Denver Broncos vs Chicago Bears Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/01/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Sep 26, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 1, 2023
Venue:  Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Broncos -3.5, Bears +3.5; Over/Under:  46 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Broncos -3.5, Bears +3.5; Over/Under:  46 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Broncos -3.5, Bears +3.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Season Record

Denver Broncos:  0-3 (4th place, AFC West)
Chicago Bears:  0-3 (4th place, NFC North)

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Denver Broncos:  lost their last game on the road against the Miami Dolphins 70-20.
Chicago Bears:  lost their last game on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs 41-10.


Denver Broncos vs Chicago Bears Preview and Analysis


The Broncos are entering this game with a 0-3 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Miami Dolphins 70-20. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 23/38 passes for 306 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 42. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Delarrin Turner-Yell led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.
 
 
 
The Bears are entering this game with a 0-3 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 41-10. Justin Fields was the starting QB and he completed 11/22 passes for 99 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Justin Fields led the team in rushing yards with 47. D. J. Moore led the receivers with 41 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Terell Smith led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Jack Sanborn and Quindell Johnson each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.


Broncos vs Bears Prediction

The current betting odds have the Broncos listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams are entering this game with a 0-3 record overall and a 0-3 ATS record too. The Broncos have been terrible in their first 3 games this season with 2 close losses at home and now a really bad loss on the road. They were just embarrassed in Miami as they lost 70-20 to the Dolphins and their defense has looked terrible in 2 games in a row now. The Bears are also 0-3 this season and even though they haven't lost any games by 50 points, they have still been embarrassed in every game with all 3 of their losses being by double digits. Both of these teams may be 0-3 this season but the difference here is that the Broncos do have a lot of good talent on their team and they have a lot more potential than the Bears who have one of the worst rosters in the NFL and might just be the worst team in the league this year. The Broncos are also going to be really upset over that bad loss and they will be looking to bounce back in a big way so they can silence the critics already chirping about this team 3 games into the season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Broncos to cover the spread in this game.

Broncos Bears Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 1, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Broncos 31 Bears 20.
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NFL Betting Trends


Denver Broncos: 13-7 ATS after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game. 25-18 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses. 24-13 UNDER in all games. 15-4 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 11-6 UNDER in road games.

Chicago Bears: 11-25 ATS in all games. 8-22 ATS as an underdog. 5-14 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 41-16 UNDER as a home underdog of 3 points or less. 24-10 UNDER against AFC West division opponents. 36-19 UNDER off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more.

Key Injuries


Denver Broncos:  J. Jewell (LB) day-to-day - Groin. J. Simmons (S) day-to-day - Hip. E. Uwazurike (DL) out for season - Suspension. G. Dulcich (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. F. Clark (LB) Out indefinitely - Hip. C. Sterns (S) I-R - Knee. A. Palczewski (OT) Out indefinitely - Hand. P. Locke (S) Out indefinitely - Leg. B. Browning (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Williams (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Virgil (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Griffith (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Patrick (WR) I-R - Achilles.

Chicago Bears:  J. Johnson (DB) day-to-day - Hamstring. J. Blackwell (DB) day-to-day - Hamstring. T. Stevenson (DB) day-to-day - Illness. E. Jackson (DB) day-to-day - Foot. K. Kareem (DL) Out indefinitely - Hip. B. Jones (OL) Out indefinitely - Neck. K. Gordon (DB) Out indefinitely - Hand. D. Kramer (OL) Out indefinitely - Hand. T. Jenkins (OL) Out indefinitely - Leg.

Notable Quotes


“Obviously, that was embarrassing and tough to watch. Aside from the kick return, there weren’t a lot of positives to take from that game.” - Sean Payton after his team’s loss against the Dolphins in their last game. 


“We’ve got to keep this thing tight in our locker room. That’s the most important thing. There’s going to be a lot of outside noise, as there always is in the NFL. And we’ve played three games so far in the season. We’ve got a great opportunity ahead of us. We’ve got two games in 11 days, and so we’re going to focus on that.” - Matt Eberflus after his team’s loss against the Chiefs in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland 
WR Johnson, Brandon 
WR Jeudy, Jerry 
TE Trautman, Adam 
QB WILSON, RUSSELL 
RB Williams, Javonte 
FB BURTON, MICHAEL 

Chicago Bears
WR Moore, DJ 
WR Claypool, Chase 
WR Mooney, Darnell 
TE Kmet, Cole 
QB Fields, Justin 
RB Herbert, Khalil 
FB Blasingame, Khari 

Statistical Leaders


Denver Broncos
Passing: R. Wilson (791)
Rushing: J. Williams (138)
Receiving: M. Mims Jr. (195)
Touchdowns: B. Johnson (2)

Chicago Bears
Passing: J. Fields (526)
Rushing: J. Fields (109)
Receiving: D. Moore (170)
Touchdowns: D. Mooney (1)

Coaches:
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (1st season)
Chicago Bears: Matt Eberflus (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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