Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/03/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Nov 28, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 3, 2023
Venue:  NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Broncos +3.5, Texans -3.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Broncos +3.5, Texans -3.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Broncos +3.5, Texans -3.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Season Record

Denver Broncos:  6-5 (2nd place, AFC West)
Houston Texans:  6-5 (3rd place, AFC South)

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Recent Form
Denver Broncos:  won their last game at home against the Cleveland Browns 29-12.
Houston Texans:  lost their last game at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-21.


Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans Preview and Analysis


The Broncos are entering this game with a 6-5 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-3 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Cleveland Browns 29-12. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 13/22 passes for 134 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 65. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 61 receiving yards on 3 receptions. P.J. Locke led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Nik Bonitto led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Texans are entering this game with a 6-5 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-21. CJ Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 26/36 passes for 304 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. CJ Stroud led the team in rushing yards with 47 and 1 TD. Nico Collins led the receivers with 104 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Christian Harris led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Derek Stingley Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that game.


Broncos vs Texans Prediction

The current betting odds have the Broncos listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Broncos have looked great in their games lately after a terrible start to the season they are now 6-5 overall. They have the longest active win streak in the NFL and even though they are playing a road game here, the Broncos have looked a lot better on offense and defense lately. Meanwhile, the Texans have also looked great this season with rookie QB CJ Stroud in the 1st year of DeMeco Ryans taking over this team. They have looked great in home games all season with their 4-2 home record but as good as they have been in their games, they haven't had a lot of success covering spreads as a favorite this season and even their few wins as a favorite were by just 1 or 2 points. The Broncos have been improving a lot lately and all the momentum is on their side with the way they have turned around their season. They are going to fight hard to keep their win streak alive and even if they do lose here, it won't be by more than a field goal. The best way to place a bet here is on the Broncos to cover the spread in this game. 

Broncos Texans Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 3, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Broncos 23 Texans 20.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Denver Broncos Houston Texans prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.

NFL Betting Trends


Denver Broncos: 6-3 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 7-4 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 29-16 UNDER in all games. 15-6 UNDER as an underdog. 13-7 UNDER in road games. 12-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins. 

Houston Texans: 16-24 ATS after a 2 game home stand. 0-5 ATS as a favorite. 29-16 UNDER in all games. 20-12 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 9-1 UNDER after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game.

Key Injuries


Denver Broncos:  D. Washington (RB) day-to-day - Illness. R. Perkins (DE) day-to-day - Quadricep. K. Jackson (S) Elig Week 16 - Suspension. B. Johnson (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. E. Uwazurike (DL) out for season - Suspension. G. Dulcich (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Williams (CB) I-R - Ankle. C. Sterns (S) I-R - Knee. A. Palczewski (OT) Out indefinitely - Hand. J. Virgil (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Griffith (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Patrick (WR) I-R - Achilles.

Houston Texans:  T. Howard (OT) day-to-day - Knee. C. Keenum (QB) day-to-day - Calf. N. Brown (WR) day-to-day - Knee. J. Hansen (LB) day-to-day - Hamstring. J. Ward (S) day-to-day - Hamstring. D. Horton (DE) Out indefinitely - Illness. G. Arnold (S) Out indefinitely - Calf. D. Perryman (LB) Elig Week 13 - Suspension. K. Fairbairn (K) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. M. Stewart (S) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. H. Ridgeway (DT) Out indefinitely - Achilles. T. Quitoriano (TE) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Patterson (C) Out indefinitely - Ankle. E. Murray (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Green (C) I-R - Knee. K. Green (G) I-R - Shoulder. C. Heck (OT) Out indefinitely - Foot. K. Zierer (OT) I-R - Ankle. T. Hairston (FB) I-R - Back. J. Matthews (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Scaife Jr. (OT) I-R - Leg. S. Quessenberry (C) I-R - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“I've never doubted our football team and where we can go. We're starting to learn what it takes to win.” - Russell Wilson after their win against the Browns in their last game. 


“I felt like that was the right decision for us to kick the ball. I thought he had good range from there, just didn’t make the kick.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s loss against the Jags in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland 
WR Mims Jr., Marvin   
WR Jeudy, Jerry 
TE Trautman, Adam 
QB Wilson, Russell 
RB Williams, Javonte 
FB Burton, Michael

Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico 
WR Dell, Tank  
WR Woods, Robert 
TE Schultz, Dalton 
QB Stroud, C.J. 
RB Pierce, Dameon 
FB Beck, Andrew 

Statistical Leaders


Denver Broncos
Passing: R. Wilson (2199)
Rushing: J. Williams (538)
Receiving: C. Sutton (560)
Touchdowns: C. Sutton (8)

Houston Texans
Passing: C. Stroud (3266)
Rushing: D. Singletary (489)
Receiving: N. Collins (800)
Touchdowns: T. Dell (7)

Coaches:
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (1st season)
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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