Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/12/2023

Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Thursday, October 12, 2023

Venue:  GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Where to Watch:  Amazon Prime Video

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Broncos +10.5, Chiefs -10.5; Over/Under:  50 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Broncos +10.5, Chiefs -10.5; Over/Under:  50 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Broncos +10.5, Chiefs -10.5; Over/Under:  50 points

Denver Broncos:  1-4 (4th place, AFC West)

Kansas City Chiefs:  4-1 (1st place, AFC West)

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Denver Broncos:  lost their last game at home against the New York Jets 31-21.

Kansas City Chiefs:  won their last game on the road against the Minnesota Vikings 27-20.

The Broncos are entering this game with a 1-4 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-3 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the New York Jets 31-21. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 20/31 passes for 196 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jaleel McLaughlin led the team in rushing yards with 68. Samaje Perine led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Kareem Jackson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Nik Bonitto led the defense in sacks with 2. Patrick Surtain II came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Chiefs are entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 27-20. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 31/41 passes for 281 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 55 and 1 TD. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 67 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 1 TD. L'Jarius Sneed led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Mike Danna, Chris Jones, and Leo Chenal each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs pulled off a big win on the road in Minnesota over the weekend and now they are back at home on a short week for this division game. The Chiefs don't have a great history when it comes to covering spreads this big but luckily for them they are playing the Denver Broncos who are having a terrible season. The Broncos are only 1-4 this year and they are having a big issue on offense as Russell Wilson can't get on the same page as Sean Payton but even worse has been the Broncos defense. The Broncos have been giving up a ton of points in every game to bad offense and now they are getting one of the best QB's in the league here who is going to roast them in the secondary like they have been getting toasted all year. The Chiefs also have a really good defense this season that has been keeping offenses from putting up a ton of points and this struggling Broncos offense isn't going to do much here on the road. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game.

Broncos Chiefs Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Thursday, October 12, 2023 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 28 Broncos 10.

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Denver Broncos: 15-23 ATS in all games. 6-11 ATS in road games. 9-18 ATS against conference opponents. 24-15 UNDER in all games. 12-6 UNDER as an underdog. 17-10 UNDER against conference opponents.

Kansas City Chiefs: 7-4 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 11-5 ATS off 2 consecutive road wins. 42-22 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 10-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 5-1 UNDER off 2 consecutive close road wins by 7 points or less.

Denver Broncos:  J. Williams (RB) day-to-day - Hip Flexor. E. Uwazurike (DL) out for season - Suspension. G. Dulcich (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Sterns (S) I-R - Knee. A. Palczewski (OT) Out indefinitely - Hand. B. Browning (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Williams (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Virgil (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Griffith (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Patrick (WR) I-R - Achilles.

Kansas City Chiefs:  N. Bolton (LB) day-to-day - Ankle. M. Dickerson (DT) day-to-day - Knee. B. Thompson (DE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Wanogho (T) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. R. James (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. C. Omenihu (DE) Elig Week 7 - Suspension. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.

“You could see the emotion on his face a little bit. He was trying not to show it, but we all gave him big hugs. We told him we love him and we’re grateful to have him. Obviously, how things went for him this past year was tough. So you know it means a lot.” - Russell Wilson on Nathaniel Hackett after their loss against the Jets in their game on Sunday.

“There's a lot of young guys out there, and we're going to keep everybody moving and going in the right direction. I think by the end of the year we're going to be dangerous, because you're not going to know who's going to get those opportunities throughout the game.” - Patrick Mahomes after their win against the Vikings in their game on Sunday.

WR Sutton, Courtland 

WR Mims Jr., Marvin  

WR Jeudy, Jerry 

TE Trautman, Adam 

QB WILSON, RUSSELL 

RB Williams, Javonte 

FB BURTON, MICHAEL

WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez  

WR Watson, Justin  

WR Moore, Skyy 

TE KELCE, TRAVIS 

QB Mahomes, Patrick 

RB Pacheco, Isiah

Passing: R. Wilson (1210)

Rushing: J. McLaughlin (160)

Receiving: M. Mims Jr. (246)

Touchdowns: B. Johnson (3)

Passing: P. Mahomes (1287)

Rushing: I. Pacheco (325)

Receiving: T. Kelce (222)

Touchdowns: T. Kelce (3)

Coaches:

Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (1st season)

Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)