by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Dec 06, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, December 10, 2023
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Broncos +2.5, Chargers -2.5; Over/Under: 44 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Broncos +2.5, Chargers -2.5; Over/Under: 44 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Broncos +3, Chargers -3; Over/Under: 44 points
Season Record
Denver Broncos: 6-6 (2nd place, AFC West)
Los Angeles Chargers: 5-7 (3rd place, AFC West)
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Denver Broncos: lost their last game on the road against the Houston Texans 22-17.
Los Angeles Chargers: won their last game on the road against the New England Patriots 6-0.
Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers Preview and Analysis
The Broncos are entering this game with a 6-6 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-3 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Houston Texans 22-17. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 15/26 passes for 186 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 46. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Alex Singleton led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Alex Singleton, P.J. Locke, Jonathan Harris, and Ja'Quan McMillian each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Chargers are entering this game with a 5-7 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 3-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New England Patriots 6-0. Justin Herbert was the starting QB and he completed 22/37 passes for 212 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Austin Ekeler led the team in rushing yards with 18. Keenan Allen led the receivers with 58 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Derwin James Jr. led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Khalil Mack led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Broncos vs Chargers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Chargers listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chargers haven't looked good at all this season with their 5-7 record overall but they need to start running the table if they want to have a chance at the playoffs. Their defense has looked a lot better in their games lately which has really helped them over their last few games. Meanwhile, the Broncos are 6-6 overall this season and have also looked a lot better lately after being one of the worst teams in the NFL to start the season. The Broncos were also the hottest team in the NFL going into last week but they lost some of that momentum in their loss to the Texans and now they have to play their 2nd road game in a row in a divisional game that is extremely important to both teams for the playoff race. The Chargers offense hasn't looked good in their games lately but they have been the more consistent offense this season compared to the Broncos and with the defense finally playing the way it has been in their last few games, the Chargers can still be a real threat in this division if they win this game which it is a must win for them. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chargers to cover the spread in this game.
Broncos Chargers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 10, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Chargers 20 Broncos 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Denver Broncos: 7-17 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 7-13 ATS in road games. 4-8 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 18-7 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 14-7 UNDER in road games. 22-7 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders.
Los Angeles Chargers: 7-1 ATS off 3 or more consecutive unders. 10-4 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. 8-3 UNDER in all games. 32-13 UNDER as a home favorite of 3 points or less. 9-5 UNDER versus division opponents.
Key Injuries
Denver Broncos: P. Surtain II (CB) Ques Sun - Knee. R. Perkins (DE) Ques Sun - Quadricep. K. Jackson (S) Elig Week 16 - Suspension. E. Uwazurike (DL) out for season - Suspension. G. Dulcich (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Williams (CB) I-R - Ankle. C. Sterns (S) I-R - Knee. A. Palczewski (OT) Out indefinitely - Hand. J. Virgil (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Griffith (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Patrick (WR) I-R - Achilles.
Los Angeles Chargers: J. Woods (S) Prob Sun - Illness. J. Taylor (DB) Ques Sun - Illness. Z. Bailey (OT) Ques Sun - Back. N. Vannett (TE) Ques Sun - Concussion. I. Spiller (RB) Ques Sun - Illness. J. Bosa (LB) Out indefinitely - Foot. T. Muse (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Rumph II (LB) Out indefinitely - Foot. J. Palmer (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Williams (WR) I-R - Knee. R. Layne (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Linsley (C) Out indefinitely - Illness.
Notable Quotes
“I’ll give it to our guys, we continued to battle. We just put ourselves in a little bit too big of a hole today. We weren’t able to make enough plays.” - Sean Payton after his team’s loss against the Texans in their last game.
“There weren’t going to be any style points today. I wasn’t expecting it to be a high-scoring affair. Sometimes the games are a track meet, 41-38. Sometimes, hey, it was a game like today, 6-0. You have to do what it takes to win.” - Brandon Staley after his team’s win against the Patriots in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Mims Jr., Marvin
WR Jeudy, Jerry
TE Trautman, Adam
QB Wilson, Russell
RB Williams, Javonte
FB Burton, Michael
Los Angeles Chargers
WR Johnston, Quentin
WR Guyton, Jalen
WR Allen, Keenan
TE Everett, Gerald
QB Herbert, Justin
RB Ekeler, Austin
Statistical Leaders
Denver Broncos
Passing: R. Wilson (2385)
Rushing: J. Williams (584)
Receiving: C. Sutton (637)
Touchdowns: C. Sutton (9)
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing: J. Herbert (3038)
Rushing: A. Ekeler (446)
Receiving: K. Allen (1175)
Touchdowns: K. Allen (7)
Coaches:
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (1st season)
Los Angeles Chargers: Brandon Staley (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
