Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/28/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Sunday, Mar 27, 2022
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Monday, March 28, 2022
Venue:  Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC
Where to Watch:  BSSE

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3.5, Hornets +3.5; Over/Under:  232 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3.5, Hornets +3.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3.5, Hornets +3.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points
 

Season Record

Denver Nuggets:  44-31 (2nd place, Northwest Division)
Charlotte Hornets:  38-36 (2nd place, Southeast Division)
 
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Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Denver Nuggets:  5-5 last 10
Charlotte Hornets:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

Denver Nuggets Analysis

The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 44-31 record overall and they are 22-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Phoenix Suns while their 2 wins since then have come against the Los Angeles Clippers and the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 35 while Aaron Gordon was next on the team with 20 points. Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 8 and he also led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 48.2% from the field, 25.8% from 3-point range, and 95.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 111.8 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 109.4 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 34-41 this season and their O/U record is 41-32-2.
 
 

Charlotte Hornets Analysis

The Hornets are coming into this game with a 38-36 record overall and they are 20-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the New York Knicks while their 6 wins in that span came against the New Orleans Pelicans, the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Atlanta Hawks, the Dallas Mavericks, the Pelicans again, and the Utah Jazz in their last game. They still have a game against the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday night that needs to be played first so this will be the 2nd leg of a back-to-back for them on Monday night. In their game against the Jazz, Miles Bridges led the team in points in that game with 26 while Terry Rozier was next on the team with 25 points. LaMelo Ball also scored 21 points in that one as well. PJ Washington and Ball both led the team in assists in that game with 5 each while Bridges and Mason Plumlee both led the team in rebounds with 11 each. They were 46.6% from the field, 38.2% from 3-point range, and 70.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.7 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 114.5 PPG against them. The Hornets have an ATS record of 40-32-2 this season and their O/U record is 36-37-1.
 
 

 

Nuggets vs Hornets Prediction

The Nuggets have won 2 of their last 3 games coming into this one but they have not been playing that well in their recent games. They have still lost 3 of their last 5 games and they are coming off of a win at home against the Thunder by 6 points and the Thunder were missing their best player in that game as well. The Nuggets should not be beating teams like the Thunder in close games like they did in that one and they have also struggled to keep up with the better teams in the NBA recently. They are going up against a Hornets team here that has been gaining a lot of steam recently with 6 wins in their last 7 games and they have been winning a lot of their games by double digits as well. They have also beaten some stronger playoff bound teams in that span but they are coming into this game on a back-to-back. They have still been playing great though and with this game being at home, they are likely going to win it by just a few points with how well they have been playing recently.
 
Nuggets Hornets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, March 28, 2022 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Hornets 117 Nuggets 114.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Denver Nuggets: 8-13 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230. 18-24 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 21-14 UNDER off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite.
Charlotte Hornets: 24-17 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230. 12-7 ATS as a home underdog. 23-8 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230.
 

Key Injuries

 
Denver Nuggets:  F. Campazzo (PG) Ques Mon - Illness. M. Porter Jr. (PF) Early April - Back injury. V. Cancar (SF) Early April - Foot injury. Z. Nnaji (PF) Out indefinitely - Knee injury.
Charlotte Hornets:  J. Bouknight (SG) Out indefinitely - Neck injury. G. Hayward (SF) Out indefinitely - Ankle injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I think he's played the whole season really good. I really like having him on my team." - Nikola Jokic on Monte Morris this season after their win against the Thunder on Saturday night.
 
 
"That's a high-caliber, championship-level team, so for us to execute in a close game (against them) speaks volumes about our team and how far we've come. The growth, the resiliency and the togetherness. ... I'm really proud of our guys." - James Borrego on his team’s win against the Jazz on Friday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Denver Nuggets
PG    Monte Morris
SG    Will Barton
SF     Aaron Gordon
PF    Jeff Green
C     Nikola Jokic
 
Charlotte Hornets
PG    LaMelo Ball
SG    Terry Rozier
SF     Miles Bridges
PF    P.J. Washington
C    Mason Plumlee
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (26.3)
APG: N. Jokic (7.9)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (13.5)
 
Charlotte Hornets
PPG: M. Bridges (20)
APG: L. Ball (7.3)
Reb/G: M. Plumlee (8.1)
 
Coaches:
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (7th season)
Charlotte Hornets: James Borrego (4th season)
 


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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