by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Nov 11, 2023
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, November 13, 2023
Venue: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
Where to Watch: ESPN, ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Broncos +7.5, Bills -7.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Broncos +7, Bills -7; Over/Under: 46.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Broncos +7.5, Bills -7.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Season Record
Denver Broncos: 3-5 (4th place, AFC West)
Buffalo Bills: 5-4 (2nd place, AFC East)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Amedeus Mastrangelo is on a HOT STREAK in the NFL as he is having a PROFITABLE 41-24-3 NFL SEASON FOR +$14.5K PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Denver Broncos: won their last game at home against the Kansas City Chiefs 24-9.
Buffalo Bills: lost their last game on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals 24-18.
Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Preview and Analysis
The Broncos are entering this game with a 3-5 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 24-9. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 12/19 passes for 114 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 85. Jerry Jeudy led the receivers with 50 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Alex Singleton led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Baron Browning led the defense in sacks with 2. Ja'Quan McMillian and Justin Simmons each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
The Bills are entering this game with a 5-4 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 24-18. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 26/38 passes for 258 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Josh Allen led the team in rushing yards with 44 and 1 TD. Stefon Diggs led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Jordan Poyer led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Jordan Phillips and Leonard Floyd each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Broncos vs Bills Prediction
The current betting odds have the Broncos listed as a 7.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Broncos are only 3-5 overall this season and haven't looked great in their games but they are coming off their bye for this game and will have some momentum as they did beat the Chiefs in their last game before the bye. The Broncos have looked better in their games lately and even though the Bills are 5-4 overall this season, they haven't looked as good in their games lately. The Bills just lost to the Bengals in their last game and even in the games they have been winning lately, they haven't been winning by more than 1 score. The Bills are the better team and will be looking to bounce back at home after that loss but with the Broncos coming off their bye week and looking better in their games lately, they can keep this game close enough. The best way to place a bet here is on the Broncos to cover the spread in this game.
Broncos Bills Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Monday, November 13, 2023 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Bills 24 Broncos 20.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Denver Broncos Buffalo Bills prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.
NFL Betting Trends
Denver Broncos: 6-12 ATS in road games. 21-40 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 2-7 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game. 27-15 UNDER in all games. 14-6 UNDER as an underdog. 20-6 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders.
Buffalo Bills: 5-1 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 8-1 ATS after 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 26-16 UNDER as a favorite. 9-5 UNDER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game. 5-1 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
Key Injuries
Denver Broncos: K. Jackson (S) Elig Week 11 - Suspension. B. Powers (G) Prob Mon - Ankle. B. Browning (LB) Prob Mon - Wrist. B. Johnson (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. E. Uwazurike (DL) out for season - Suspension. G. Dulcich (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Williams (CB) I-R - Ankle. C. Sterns (S) I-R - Knee. A. Palczewski (OT) Out indefinitely - Hand. J. Virgil (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Griffith (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Patrick (WR) I-R - Achilles.
Buffalo Bills: S. Diggs (WR) Ques Mon - Back. J. Poyer (S) Ques Mon - Shin. M. Hyde (S) Ques Mon - Neck. L. Floyd (DE) Ques Mon - Illness. C. Benford (CB) Ques Mon - Hamstring. J. Allen (QB) Ques Mon - Shoulder. B. Spector (LB) Ques Mon - Hamstring. D. Hamlin (S) Ques Mon - Illness. A. Klein (LB) Ques Mon - Back. T. Bernard (LB) Ques Mon - Concussion. K. Elam (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. D. Knox (TE) Out indefinitely - Wrist. D. Harris (RB) Out indefinitely - Neck. D. Jones (DT) I-R - Pectoral. M. Milano (LB) I-R - Leg. T. White (CB) I-R - Achilles. J. Shorter (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Doyle (OT) I-R - Knee. Z. Davidson (TE) I-R - Knee. N. Hines (RB) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We believe in who we are.” - Russell Wilson after their win against the Chiefs in their last game.
“Too inconsistent overall. I thought we got off to a really good start in our rhythm. After that it was tough sledding.” - Sean McDermott after his team’s loss against the Bengals in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Mims Jr., Marvin
WR Jeudy, Jerry
TE Trautman, Adam
QB WILSON, RUSSELL
RB Williams, Javonte
FB BURTON, MICHAEL
Buffalo Bills
WR Diggs, Stefon
WR Davis, Gabe
WR Shakir, Khalil
TE Kincaid, Dalton
QB Allen, Josh
RB Cook, James
FB Gilliam, Reggie
Statistical Leaders
Denver Broncos
Passing: R. Wilson (1613)
Rushing: J. Williams (357)
Receiving: C. Sutton (380)
Touchdowns: C. Sutton (6)
Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (2423)
Rushing: J. Cook (506)
Receiving: S. Diggs (834)
Touchdowns: S. Diggs (7)
Coaches:
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (1st season)
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (7th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
