Denver Broncos vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/24/2023

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 24, 2023

Venue:  Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Broncos +6.5, Dolphins -6.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Broncos +6.5, Dolphins -6.5; Over/Under:  48 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Broncos +6.5, Dolphins -6.5; Over/Under:  48 points

Denver Broncos:  0-2 (4th place, AFC West)

Miami Dolphins:  2-0 (1st place, AFC East)

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Denver Broncos:  lost their last game at home against the Washington Commanders 35-33.

Miami Dolphins:  won their last game on the road against the New England Patriots 24-17.

The Broncos are entering this game with a 0-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Washington Commanders 35-33. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 18/32 passes for 308 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Russell Wilson led the team in rushing yards with 56. Marvin Mims Jr. led the receivers with 113 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Justin Simmons led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Jonathon Cooper led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.

 

 

 

The Dolphins are entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New England Patriots 24-17. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 21/30 passes for 249 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Raheem Mostert led the team in rushing yards with 121 and 2 TDs. Jaylen Waddle led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jevon Holland led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Bradley Chubb, David Long Jr., Christian Wilkins, and Andrew Van Ginkel each led the defense in sacks with 1. Xavien Howard came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Broncos listed as a 6.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Broncos got up by a lot early in their game against the Commanders last week but they blew that lead and ended up losing the game. They are now 0-2 this season and they are going to be looking for a win here badly. They are playing their 1st road game of the season against the red hot Dolphins who have started the year 2-0 with their 2 road games. Now the Dolphins are playing their home opener but they are going to be getting a desperate Broncos team that doesn't want to have a 0-3 start and even if the Broncos lose here, their defense will play a much better game to keep them in this game with a chance to win. They lost to the Commanders at home last week but their offense did look a lot better than it did in week 1 and they are only going to improve with another game under their belt now. The Dolphins are really good but they have had to travel a lot in these first 2 weeks of the season and now that they are back at home against a hungry team, it is the perfect spot to take the Broncos to keep this a close game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Broncos to cover the spread in this game. 

Broncos Dolphins Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 24, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 31 Broncos 28.

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Denver Broncos: 2-8 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 9-16 ATS against conference opponents. 12-5 UNDER as an underdog. 24-12 UNDER in all games. 12-6 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.

Miami Dolphins: 47-22 ATS against AFC West division opponents. 12-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 12-6 UNDER as a favorite. 11-6 UNDER in home games. 7-1 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 

Denver Broncos:  R. Moss (CB) day-to-day - Abdominal. G. Dulcich (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. F. Clark (LB) Out indefinitely - Hip. C. Sterns (S) I-R - Knee. A. Palczewski (OT) Out indefinitely - Hand. P. Locke (S) Out indefinitely - Leg. B. Browning (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Williams (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Virgil (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Griffith (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Patrick (WR) I-R - Achilles. E. Uwazurike (DL) out for season - Suspension.

Miami Dolphins:  J. Waddle (WR) day-to-day - Concussion. T. Armstead (OT) day-to-day - Leg. J. Hill (TE) day-to-day - Ankle. J. Phillips (LB) day-to-day - Back. K. Joseph (CB) day-to-day - Personal. R. Jones (OL) Early Oct - Knee. J. Wilson Jr. (RB) Out indefinitely - Abdominal. J. Ramsey (CB) Mid Dec - Knee. N. Needham (CB) Out indefinitely - Achilles. K. Crossen (DB) I-R - Undisclosed. E. Campbell (DB) Out indefinitely - Knee. Z. Vandenburgh (LB) I-R - Undisclosed.

“Some of it's coverage-driven and some of it is just based on what we're in. We're in a couple of different personnel groupings, so part of that is coincidence, I would say. We had a number of guys we’re trying to get the ball to and we will keep doing that.” - Sean Payton after his team’s loss against the Commanders in their last game. 

“It’s never a me thing. Every time we face coach Belichick’s team it’s always a challenge, and we know we’re going to get their best. … We’re going to take them however they come.” - Tua Tagovailoa after their win against the Patriots in their last game. 

WR Sutton, Courtland 

WR Johnson, Brandon 

WR Jeudy, Jerry 

TE Trautman, Adam 

QB WILSON, RUSSELL 

RB Williams, Javonte 

FB BURTON, MICHAEL 

WR Waddle, Jaylen 

WR Hill, Tyreek 

WR Berrios, Braxton 

TE Smythe, Durham 

QB Tagovailoa, Tua 

RB MOSTERT, RAHEEM 

FB Ingold, Alec 

Passing: R. Wilson (485)

Rushing: J. Williams (96)

Receiving: M. Mims Jr. (122)

Touchdowns: B. Johnson (2)

Passing: T. Tagovailoa (715)

Rushing: R. Mostert (158)

Receiving: T. Hill (255)

Touchdowns: T. Hill (3)

Coaches:

Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (1st season)

Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (2nd season)