by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 05, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 10, 2024
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Broncos +8, Chiefs -8; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Broncos +8, Chiefs -8; Over/Under: 41.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Broncos +8.5, Chiefs -8.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Season Record
Denver Broncos: 5-4 (3rd place, AFC West)
Kansas City Chiefs: 8-0 (1st place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Denver Broncos: lost their last game on the road against the Baltimore Ravens 41-10.
Kansas City Chiefs: won their last game at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30-24 in overtime.
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview and Analysis
The Broncos are entering this game with a 5-4 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 41-10. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 19/33 passes for 223 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 42. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 122 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Devon Key led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while John Franklin-Myers led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Chiefs are entering this game with an 8-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30-24 in OT. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 34/44 passes for 291 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kareem Hunt led the team in rushing yards with 106 and 1 TD. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 100 receiving yards on 14 receptions. Bryan Cook led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while George Karlaftis led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction
The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as an 8 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked great in their games this season with their 8-0 record overall which leads the AFC West with the best record in the entire NFL. They are the only undefeated team left in the league and they have one of the best defenses. They are coming off a tight win against the Bucs on Monday night which they needed OT to win, but they will be looking to have a better performance at home after that scare. Meanwhile, the Broncos have looked good in their games this season with their 5-4 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AFC West but still in the playoff race. The Broncos have looked great lately and also have one of the best defenses in the NFL, but they got exposed in their last game and just weren't able to keep up with the Ravens. They lost on the road 41-10 to one of the best teams in the NFL, and this game isn't going to be any easier on the road against the only undefeated team left. Both of these teams have good defenses, but the Broncos have been really up and down on offense all year with their rookie QB Bo Nix still finding his way in the league while the Chiefs have started to look a lot better on offense in their last few games. The Chiefs have also been picking up more weapons to work with and are clearly making another big push for the Super Bowl. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game.
Broncos Chiefs Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 10, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 31 Broncos 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Denver Broncos: 9-3 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 8-2 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 7-3 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 9-4 1H UNDER off a road loss. 12-6 1H UNDER after playing their last game on the road. 9-5 1H UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.
Kansas City Chiefs: 2-9 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 5-8 ATS versus division opponents. 25-15 UNDER as a favorite. 17-6 UNDER in home games. 21-12 UNDER against conference opponents. 11-2 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points.
Key Injuries
Denver Broncos: Z. Allen (DE) Injured - NIR - Rest. M. McGlinchey (T) Injured - Knee. A. Palczewski (T) Injured - Ankle. P. Locke (SAF) Out - Thumb. P. Surtain (CB) Injured - Ankle. D. Turner-Yell (SAF) Out - Knee.
Kansas City Chiefs: M. Hardman (WR) Injured - Knee. J. Wiley (TE) Out - Knee. K. Hunt (RB) Injured - Quad. P. Mahomes (QB) Injured - Ankle. J. Smith-Schuster (WR) Out - Hamstring. D. Nnadi (DT) Injured - Triceps. M. Danna (DE) Out - Pectoral. N. Johnson (SAF) Out - Concussion. D. Tranquill (LB) Out - Chest. T. McDuffie (CB) Injured - Knee. E. Driskell (OT) Injured - Illness.
Notable Quotes
“It’s a big swing. You know when you play a good team like this on the road you want to get into the fourth quarter and we weren’t able to do that.” - Sean Payton after his team’s loss against the Ravens in their last game.
“Everybody had a piece of this.” - Andy Reid after his team’s win against the Bucs in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Franklin, Troy
WR Vele, Devaughn
TE Krull, Lucas
QB Nix, Bo
RB Williams, Javonte
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Hopkins, Deandre
WR Watson, Justin
WR Worthy, Xavier
TE Kelce, Travis
QB Mahomes, Patrick
RB Hunt, Kareem
Statistical Leaders
Denver Broncos
Passing: B. Nix (1753)
Rushing: J. Williams (387)
Receiving: C. Sutton (499)
Touchdowns: B. Nix (5)
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (1942)
Rushing: K. Hunt (414)
Receiving: T. Kelce (435)
Touchdowns: X. Worthy (5)
Coaches:
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (2nd season)
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (12th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
