by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 20, 2024
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, November 24, 2024
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Broncos -5.5, Raiders +5.5; Over/Under: 41 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Broncos -5.5, Raiders +5.5; Over/Under: 41 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Broncos -5.5, Raiders +5.5; Over/Under: 41 points
Season Record
Denver Broncos: 6-5 (3rd place, AFC West)
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-8 (4th place, AFC West)
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Denver Broncos: won their last game at home against the Atlanta Falcons 38-6.
Las Vegas Raiders: lost their last game on the road against the Miami Dolphins 34-19.
Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview and Analysis
The Broncos are entering this game with a 6-5 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 3-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 38-6. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 28/33 passes for 307 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 59 and 1 TD. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 78 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Riley Moss led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Nik Bonitto led the defense in sacks with 2. Cody Barton came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Raiders are entering this game with a 2-8 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 1-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Miami Dolphins 34-19. Gardner Minshew II was the starting QB and he completed 30/43 passes for 282 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jakobi Meyers led the team in rushing yards with 20. Brock Bowers led the receivers with 126 receiving yards on 13 receptions and 1 TD. Jack Jones led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Adam Butler and Tyree Wilson each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Broncos vs Raiders Prediction
The current betting odds have the Broncos listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Broncos have looked good in their games this season with their 6-5 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AFC West, but they are right in the AFC Wild Card race. They have one of the best defenses in the NFL and haven't been giving up many points all season, but their offense has also looked a lot better lately with Bo Nix improving each week. They are coming off a huge 38-6 win over the Falcons last week and they will use that momentum to beat up on a bad division rival here. Meanwhile, the Raiders have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-8 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC West with one of the worst records in the entire NFL. They are coming off a 34-19 loss to the Dolphins on the road last week and haven't looked any better in their home games with their 1-3 home record. The defense has been giving up a ton of points all season, even playing against bad offenses as they have one of the worst defenses in the NFL, and the offense has struggled a lot with no real answer at QB. The Broncos are only improving each week and they are going to start seriously thinking about a playoff appearance now, but this is a game they need to win. The best way to place a bet here is on the Broncos to cover the spread in this game.
Broncos Raiders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 24, 2024 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Broncos 37 Raiders 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Denver Broncos: 1-4 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 1-4 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%). 2-5 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 rushing yards/game or less. 4-0 OVER in dome games. 4-0 OVER after scoring 30 points or more last game. 5-1 OVER when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%). 8-3 OVER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.
Las Vegas Raiders: 13-7 ATS in home games. 7-3 ATS in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 9-5 ATS versus division opponents. 10-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 10-5 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 11-6 OVER off a road loss. 15-7 OVER after playing their last game on the road.
Key Injuries
Denver Broncos: J. Reynolds (WR) Out - Hand. B. Jones (SAF) Questionable - Abdomen. D. Sanders (LB) Out - Achilles. Z. Allen (DE) Injured - Elbow. P. Locke (SAF) Injured - Thumb. D. Turner-Yell (SAF) Out - Knee.
Las Vegas Raiders: A. Peat (OL) Injured - Ankle. C. Whitehair (OG) Out - Ankle. K. Miller (T) Injured - Ankle. R. Spillane (LB) Injured - Knee. H. Bryant (TE) Out - Ankle. M. Crosby (DE) Injured - Ankle. N. Hobbs (CB) Out - Ankle. D. Parham (G) Injured - Foot. J. Meyers (WR) Injured - Hamstring. A. James (C) Out - Ankle. J. Bennett (CB) Injured - Hip. M. Mayer (TE) Questionable - Non-injury.
Notable Quotes
“I think that play is kind of the epitome of this week. Those are the plays that you love to see from an offense — one united team that's going for one goal. ... Just keep fighting and finding ways to get the touchdown.” - Bo Nix after their win against the Falcons in their last game.
“We just have to keep executing and strain a little bit more. We had opportunities. Brock had a big day. I thought Gardner got rid of the ball quickly in the passing game. Opportunities there for shots, but we didn’t get them down there again.” - Antonio Pierce after his team’s loss against the Dolphins in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Humphrey, Lil'Jordan
WR Vele, Devaughn
TE Trautman, Adam
QB Nix, Bo
RB Estime, Audric
FB Burton, Michael
Las Vegas Raiders
WR Tucker, Tre
WR Meyers, Jakobi
WR Turner, DJ
TE Bowers, Brock
QB Minshew II, Gardner
RB Mattison, Alexander
Statistical Leaders
Denver Broncos
Passing: B. Nix (2275)
Rushing: J. Williams (447)
Receiving: C. Sutton (647)
Touchdowns: B. Nix (5)
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: G. Minshew (1783)
Rushing: A. Mattison (320)
Receiving: B. Bowers (706)
Touchdowns: A. Mattison (4)
Coaches:
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (2nd season)
Las Vegas Raiders: Antonio Pierce (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
