L. Doncic (9.8)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (9)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)