Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/25/2025

Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Thursday, December 25, 2025

Venue:  GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Where to Watch:  Prime Video

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Broncos -13.5, Chiefs +13.5; Over/Under:  36.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Broncos -13, Chiefs +13; Over/Under:  36.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Broncos -13, Chiefs +13; Over/Under:  36.5 points

Denver Broncos:  12-3 (1st place, AFC West)

Kansas City Chiefs:  6-9 (3rd place, AFC West)

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Denver Broncos:  lost their last game at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars 34-20.

Kansas City Chiefs:  lost their last game on the road against the Tennessee Titans 26-9.

The Broncos are entering this game with a 12-3 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 7-1 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 34-20. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 28/47 passes for 352 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. RJ Harvey led the team in rushing yards with 50 and 1 TD. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Riley Moss led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while John Franklin-Myers led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Chiefs are entering this game with a 6-9 record overall and they have a 1-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 1-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Tennessee Titans 26-9. Gardner Minshew II was the starting QB but left injured early and was replaced by Chris Oladokun who completed 11/16 passes for 111 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 34. Xavier Worthy led the receivers with 41 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Kristian Fulton led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Chamarri Conner and Nick Bolton each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Broncos listed as a 13.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Broncos have looked great in their games this season with their 12-3 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC West with the best record in the entire NFL. They have been a good road team too with their 4-2 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Chiefs haven't looked good in their games this season with their 6-9 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC West. They have looked a lot better on their home field with their 5-3 home record this season. The Chiefs are off a 26-9 loss to the Titans in their last one and they have looked terrible lately with 4 losses in a row now. They have already been eliminated from playoff contention, and now they are dealing with a ton of injuries too, including a season ending injury to Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs just haven't looked good at all this year, even when they were healthy, and the Broncos can take advantage of that since they are still trying to win the division and the number 1 seed in the AFC. The Broncos are off a 34-20 loss to the Jaguars in their last one and their offense didn't look great. That loss snapped an 11 game winning streak that they were on, but they will be looking to bounce back and will bring their best effort with a chance to beat up on the Chiefs while they are down. The Chiefs had no offense last week against a terrible Titans team and now they have to face one of the best defenses in the NFL. The best way to place a bet here is on the Broncos to cover the spread in this game. 

Broncos Chiefs Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Thursday, December 25, 2025 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Broncos 28 Chiefs 3.

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Denver Broncos: 6-3 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 19-7 1H ATS as a favorite. 6-2 1H ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). 11-6 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 10-6 UNDER versus division opponents.

Kansas City Chiefs: 2-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 0-5 ATS in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 2-7 ATS revenging a loss against an opponent. 10-2 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 11-2 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite.

Denver Broncos:  D. Greenlaw (LB) Injured - Hamstring. N. Adkins (TE) Injured - Knee. R. Moss (CB) Injured - Ankle. B. Powers (OG) Injured - Biceps. L. Wattenberg (C) Injured - Shoulder. J. Strnad (LB) Injured - Foot. K. Reid (LB) Injured - Hamstring. P. Bryant (WR) Injured - Concussion.

Kansas City Chiefs:  J. Watson (CB) Injured - Groin. E. Pole (OT) Injured - Knee. D. Nnadi (DL) Injured - Illness. M. Edwards (S) Injured - Shoulder. K. Fulton (CB) Injured - Knee. N. Johnson (S) Injured - Shoulder. N. Gray (TE) Injured - Shoulder. J. Moore (OG) Injured - Knee. T. Smith (OG) Injured - Ankle. T. Thornton (WR) Injured - Concussion. N. Remigio (WR) Injured - Knee. T. McDuffie (CB) Injured - Knee. R. Rice (WR) Injured - Concussion. J. Briningstool (TE) Injured - Hamstring.

“I said to them, one of the things you've managed to do each week is get on to the next challenge. So I think the same thing has to apply, especially on a short week like this. You've shown the ability to digest the game before and then get onto the next challenge. And you have to do the same after a tough loss.” - Sean Payton after his team’s loss against the Jaguars in their last game. 

“Nobody likes to lose in this business. But my hat goes off for the guys that put together all these years. That’s part of it. We can learn from it and need to do that going forward. Sometimes a good kick in the tail there helps you, coaches and players.” - Andy Reid after his team’s loss against the Titans in their last game. 

WR Sutton, Courtland

WR Bryant, Pat

WR Franklin, Troy

TE Trautman, Adam

QB Nix, Bo

RB Harvey, RJ

FB Prentice, Adam

WR Brown, Hollywood

WR Worthy, Xavier

WR Remigio, Nikko

TE Kelce, Travis

QB Oladokun, Chris

RB Hunt, Kareem

Passing: Bo Nix (3,608)

Rushing: J.K. Dobbins (772)

Receiving: Courtland Sutton (972)

Touchdowns: RJ Harvey (11)

Passing: Patrick Mahomes (3,587)

Rushing: Kareem Hunt (559)

Receiving: Travis Kelce (803)

Touchdowns: Kareem Hunt (9)

Coaches:

Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (3rd season)

Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (13th season)