Dayton Flyers vs VCU Rams Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/09/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, February 9, 2024

Venue:  Stuart C. Siegel Center, Richmond, VA 

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Dayton -1.5, VCU +1.5; Over/Under:  135.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Dayton -1.5, VCU +1.5; Over/Under:  135.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Dayton -1.5, VCU +1.5; Over/Under:  135.5 points

Dayton Flyers:  19-3 (9-1) (1st place, Atlantic 10)

VCU Rams:  15-8 (7-3) (4th place, Atlantic 10)

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Dayton Flyers:  4-1  last 5

VCU Rams:  4-1  last 5

Dayton is entering this game with a 19-3 record overall, a 9-1 record in conference games, and they are 5-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Saint Joseph’s Hawks in their last game. Nate Santos and Kobe Elvis each led the team in points per game in that game with 21 while Javon Bennett was next on the team with 18. Kobe Elvis led the team in assists with 10 in that game while Enoch Cheeks and Koby Brea each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 56.9% from the field, 54.5% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65 PPG against them. Dayton has an ATS record of 12-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 12-10.

VCU is entering this game with a 15-8 record overall, a 7-3 conference record, and they are 10-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Fordham Rams in their last game. Max Shulga and Joe Bamisile each led the team in points in that game with 13 while Sean Bairstow was next on the team with 12. Max Shulga led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Max Shulga led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 51% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 72.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.9 PPG against them. VCU has an ATS record of 13-8-2 this season and their O/U record is 10-13.

The current betting odds have Dayton listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Dayton has looked great in their games this season with their 19-3 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have looked great in the A10 this season with their 9-1 conference record which is leading the conference right now and they have also been a great road team with their 5-2 road record. Meanwhile, Virginia Commonwealth has also looked good in their games this season with their 15-8 record overall and their 7-3 conference record which has them near the top of the conference. They have also looked good in their home games this year with their 10-5 home record, but those 5 losses on their home court have also shown that they can be beat when playing at home. VCU has looked really good in their conference games but they struggled in their non-conference games while Dayton has been a strong team all season, earning their ranking in the top 25, and they are one of the if not the best team in this conference this season. Dayton is going to bring their best effort for this game since VCU has been a bit of a threat in the conference this season and Dayton has also shown they can win these conference road games with ease. The best way to place a bet here is on Dayton to cover the spread in this game. 

Dayton VCU Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, February 9, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Dayton 71 VCU 63.

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Dayton Flyers: 13-7 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 5-1 ATS in road games. 23-15 ATS after 5 straight games forcing opponents to commit 14 or less turnovers. 8-2 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 15-7 UNDER off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. 

VCU Rams: 9-16 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick. 5-9 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. 13-5 UNDER in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5. 13-2 UNDER after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. 11-4 UNDER after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more.

Dayton Flyers:  M. Smith (G) out for season - Knee.

VCU Rams:  None.

“He did a great job sharing it, did a great job being aggressive, did a great job in terms of understanding defensively the assignment and making it difficult for those guys.” - Anthony Grant after his team’s win against Saint Joseph’s in their last game on Tuesday.

“He’s one of the best players in this league. If you allow him to do what he’s really good at, you’re gonna be disappointed.” - Ryan Odom after his team’s win against Richmond in their game on Saturday.

J. Bennett 

E. Cheeks 

K. Elvis 

D. Holmes II 

N. Santos

M. Belle 

C. Fermin 

Z. Jackson 

K. Kuany 

M. Shulga

PPG: D. Holmes II (19.7)

APG: J. Bennett (3.7)

Reb/G: D. Holmes II (7.6)

PPG: M. Shulga (15.1)

APG: S. Bairstow (4.5)

Reb/G: T. Lawal (5.6)

Coaches:

Dayton Flyers: Anthony Grant (7th season)

VCU Rams: Ryan Odom (1st season)