Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/10/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 10, 2021
Venue:  Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch:  Fox

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Broncos +1, Steelers -1; Over/Under:  40.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Broncos +1, Steelers -1; Over/Under:  40.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Broncos +1.5, Steelers -1.5; Over/Under:  40.5 points
 

Season Record

Denver Broncos:  3-1 (2nd place, AFC West)
Pittsburgh Steelers:  1-3 (4th place, AFC North)
 
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Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Denver Broncos:  lost at home on Oct. 3 against the Baltimore Ravens 23-7.
Pittsburgh Steelers:  lost on the road on Oct. 3 against the Green Bay Packers 27-17.
 
 
 

Denver Broncos Analysis

The Broncos are coming into this game with a 3-1 record overall and they are 2-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They started off their season strong with a 3 game winning streak against the New York Giants, the Jacksonville Jaguars, and the New York Jets, but that was stunted in their last game when they lost at home to the Baltimore Ravens. Teddy Bridgewater completed 7/16 passes for 65 yards and 1 touchdown before leaving the game with an injury. Drew Lock came into the game in his place and completed 12/21 passes for 113 yards and 1 interception. Melvin Gordon led the team in rushing with 56 yards on 9 carries but they did not really get much of a run game going. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 47 yards and 3 receptions while Noah Fant was right behind him with 46 yards and 1 touchdown on 6 receptions. Kareem Jackson led the defense with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Caden Stems led the team in sacks with 2 while Von Miller and McTelvin Agim both combined for 1 sack. No one on the defense had an interception in that game. They have scored 83 points in their first 4 games and they have allowed 49 points against them. Their offense has accumulated 1.415 yards while their defense has allowed 1,071 yards against them.
 
 

Pittsburgh Steelers Analysis

The Steelers are coming into this game with a 1-3 record overall and they are 0-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They started off their season on a good note with an upset win over the Buffalo Bills on the road but that quickly faded as they lost their last 3 games against the Las Vegas Raiders, the Cincinnati Bengals, and the Packers in their last game. Ben Roethlisberger played alright but he also struggled at times as he completed 26/40 passes for 232 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Najee Harris led the team in rushing with 62 yards and 1 touchdown on 15 carries but he was their entire ground game in that one. Diontae Johnson led the receivers with 92 yards and 1 touchdown on 9 carries while James Washington made 4 catches for 69 yards receiving. Minkah Fitzpatrick led the defense with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones while Terrell Edmunds was right behind him with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. T.J. Watt led the defense in sacks with 2 while Devin Bush Jr. also recorded 1 sack but no one on the defense came away with an interception in that game. They have scored 67 points in their first 4 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 93 points against them. Their offense has accumulated 1,207 yards while their defense has allowed 1,431 yards against them.
 
 

 

Broncos vs Steelers Prediction

Teddy Bridgewater suffered an injury for the Broncos in their last game and he might be unable to play here. If so, Drew Lock will likely be the starting quarterback. The Broncos might not have the best offense in this game but their defense has still looked good in their games. The Steelers have not been playing well all season, mainly on offense, and it will be difficult for them to move the ball on this tough Broncos defense. The Steelers also have a good defense and will likely be able to stop the Broncos offense in this game. This will be a very low scoring game so the best bet to place in this one is on the under.
 
Broncos Steelers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 10, 2021 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Broncos 17 Steelers 16.
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NFL Betting Trends

 
Denver Broncos: 93-82 ATS as an underdog. 259-223 O/U in all games. 123-115 O/U in road games.
Pittsburgh Steelers: 256-229 ATS in all games. 135-111 ATS in home games. 179-168 O/U as a favorite. 136-116 O/U in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Denver Broncos:  T. Bridgewater (QB) day-to-day - Concussion. M. Boone (RB) Ques Sun - Quadricep injury.  D. Risner (G) day-to-day - Foot injury.
Pittsburgh Steelers:  D. Haskins Jr. (QB) day-to-day - Face injury. Z. Banner (T) Ques Sun - Knee injury. C. Davis (DT) day-to-day - Knee injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
Denver Broncos: Noah Fant is one player to watch in this matchup. He is a big target and a good player to throw to in the end zone. With the starting quarterback being uncertain he will be a good target for either to look for. Look for Fant to get some ball thrown his way in this game.
 
Pittsburgh Steelers: Ben Roethlisberger is one player to watch in this contest. He has not looked good at all to start the season and he will need to step up and play better if his team is going to start winning games. The offense has not done much this season so look for Big Ben to get his game right and play better in this one against a hurting Denver side.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We wanted to limit his opportunities to carry it and scramble. We did that. But they were able to complete the long passes, which negated that." - Vic Fangio on trying to stop Lamar Jackson in their last game.
 
 
"I'll look in the mirror and start pointing the thumb at me, figuring out how to make it better." - Ben Roethlisberger on his performance to start the season.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland 
WR Hinton, Kendall 
TE Fant, Noah 
QB Bridgewater, Teddy 
RB Gordon, Melvin 
FB Beck, Andrew 
 
Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Smith-Schuster, JuJu 
WR Claypool, Chase 
WR Johnson, Diontae 
TE Ebron, Eric 
QB ROETHLISBERGER, BEN 
RB Harris, Najee 
FB Watt, Derek 

Statistical Leaders

 
Denver Broncos
Passing: T. Bridgewater (892)
Rushing: M. Gordon III (248)
Receiving: C. Sutton (257)
Touchdowns: T. Patrick (2)
Sacks: V. Miller (4.5)
Tackles: K. Fuller (14)
 
Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: B. Roethlisberger (1033)
Rushing: N. Harris (185)
Receiving: D. Johnson (233)
Touchdowns: D. Johnson (2)
Sacks: T. Watt (5)
Tackles: M. Fitzpatrick (19)
 
Coaches:
Denver Broncos: Vic Fangio (3rd season)
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (15th season)
 

Weather Forecast

77 degrees F mostly cloudy, 70% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 10 mph wind speeds SE.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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