Dayton Flyers vs VCU Rams Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/06/2026

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, February 6, 2026

Venue:  Stuart C. Siegel Center, Richmond, VA

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Dayton +6.5, VCU -6.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Dayton +6.5, VCU -6.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Dayton +6.5, VCU -6.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Dayton Flyers:  15-8 (6-4) (5th place, Atlantic 10)

VCU Rams:  17-6 (8-2) (3rd place, Atlantic 10)

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Dayton Flyers:  1-4  last 5

VCU Rams:  5-0  last 5

Dayton is entering this game with a 15-8 record overall, a 6-4 record in conference games, and they are 3-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the St Bonaventure Bonnies in their last game. Javon Bennett led the team in points in that game with 20 while Jordan Derkack was next on the team with 18. Jacob Conner led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Amaël L'Etang, Keonte Jones, and Jordan Derkack each led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 41.3% from the field, 31.6% from 3-point range, and 84.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70.7 PPG against them. Dayton has an ATS record of 9-14 this season and their O/U record is 9-14.

VCU is entering this game with a 17-6 record overall, an 8-2 conference record, and they are 11-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Fordham Rams in their last game. Lazar Djokovic led the team in points in that game with 17 while Barry Evans was next on the team with 11. Barry Evans and Brandon Jennings each led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Barry Evans and Brandon Jennings each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 45.5% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 60.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72.9 PPG against them. VCU has an ATS record of 10-13 this season and their O/U record is 12-11.

The current betting odds have VCU listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. VCU has looked good in their games this season with their 17-6 record overall and their 8-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the A10. They have looked great on their home court too with their 11-2 home record this season. Meanwhile, Dayton has looked good in their games this season with their 15-8 record overall and their 6-4 conference record which has them in the top half of the A10. They haven't been a good road team though with their 3-4 road record this year. Dayton had a great start to the season and were looking like a true contender in the A10 early on, but they have completely collapsed in their games lately. They are 1-4 in their last 5 games and just snapped that losing streak with a win in their last one, but they barely beat a mediocre St Bonaventure team at home by 2 points. They have been struggling a lot lately and now they are on the road against one of the best teams in the conference who has been rolling over teams on their home court all year. VCU is 5-0 in their last 5 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 6 wins in a row now. They have also been blowing out a lot of teams at home this year so they will be looking to send Dayton right back into a spiral off that home win. Dayton has also had a lot more trouble in their road games this year, so look for VCU to continue rolling on their win streak here. The best way to place a bet here is on VCU to cover the spread in this game. 

Dayton VCU Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, February 6, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is VCU 79 Dayton 70.

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Dayton Flyers: 3-6 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 11-20 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 16-23 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 24-18 OVER after playing a home game. 6-2 OVER versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25 free throws/game or more.

VCU Rams: 23-16 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 28-16 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more. 27-20 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots or more. 29-19 OVER versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. 30-15 OVER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more.

Dayton Flyers:  J. Simon (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. McKie (G) Out - Shoulder.

VCU Rams:  O. Okafor (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Fermin (F) Out - Personal.

“It’s been a couple of tough weeks with four straight losses, so it’s a combination of happiness and relief, right, that you’re able to kind of show resolve and be able to fight and stay together and believe and do all the things that you have to do when you face adversity.” - Anthony Grant after his team’s win against St Bonaventure in their last game. 

“I will tell them it’s a very hostile environment. We don’t like each other. These programs have been battling each other for a very long time, so you’ve got to come in with the right mindset and watch film and go in there and try to win.” - Javon Bennett on the rivalry with VCU.

J. Bennett 

J. Derkack 

K. Jones 

A. L'Etang 

D. Montgomery

L. Djokovic 

B. Evans 

B. Jennings 

N. Lewis 

J. Tracey

PPG: Javon Bennett (16.1)

APG: Javon Bennett (3.2)

Reb/G: Keonte Jones (5.7)

PPG: Terrence Hill Jr. (14.5)

APG: Terrence Hill Jr. (2.7)

Reb/G: Lazar Djokovic (5.5)

Coaches:

Dayton Flyers: Anthony Grant (9th season)

VCU Rams: Phil Martelli Jr. (1st season)