by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 28, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 2, 2025
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Broncos +1.5, Texans -1.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Broncos +1.5, Texans -1.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Broncos +1.5, Texans -1.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Season Record
Denver Broncos: 6-2 (1st place, AFC West)
Houston Texans: 3-4 (3rd place, AFC South)
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Recent Form
Denver Broncos: won their last game at home against the Dallas Cowboys 44-24.
Houston Texans: won their last game at home against the San Francisco 49ers 26-15.
Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans Preview and Analysis
The Broncos are entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Dallas Cowboys 44-24. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 19/29 passes for 247 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. J.K. Dobbins led the team in rushing yards with 111. Troy Franklin led the receivers with 89 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Kris Abrams-Draine led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while John Franklin-Myers and Zach Allen each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jahdae Barron and Dondrea Tillman each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
The Texans are entering this game with a 3-4 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the San Francisco 49ers 26-15. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 30/39 passes for 318 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jo'quavious Marks led the team in rushing yards with 62. Xavier Hutchinson led the receivers with 69 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Kamari Lassiter led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Derek Barnett and Will Anderson Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kamari Lassiter came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Broncos vs Texans Prediction
The current betting odds have the Broncos listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Broncos have looked great in their games this season with their 6-2 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC West with one of the best records in the entire NFL. They had a slower start to the season, but now they are off a 44-24 win over the Cowboys in their last one and they have been rolling in their games lately. They have one of the best defenses in the NFL that hasn't been giving up many points this season, and their offense has looked a lot better in their last 2 games too. Meanwhile, the Texans haven't looked great in their games this season with their 3-4 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC South. They have had a terrible start to the season and a lot of that has to do with issues on offense. They have one of the best defenses in the NFL this season, giving up the least number of points, but they also have one of the worst offenses. They haven't really had a solid run game this season and that has made everything on the offense much harder for them. They are off a 26-15 win over the 49ers in their last one and they have looked a lot better on their home field this year, but their defense has been keeping them in a lot of games this season. The Broncos have a really good defense themselves that can match the Texans here, and the Broncos also have the more consistent offense to lean on. The best way to place a bet here is on the Broncos to cover the spread in this game.
Broncos Texans Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 2, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Broncos 17 Texans 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Denver Broncos: 5-11 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 3-6 ATS on the road off a home win. 6-0 UNDER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season. 6-3 UNDER on the road in games played on a grass field.
Houston Texans: 11-5 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 8-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 26-16 UNDER in all games. 10-2 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less.
Key Injuries
Denver Broncos: D. Greenlaw (LB) Injured - Quad. P. Locke (S) Injured - Neck. P. Surtain II (CB) Injured - Pectoral. N. Adkins (TE) Injured - Knee. M. Mims Jr. (WR) Injured - Concussion.
Houston Texans: D. Autry (DL) Injured - Knee. L. Tomlinson (OG) Injured - Rest. C. Kirk (WR) Injured - Hamstring. B. Berrios (WR) Injured - Chest. D. Schultz (TE) Injured - Knee. J. Pitre (S) Injured - Foot. N. Collins (WR) Injured - Concussion. J. Johnson (FB) Injured - Hamstring. D. Horton (DL) Injured - Knee. A. Huzzie (CB) Injured - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“Our rookies did a great job. All the rookies, that's a great confidence booster.” - J.K. Dobbins after their win against the Cowboys in their last game.
“What I’m most proud of is how we finished the game. We’ve had some good starts but we haven’t finished games and that’s the key for us.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s win against the 49ers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Franklin, Troy
WR Bryant, Pat
TE Engram, Evan
QB Nix, Bo
RB Dobbins, J.K.
FB Prentice, Adam
Houston Texans
WR Higgins, Jayden
WR Hutchinson, Xavier
WR Noel, Jaylin
TE Schultz, Dalton
QB Stroud, C.J.
RB Marks, Woody
FB Brooks, British
Statistical Leaders
Denver Broncos
Passing: Bo Nix (1,803)
Rushing: J.K. Dobbins (634)
Receiving: Courtland Sutton (536)
Touchdowns: RJ Harvey (5)
Houston Texans
Passing: C.J. Stroud (1,623)
Rushing: Nick Chubb (321)
Receiving: Nico Collins (339)
Touchdowns: Nico Collins (3)
Coaches:
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (3rd season)
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
